Result
3:0
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 35
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/439) | 86% (452/528) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 0.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.74 | 1.02 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (357/439) | 86% (452/528) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 28% (13/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (58/99) | 62% (64/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 20% (1/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.02 | 3.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.02 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Mehmeti A. ⚽,
- 39', Mehmeti A. 🟨,
- 41', 2 - 0, Azon I. ⚽, Davis L. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Yalcouye M. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
- 55', Cullen L. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
- 55', Eom J. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 61', Nunez M. ↓, Clarke J. ↑,
- 61', Neil D. ↓, Taylor J. ↑,
- 69', Azon I. ↓, Hirst G. ↑,
- 69', Burns W. ↓, McAteer K. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Hirst G. ⚽, Mehmeti A. (A),
- 75', Gustavo Nunes ↓, Walta L. ↑,
- 76', Widell M. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
- 83', Matusiwa A. ↓, Cajuste J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ipswich Town 59.2% | Draw 23.5% | Swansea City 17.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ipswich Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ipswich Town than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Ipswich Town - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.62) |
4.05 ↓ (4.12) |
5.44 ↑ (5.12) |
5.3% (5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Ipswich Town - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ipswich will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ipswich: 53.9% – 93.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Swansea (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ipswich Town will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Ipswich (votes: 3 - 75%). Swansea (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Recent performances by Ipswich have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Swansea is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Ipswich has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Ipswich is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Ipswich: Philogene J.
(Injury)
Townsend C.
(Knee Injury)
Young A.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ipswich won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 2.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ipswich won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Ipswich Town won against Swansea City?
Ipswich Town has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Ipswich Town?
Swansea City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ipswich Town - Swansea City were as follows:
08.11.2025
Swansea City
-
Ipswich Town
1:4
17.02.2024
Swansea City
-
Ipswich Town
1:2
11.11.2023
Ipswich Town
-
Swansea City
3:2
Latest results of Ipswich Town
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 39 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 81:40 | 41 | 80 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 39 | 20 | 11 | 8 | 59:37 | 22 | 71 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 67:39 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | Millwall | 39 | 20 | 9 | 10 | 53:44 | 9 | 69 |
| 5 | Hull | 39 | 20 | 6 | 13 | 62:57 | 5 | 66 |
| 6 | Southampton | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 63:48 | 15 | 63 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 39 | 17 | 12 | 10 | 60:51 | 9 | 63 |
| 8 | Derby | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 9 | Watford | 39 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 50:46 | 4 | 56 |
| 10 | Norwich | 39 | 16 | 6 | 17 | 52:46 | 6 | 54 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 48:49 | -1 | 53 |
| 12 | QPR | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | 55:61 | -6 | 53 |
| 13 | Preston | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 45:49 | -4 | 52 |
| 14 | Swansea | 39 | 15 | 7 | 17 | 44:49 | -5 | 52 |
| 15 | Stoke | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 46:43 | 3 | 51 |
| 16 | Bristol City | 39 | 14 | 9 | 16 | 49:50 | -1 | 51 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 39 | 15 | 5 | 19 | 54:54 | 0 | 50 |
| 18 | Charlton | 39 | 12 | 12 | 15 | 36:46 | -10 | 48 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 36:49 | -13 | 43 |
| 20 | West Brom | 39 | 11 | 10 | 18 | 40:54 | -14 | 43 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 37:54 | -17 | 40 |
| 22 | Leicester | 39 | 11 | 12 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 39 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 39 | 9 | 12 | 18 | 36:51 | -15 | 39 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 39 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 24:79 | -55 | -6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One