Result
4:3
23/11/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Chance Liga - Round 16
- Referee: Roucek K. (Cze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Czech-republic | Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (364/435) | 83% (382/459) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 2.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (364/435) | 83% (382/459) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (34/62) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (62/90) | 69% (101/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (3/12) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 60% (12/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.05 | 1.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.95 | -2.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, van Buren M. ⚽, Sloncik T. (A),
- 31', Kucera J. ↓, Horak D. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 1, Ayaosi E. ⚽, Krcik D. (A),
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Sigut S. ⚽, Samko D. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 46', Buzek A. ↓, Kristan J. ↑,
- 47', Bohac S. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 2, Darida V. ⚽, Pilar V. (A),
- 60', 3 - 2, Ayaosi E. ⚽, Samko D. (A),
- 65', Pilar V. ↓, Mihalik O. ↑,
- 74', van Buren M. ↓, Griger A. ↑,
- 75', Dancak S. 🟨,
- 85', Samko D. ↓, Conde O. ↑,
- 85', Gning A. ↓, Ezeh L. ↑,
- 87', 4 - 2, Ayaosi E. ⚽, Ezeh L. (A),
- 89', 4 - 3, Darida V. ⚽,
- 90+3', Sigut S. ↓, Chytry J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Karviná
42.9% | Draw
26.7% | Hradec Králové
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Karviná has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Hradec Králové has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karviná than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hradec Králové than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Karviná - Hradec Králové Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.12) |
3.5 ↓
(3.59) |
3.08 ↓
(3.11) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Karviná - Hradec Králové?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Karviná will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hradec Králové will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karviná: 45% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 1.
- Karviná is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hradec Králové is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Karviná could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Karviná: Traore A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hradec Králové: Chvatal J.
(Knee Injury)
Cihak F.
(Muscle Injury)
Cmelik L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Kodes P.
(Knee Injury)
Vizek P.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Karviná: Krcik D.
(Injury)
Vallo K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Hradec Králové: Darida V.
(Concussion)
Vlkanova A.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Karviná won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karviná won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Karviná won against Hradec Králové?
Karviná has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hradec Králové won against Karviná?
Hradec Králové has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Karviná - Hradec Králové were as follows:
26.07.2025
Hradec Králové
-
Karviná
1:2
10.05.2025
Karviná
-
Hradec Králové
0:4
03.05.2025
Hradec Králové
-
Karviná
1:0
09.03.2025
Hradec Králové
-
Karviná
1:1
05.10.2024
Karviná
-
Hradec Králové
0:0
Latest results of Karviná
Latest results of Hradec Králové
Czech 1 Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Slavia Prague ✔ | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 60:20 | 40 | 68 |
| 2 | Sparta Prague ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 57:30 | 27 | 60 |
| 3 | Jablonec ✔ | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 39:28 | 11 | 51 |
| 4 | Plzen ✔ | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 49:33 | 16 | 50 |
| 5 | Hradec Kralove | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 40:33 | 7 | 43 |
| 6 | Liberec | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 42 |
| 7 | Sigma Olomouc | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31:31 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Karvina | 28 | 11 | 3 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Pardubice | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:45 | -10 | 35 |
| 10 | Zlin | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 33:43 | -10 | 31 |
| 11 | Mlada Boleslav | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 41:52 | -11 | 31 |
| 12 | Bohemians | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 22:35 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Teplice | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | Slovacko | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 24:41 | -17 | 23 |
| 15 | Ostrava ✔ | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 25:42 | -17 | 22 |
| 16 | Dukla Prague ✔ | 28 | 3 | 11 | 14 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Chance Liga (7th~10th places: )
Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Slavia Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Jablonec is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Plzen is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )
Ostrava is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
Dukla Prague is Chance Liga (Relegation Group )
