Karlsruher vs Paderborn – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:4
13/12/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 16
  • Referee: Gansloweit T. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalySky Sport Arena
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalDAZN 1, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.26
Ball Possession
29%71%
Total shots
627
Shots on target
111
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
67% (165/246)88% (543/617)
Yellow Cards
52
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
0.092.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.003.81
Total shots
627
Shots on target
111
Shots off target
17
Blocked Shots
49
Shots inside the Box
119
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
15
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
1438
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
814
Passes
67% (165/246)88% (543/617)
Long passes
40% (24/60)59% (38/64)
Passes in final third
54% (46/85)81% (140/173)
Crosses
8% (1/12)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.611.70
Throw-ins
1212
Fouls
148
Tackles
57% (4/7)70% (7/10)
Duels won
2849
Clearances
2923
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
3.810.78
Goals prevented
-0.19-0.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Schleusener F. 🟨,
  • 33', Franke M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Curda L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 4)
  • 46', Rapp N. , Waschenbach M. ,
  • 52', Schleusener F. 🟨,
  • 53', Burnic D. 🟨,
  • 61', Gotze F. 🟨,
  • 65', 0 - 1, Curda L. , Gotze F. (A),
  • 71', 0 - 2, Curda L. ,
  • 72', Jung S. , Simic R. ,
  • 72', Michel S. , Bilbija F. ,
  • 77', Copado L. , Tigges S. ,
  • 77', Curda L. , Sticker J. ,
  • 78', 0 - 3, Obermair R. , Baur M. (A),
  • 82', Opitz L. , Scholl P. ,
  • 83', Franke M. 🟨,
  • 84', Batzner N. , Castaneda S. ,
  • 84', Klaas S. , Engelns L. ,
  • 86', 0 - 4, Scheller T. , Obermair R. (A),

Chances of winning


Karlsruher
28.6%
Draw
26.2%
Paderborn
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.8% 25.1% 50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.1% 24.4% 51.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Paderborn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paderborn could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Karlsruher - Paderborn Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (3.73)
    3.6
    (3.68)
    2.09
    (1.84)
    5.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Karlsruher - Paderborn?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 8 - 50%). Paderborn will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Karlsruher: 25.5%74.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Karlsruher (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 2.
    • Karlsruher is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Paderborn has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Paderborn will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Karlsruher: Beifus M. (Yellow Cards) Ben Farhat L. (Broken Leg) Egloff L. (Hamstring Injury) Sihlaroglu E. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Paderborn: Brackelmann C. (Red Card) Hoffmeier M. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Karlsruher won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 1.2:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Karlsruher won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.3:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Karlsruher - Paderborn were as follows:
    18.05.2025 Karlsruher - Paderborn 3:0
    21.12.2024 Paderborn - Karlsruher 1:2
    13.04.2024 Paderborn - Karlsruher 1:1
    05.11.2023 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:3
    27.01.2023 Karlsruher - Paderborn 0:1
    Latest results of Karlsruher
    06.12.2025 Darmstadt - Karlsruher 3:2
    28.11.2025 Hannover - Karlsruher 3:0
    23.11.2025 Karlsruher - Elversberg 2:3
    13.11.2025 Karlsruher - Luzern 2:0
    Latest results of Paderborn
    06.12.2025 Paderborn - Elversberg 1:2
    28.11.2025 Schalke 04 - Paderborn 2:1
    22.11.2025 Paderborn - Hannover 0:2
    09.11.2025 Magdeburg - Paderborn 0:1
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke23144533:201346
    2Darmstadt23129244:251945
    3Elversberg23135542:251744
    4Paderborn23134638:261243
    5Hannover23126541:301142
    6Kaiserslautern23114839:33637
    7Hertha Berlin2397732:28434
    8Nurnberg2386930:32-230
    9Karlsruher SC2386934:43-930
    10Bochum2378831:28329
    11Arminia Bielefeld23761036:32427
    12Dusseldorf23741221:33-1225
    13Braunschweig23741226:40-1425
    14Holstein Kiel23661128:34-624
    15Preussen Munster23581027:35-823
    16Magdeburg23721434:44-1023
    17SG Dynamo Dresden23571132:40-822
    18Greuther Furth23641334:54-2022

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