Result
5:2
24/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (373/457) | 81% (399/490) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.85 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.40 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (373/457) | 81% (399/490) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (16/49) | 37% (19/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (65/105) | 68% (69/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 45% (5/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 3.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | -1.60 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Danilo Cardoso ⚽, Arai M. (A),
- 35', 1 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Scholz A. (A),
- 40', Mase T. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Sato K. ⚽,
- 45+3', Danilo Cardoso 🟨,
- 45+5', 3 - 1, Marcelo Ryan (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Endo K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 46', Arai M. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
- 55', Watanabe A. ↓, Nemoto R. ↑,
- 56', Mase T. ↓, Omori S. ↑,
- 68', 4 - 1, Muroya S. ⚽,
- 69', Matheus Leiria ↓, Ando K. ↑,
- 70', 4 - 2, Ando K. ⚽,
- 70', Scholz A. ↓, Omori R. ↑,
- 74', 5 - 2, Sato R. ⚽, Marcelo Ryan (A),
- 76', Semba T. ↓, Yamashita Y. ↑,
- 83', Sato K. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 83', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 88', Inamura H. ↓, Morishige M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo
58% | Draw
26.5% | Mito HollyHock
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Mito HollyHock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mito HollyHock than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Tokyo - Mito HollyHock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↓
(1.72) |
3.55 ↓
(3.68) |
6.07 ↑
(4.9) |
6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Mito HollyHock?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Mito HollyHock (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 50%). Mito HollyHock (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 11th place)).
- In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mito HollyHock is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tokyo has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Tokyo is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Nagakura M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Nagatomo Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
Tawaratsumida K.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Mito HollyHock: Fofana M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Sato K.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Mito HollyHock: Kato C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Torikai Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Mito HollyHock?
Tokyo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mito HollyHock won against Tokyo?
Mito HollyHock has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Mito HollyHock were as follows:
14.03.2026
Mito HollyHock
-
Tokyo
1:2
11.10.2024
Tokyo
-
Mito HollyHock
1:2
Latest results of Mito HollyHock
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 14 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:10 | 34 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 29:13 | 32 |
| 3 | Machida | 13 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 21:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Verdy | 13 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 20:16 | 24 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 20:25 | 20 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 20:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Mito | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:28 | 18 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21:26 | 16 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 14 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 13:26 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 23:18 | 26 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 15 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 28:21 | 25 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 14 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 4 | Cerezo Osaka | 14 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 14 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 20 |
| 6 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:19 | 20 |
| 7 | Okayama | 14 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 18:24 | 20 |
| 8 | Kyoto | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18:27 | 18 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14:22 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
