Result
2:3
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 29
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (284/388) | 75% (345/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (284/388) | 75% (345/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (33/78) | 40% (32/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (67/121) | 65% (86/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Reith B. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, El Arguioui R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', 2 - 1, Demircan E. ⚽, Dundas N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', El Arguioui R. ↓, Kooy W. ↑,
- 51', Ghaddari M. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
- 71', den Boggende T. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
- 71', Demircan E. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Providence R. ⚽, Reith B. (A),
- 74', Burgering B. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 74', Cornelisse E. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 3, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Providence R. (A),
- 83', Agougil O. ↓, Sneijder J. ↑,
- 84', de Haan M. ↓, Kalisvaart J. ↑,
- 86', Kalisvaart J. 🟨,
- 90', Lawrence J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Utrecht
32.8% | Draw
24.1% | Almere City
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Jong Utrecht - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.84 ↓
(2.95) |
3.86 ↓
(3.95) |
2.16 ↑
(2.06) |
7.5%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Almere City will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.
- Recent performances by Jong Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Almere City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Almere City?
Jong Utrecht has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong Utrecht?
Almere City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Almere City were as follows:
26.09.2025
Almere City
-
Jong Utrecht
4:0
03.04.2023
Almere City
-
Jong Utrecht
1:0
07.10.2022
Jong Utrecht
-
Almere City
0:2
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 29 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 70:30 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 28 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 55:44 | 11 | 49 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 59:53 | 6 | 47 |
| 5 | Roda | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:43 | 6 | 46 |
| 6 | Willem II | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 41:36 | 5 | 46 |
| 7 | Almere City | 29 | 13 | 3 | 13 | 60:50 | 10 | 42 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 47:44 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Dordrecht | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 39:38 | 1 | 41 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 29 | 11 | 6 | 12 | 51:53 | -2 | 39 |
| 11 | Venlo | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 38:43 | -5 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 29 | 10 | 4 | 15 | 41:53 | -12 | 34 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 43:51 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Jong Utrecht | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 47:52 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Helmond | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 36:53 | -17 | 32 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 35:58 | -23 | 31 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 49:57 | -8 | 30 |
| 18 | Vitesse | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 43:45 | -2 | 27 |
| 19 | Oss | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35:50 | -15 | 27 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
