Kyoto Sanga vs Kawasaki Frontale – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera (Kameoka).

J1 League - Round 33
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.02	2.00
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
8	22
Shots on target
2	6
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Passes
76% (293/388)	81% (356/438)
Yellow Cards
3	3
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02	2.00
xG on target (xGOT)
1.18	1.45
Total shots
8	22
Shots on target
2	6
Shots off target
3	9
Blocked Shots
3	7
Shots inside the Box
8	13
Shots outside the Box
0	9
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	1
Corner Kicks
3	6
Touches in opposition box
23	37
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
9	8
Passes
76% (293/388)	81% (356/438)
Long passes
25% (13/52)	35% (19/54)
Passes in final third
64% (75/118)	77% (122/158)
Crosses
19% (3/16)	15% (3/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.93	2.19
Throw-ins
10	18
Fouls
8	9
Tackles
46% (6/13)	83% (10/12)
Duels won
40	38
Clearances
27	20
Interceptions
9	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.45	1.18
Goals prevented
0.45	0.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Erison (A),
11', Fukuoka S. ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
38', 1 - 1, Sugai H. ⚽, Matsuda T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Okugawa M. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
58', Hirato T. 🟨,
59', Yamada F. 🟨,
65', Nakano R. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
65', Matsuda T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
74', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
75', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
76', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
77', Tachibanada K. 🟨,
84', Romanic L. 🟨,
85', Hirato T. ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
85', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
88', Romanic L. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning

Kyoto Sanga
36.8%

Draw
26.3%

Kawasaki Frontale
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.3%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.6%

37.9%

Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.69)	3.56 ↓ (3.63)	2.55 ↑ (2.49)	5.9% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
Kyoto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kawasaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro (Yellow Cards) Yonemoto T. (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel (Inactive) Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury) Yamamoto Y. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Rafael Elias (Injury)
There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison (Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Kyoto Sanga?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:

01.03.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga 0:1

09.11.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1

09.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga 0:1

12.11.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Kyoto Sanga 3:3

03.05.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

28.09.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Machida Zelvia 1:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

12.09.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Fagiano Okayama 5:0 ✺

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

28.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Kashiwa Reysol 4:4 ✺

23.09.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

07.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League