Result
2:3
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 29
- Referee: Ruperti C. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.25 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (284/388) | 75% (345/458) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.52 | 2.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 2.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (284/388) | 75% (345/458) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (33/78) | 40% (32/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (67/121) | 65% (86/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 1.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 70% (16/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.25 | 1.78 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.75 | -0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Druijf F. ⚽, Reith B. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, El Arguioui R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 23', 2 - 1, Demircan E. ⚽, Dundas N. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', El Arguioui R. ↓, Kooy W. ↑,
- 51', Ghaddari M. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
- 71', den Boggende T. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
- 71', Demircan E. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 2, Providence R. ⚽, Reith B. (A),
- 74', Burgering B. ↓, Poku E. ↑,
- 74', Cornelisse E. ↓, el Dahri H. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 3, Rijkhoff J. ⚽, Providence R. (A),
- 83', Agougil O. ↓, Sneijder J. ↑,
- 84', de Haan M. ↓, Kalisvaart J. ↑,
- 86', Kalisvaart J. 🟨,
- 90', Lawrence J. ↓, Jacobs Jo. ↑,
Chances of winning
Jong Utrecht 32.8% | Draw 24.1% | Almere City 43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)Almere City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almere City than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Jong Utrecht - Almere City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.84 ↓ (2.95) |
3.86 ↓ (3.95) |
2.16 ↑ (2.06) |
7.5% (7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Almere City?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Almere City will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almere City: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Almere City (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0.
- Recent performances by Jong Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Almere City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Almere City: Huisman B.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:32. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Almere City?
Jong Utrecht has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Almere City won against Jong Utrecht?
Almere City has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Almere City were as follows:
26.09.2025
Almere City
-
Jong Utrecht
4:0
03.04.2023
Almere City
-
Jong Utrecht
1:0
07.10.2022
Jong Utrecht
-
Almere City
0:2
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Latest results of Almere City
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 33 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 74:32 | 42 | 77 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 70:39 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Willem II | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 53 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Almere City | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 68:53 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 62:58 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 56:50 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 58:59 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 46:57 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Venlo | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 50:60 | -10 | 37 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 36 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 39:66 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 57:66 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Helmond | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 45:59 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Oss | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie