Result
2:2
17/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Dionisi F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Slovenia | Sport TV3 |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.03 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/466) | 80% (293/365) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.99 | 1.03 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.76 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (395/466) | 80% (293/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 21% (10/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (136/176) | 65% (36/55) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (14/43) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.15 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Joronen J. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Leone G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Torrasi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bereszynski B. ↓, Le Douaron J. ↑,
- 54', Blin A. ↓, Modesto R. ↑,
- 56', Giorgini A. 🟨,
- 60', Confente A. 🟨,
- 60', 1 - 1, Pohjanpalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', Ricciardi M. ↓, Carissoni L. ↑,
- 62', Torrasi E. ↓, Correia O. ↑,
- 62', Diakite S. ↓, Varnier M. ↑,
- 63', Varnier M. 🟨,
- 65', 2 - 1, Bani M. ⚽,
- 72', Bani M. 🟨,
- 73', 2 - 2, Mosti N. ⚽,
- 76', Modesto R. 🟨,
- 81', Dalle Mura C. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
- 84', Segre J. ↓, Gomes C. ↑,
- 85', Pierozzi N. ↓, Vasic A. ↑,
- 85', Ceccaroni P. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 87', Magnani G. 🟨,
- 88', Pierobon C. ↓, Kassama S. ↑,
- 90+6', Kassama S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Palermo
56.2% | Draw
26.9% | Juve Stabia
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Juve Stabia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palermo than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Palermo - Juve Stabia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(1.73) |
3.51 ↓
(3.55) |
5.5 ↑
(4.62) |
6.3%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Palermo - Juve Stabia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Palermo (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Palermo (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Juve Stabia (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Palermo will win
(28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palermo will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Palermo (votes: 9 - 90%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 3.
- Palermo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Juve Stabia is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Palermo is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Palermo: Ranocchia F.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Candellone L.
(Injury)
Gabrielloni A.
(Yellow Cards)
Maistro F.
(Inactive)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Zeroli K.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Juve Stabia: Burnete R.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Palermo won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.7:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Palermo won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Palermo won against Juve Stabia?
Palermo has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Juve Stabia won against Palermo?
Juve Stabia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Palermo - Juve Stabia were as follows:
08.11.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Palermo
1:0
17.05.2025
Juve Stabia
-
Palermo
1:0
19.01.2025
Palermo
-
Juve Stabia
1:0
14.09.2024
Juve Stabia
-
Palermo
1:3
Latest results of Palermo
Latest results of Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
