Result
1:1
16/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 79% (350/445) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (402/471) | 79% (350/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (26/49) | 51% (32/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 67% (110/163) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 36% (12/33) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.53 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 50 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', 1 - 0, Besselink G. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 55', Demircan E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', El Allouchi M. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
- 61', Besselink G. 🟨,
- 61', Doodeman N. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
- 63', van der Wegen S. 🟨,
- 64', Blake A. ↓, Adiele E. ↑,
- 71', den Boggende T. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 75', Besselink G. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
- 75', Et Taibi A. ↓, van Loon P. ↑,
- 78', Demircan E. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 78', Jensen M. ↓, El Arguioui R. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Haen D. ⚽, Verheydt T. (A),
Chances of winning
Jong Utrecht
39.6% | Draw
23.2% | Willem II
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Jong Utrecht - Willem II Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.38) |
4 ↓
(4.33) |
2.5 ↑
(2.38) |
7.7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Jong Utrecht - Willem II?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Willem II will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 30.4% – 86.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Willem II (2.01) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Willem II (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB, 1st Half - Willem II (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Willem II will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Willem II (votes: 6 - 85.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Recent performances by Jong Utrecht have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Willem II is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Willem II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A.
(Groin Injury)
Schuurman J.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jong Utrecht won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against Willem II?
Jong Utrecht has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Willem II won against Jong Utrecht?
Willem II has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jong Utrecht - Willem II were as follows:
29.08.2025
Willem II
-
Jong Utrecht
2:1
08.04.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
Willem II
1:1
10.11.2023
Willem II
-
Jong Utrecht
2:1
12.05.2023
Willem II
-
Jong Utrecht
3:0
29.08.2022
Jong Utrecht
-
Willem II
0:0
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Latest results of Willem II
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 33 | 25 | 2 | 6 | 74:32 | 42 | 77 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 33 | 22 | 7 | 4 | 70:39 | 31 | 73 |
| 3 | Willem II | 32 | 15 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 53 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 59:51 | 8 | 52 |
| 5 | Almere City | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 68:53 | 15 | 52 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 62:58 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 56:50 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Roda | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 58:59 | -1 | 46 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 43 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 32 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 46:57 | -11 | 40 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 51:55 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Venlo | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 50:60 | -10 | 37 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 51:49 | 2 | 36 |
| 16 | Maastricht | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 39:66 | -27 | 36 |
| 17 | Jong AZ | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 57:66 | -9 | 34 |
| 18 | Helmond | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 38:57 | -19 | 34 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 45:59 | -14 | 32 |
| 20 | Oss | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 41:57 | -16 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
