Jong Ajax vs Den Bosch – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

13/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sportcomplex De Toekomst (Ouder-Amstel).

Eerste Divisie - Round 31
Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.68	2.40
Ball possession
54%	46%
Total shots
22	19
Shots on target
7	7
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
5	2
Passes
85% (364/428)	82% (307/374)
Yellow cards
4	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.68	2.40
xG on target (xGOT)
1.71	1.92
Total shots
22	19
Shots on target
7	7
Shots off target
11	7
Blocked shots
4	5
Shots inside the box
13	13
Shots outside the box
9	6
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Big chances
4	2
Corner kicks
5	2
Touches in opposition box
28	30
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free kicks
6	14
Passes
85% (364/428)	82% (307/374)
Long passes
59% (44/74)	63% (25/40)
Passes in final third
69% (74/107)	65% (64/98)
Crosses
23% (3/13)	31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	1.56
Throw ins
15	12
Fouls
14	6
Tackles
38% (3/8)	89% (16/18)
Duels won
30	56
Clearances
22	23
Interceptions
6	5
Errors leading to shot
4	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
5	4
xGOT faced
1.92	1.71
Goals prevented
-0.08	-1.29

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, de Vries J. ⚽, Karlsson Grach S. (A),
14', 1 - 1, Ouazane A. ⚽, Abdalla M. (A),
15', 2 - 1, Vink S. ⚽, Ouazane A. (A),
32', 3 - 1, O'Niel D. ⚽, Ouazane A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Semedo E. ↓, van Leeuwen T. ↑,
46', Fortes J. ↓, Boumassaoudi I. ↑,
52', Appiah A. 🟨,
60', Nash P. ↓, Jetten L. ↑,
60', Abdalla M. ↓, van der Vaart D. ↑,
64', Felida K. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
69', Van Koeverden L. ↓, el Bakkali Z. ↑,
76', Ouazane A. ↓, Messori L. ↑,
76', Appiah A. ↓, Kasanwirjo K. ↑,
78', Kasanwirjo K. 🟨,
81', 3 - 2, Boumassaoudi I. ⚽,
87', Butera E. ↓, Frankel L. ↑,
88', O'Niel D. 🟨,
89', Barglan S. ↓, Verbeek D. ↑,
90+3', van der Vaart D. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Jong Ajax
32.5%

Draw
24.8%

Den Bosch
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

24.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.7%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jong Ajax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Den Bosch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Ajax than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Den Bosch than the current prediction. (+2%)

Jong Ajax - Den Bosch Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (3.02)	3.77 ↑ (3.75)	2.2 ↑ (2.07)	6.7% (8.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Jong Ajax - Den Bosch?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Jong Ajax will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Den Bosch will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Ajax: 8% – 64.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Jong Ajax (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Ajax (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Den Bosch could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Den Bosch: Monzialo K. (Red Card)
There are questionable in Jong Ajax: Alders G. (Head Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Jong Ajax won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 43:40. (average 2.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Jong Ajax won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 2.4:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Jong Ajax won against Den Bosch?

Jong Ajax has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Den Bosch won against Jong Ajax?

Den Bosch has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Ajax - Den Bosch were as follows:

08.08.2025 Den Bosch - Jong Ajax 2:0

30.08.2024 Jong Ajax - Den Bosch 1:2

08.04.2024 Jong Ajax - Den Bosch 0:2

01.12.2023 Den Bosch - Jong Ajax 3:3

10.02.2023 Den Bosch - Jong Ajax 4:2

Latest results of Jong Ajax

06.03.2026 FC Eindhoven - Jong Ajax 2:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Helmond Sport 5:1 ✺

23.02.2026 Emmen - Jong Ajax 0:0 ✺

20.02.2026 Dordrecht - Jong Ajax 0:1 ✺

16.02.2026 Jong Ajax - Cambuur 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Den Bosch

08.03.2026 Willem II - Den Bosch 1:1 ✺

27.02.2026 Den Bosch - Roda 2:2 ✺

23.02.2026 Jong AZ Alkmaar - Den Bosch 2:2 ✺

12.02.2026 Den Bosch - FC Eindhoven 2:1 ✺

06.02.2026 Helmond Sport - Den Bosch 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	33	25	2	6	74:32	42	77
2	Cambuur	32	21	7	4	66:37	29	70
3	Willem II	32	15	8	9	50:38	12	53
4	De Graafschap	32	15	7	10	59:51	8	52
5	Almere City	33	16	4	13	68:53	15	52
6	Jong PSV	33	15	5	13	62:58	4	50
7	Waalwijk	33	13	9	11	56:50	6	48
8	Roda	33	12	12	9	51:48	3	48
9	Den Bosch	33	13	7	13	58:59	-1	46
10	Dordrecht	33	11	10	12	44:46	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	32	12	4	16	46:57	-11	40
12	Jong Utrecht	33	10	9	14	51:55	-4	39
13	Venlo	33	11	5	17	41:51	-10	38
14	FC Emmen	31	10	7	14	48:56	-8	37
15	Vitesse	33	13	9	11	51:49	2	36
16	Maastricht	33	9	9	15	39:66	-27	36
17	Jong AZ	33	10	4	19	57:66	-9	34
18	Helmond	33	9	7	17	38:57	-19	34
19	Jong Ajax	33	8	8	17	45:59	-14	32
20	Oss	33	7	11	15	41:57	-16	32

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