Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 33
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (293/388) | 81% (356/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 2.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 0 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (293/388) | 81% (356/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (13/52) | 35% (19/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (75/118) | 77% (122/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 15% (3/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.93 | 2.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 83% (10/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Ito T. ⚽, Erison (A),
- 11', Fukuoka S. ↓, Takeda S. ↑,
- 38', 1 - 1, Sugai H. ⚽, Matsuda T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Okugawa M. ↓, Yamada F. ↑,
- 58', Hirato T. 🟨,
- 59', Yamada F. 🟨,
- 65', Nakano R. ↓, Leo Gomes ↑,
- 65', Matsuda T. ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 74', Marcinho ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
- 75', Erison ↓, Romanic L. ↑,
- 76', Nagasawa S. 🟨,
- 77', Tachibanada K. 🟨,
- 84', Romanic L. 🟨,
- 85', Hirato T. ↓, Gustavo Barreto ↑,
- 85', Ito T. ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
- 88', Romanic L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kyoto Sanga
36.8% | Draw
26.3% | Kawasaki Frontale
36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+1%)
Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.69) |
3.56 ↓
(3.63) |
2.55 ↑
(2.49) |
5.9%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Kyoto will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 2.
- Kyoto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kawasaki is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Kyoto: Joao Pedro
(Yellow Cards)
Yonemoto T.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Kawasaki: Jesiel
(Inactive)
Kurumaya S.
(Calf Injury)
Lee G.
(Knee Injury)
Maruyama Y.
(Knee Injury)
Oshima R.
(Calf Injury)
Yamamoto Y.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Kyoto: Rafael Elias
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kawasaki: Erison
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kyoto won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kyoto won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Kawasaki Frontale?
Kyoto Sanga has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Kyoto Sanga?
Kawasaki Frontale has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kyoto Sanga - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:
01.03.2025
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
09.11.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Kawasaki Frontale
1:1
09.03.2024
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
12.11.2023
Kawasaki Frontale
-
Kyoto Sanga
3:3
03.05.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Kawasaki Frontale
0:1
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
