Tokyo Verdy vs Kawasaki Frontale: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

29/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

: J1 League - Round 22

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.55
Ball Possession
40%	60%
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
2	5
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Passes
83% (312/377)	86% (505/588)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26	0.55
xG on target (xGOT)
1.43	1.28
Total shots
9	11
Shots on target
2	5
Shots off target
5	2
Blocked Shots
2	4
Shots inside the Box
7	8
Shots outside the Box
2	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
4	0
Corner Kicks
7	3
Touches in opposition box
17	16
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	19
Passes
83% (312/377)	86% (505/588)
Long passes
37% (18/49)	37% (18/49)
Passes in final third
72% (89/124)	70% (108/154)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.11	0.61
Throw-ins
14	17
Fouls
19	13
Tackles
70% (7/10)	92% (11/12)
Duels won
43	59
Clearances
31	10
Interceptions
7	4
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
1.28	1.43
Goals prevented
1.28	0.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
32', 1 - 0, Fukazawa D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Oshima R. ↓, Yamamoto Y. ↑,
46', Kanda S. ↓, Yamada S. ↑,
62', Arai Y. ↓, Someno I. ↑,
62', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
65', Tachibanada K. ↓, Ozeki Y. ↑,
67', Miyahara K. 🟨,
69', Ito T. 🟨,
72', Saito K. ↓, Kumatoriya I. ↑,
74', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
77', Matheus Vidotto 🟨,
90+1', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
90+5', Morita K. ↓, Inami T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
26.7%

Draw
29.1%

Kawasaki Frontale
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

28.5%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

28.3%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Kawasaki Frontale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.74)	3.25 ↓ (3.35)	2.12 ↑ (2.08)	5.9% (4.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale?

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Kawasaki will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kawasaki: 54.1% – 91.3%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kawasaki (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 6).
Tokyo Verdy is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Kawasaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kawasaki could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kawasaki: Erison (Knee Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo Verdy: Sako M. (Inactive)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Tokyo Verdy?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale were as follows:

20.04.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy 0:0

30.11.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale 4:5

20.04.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Verdy 0:0

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

21.06.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

15.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

11.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Tochigi 3:1 ✺

08.06.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy 2:1 ✺

04.06.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Kashiwa Reysol 0:3 ✺

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

25.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Albirex Niigata 3:1 ✺

21.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Vissel Kobe 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 Yokohama FC - Kawasaki Frontale 0:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Fukushima United 4:3 ✺

31.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	22	13	2	7	32:20	12	41
2	Kashiwa Reysol	22	11	8	3	30:20	10	41
3	Vissel Kobe	22	12	4	6	28:21	7	40
4	Kyoto	22	11	5	6	36:26	10	38
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	22	11	3	8	26:18	8	36
6	Kawasaki Frontale	22	9	8	5	35:23	12	35
7	Urawa Reds	21	9	7	5	26:20	6	34
8	Machida	22	10	4	8	30:25	5	34
9	Cerezo Osaka	22	9	6	7	34:29	5	33
10	Okayama	22	8	6	8	19:19	0	30
11	Avispa Fukuoka	22	8	6	8	19:21	-2	30
12	Gamba Osaka	22	8	4	10	26:30	-4	28
13	Nagoya Grampus	22	7	6	9	28:30	-2	27
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	22	7	6	9	27:29	-2	27
15	Verdy	22	7	6	9	15:23	-8	27
16	FC Tokyo	22	7	5	10	24:31	-7	26
17	Shonan Bellmare	21	6	5	10	16:26	-10	23
18	Yokohama FC	22	5	4	13	14:27	-13	19
19	Albirex Niigata	22	4	7	11	23:37	-14	19
20	Yokohama F. Marinos	22	3	6	13	19:32	-13	15

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League

Which TV channels are streaming of Tokyo Verdy - Kawasaki Frontale?

It is being streamed on various channels, including:


Africa	Sporty TV
Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan