Result
1:0
19/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 27
- Referee: Meler H. U. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.26 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/519) | 72% (237/330) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.50 | 0.15 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (459/519) | 72% (237/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (34/57) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (132/171) | 56% (48/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.22 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.15 | 2.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.15 | 1.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 37', Kranevitter M. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Soyalp F. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
- 56', Mendes J. ↓, Makarov D. ↑,
- 62', Kalayci B. ↓, Babicka S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Onugkha G. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
- 67', Cukur T. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 75', Civelek R. ↓, Katongo J. ↑,
- 77', Ozcan B. ↓, Kone ↑,
- 77', Serginho ↓, Ahmed T. ↑,
- 77', Mladenovic F. ↓, Kurukalip C. ↑,
- 80', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Saglam G. ↑,
- 89', Chalov F. 🟨,
- 90+1', Cardoso M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kayserispor
45.5% | Draw
27.9% | Fatih Karagümrükspor
26.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(2.02) |
3.39 ↓
(3.71) |
3.57 ↓
(3.76) |
5.6%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 10 - 41.7%). Karagümrük will win (votes: 4 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kayserispor: 22% – 61.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Kayserispor will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Burak A.
(Suspended)
Celtik Y.
(Knee Injury)
Cihan K.
(Inactive)
Hosseini M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Camacho J.
(Inactive)
Kadioglu M.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Karagümrük: Biraschi D.
(Injury)
Elmaz B.
(Injury)
Larsson S.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kayserispor won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:21. (average 1:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kayserispor won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Kayserispor has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Kayserispor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kayserispor - Fatih Karagümrükspor were as follows:
24.10.2025
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kayserispor
2:2
04.05.2024
Kayserispor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:2
10.01.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kayserispor
4:1
30.05.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kayserispor
2:0
04.01.2023
Kayserispor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:4
Latest results of Kayserispor
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 29 | 21 | 5 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 68 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 29 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 66:28 | 38 | 66 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 29 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 56:31 | 25 | 64 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 53:34 | 19 | 55 |
| 5 | Basaksehir | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 47 |
| 6 | Goztepe | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 32:37 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 35 |
| 9 | Konyaspor | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 36:41 | -5 | 34 |
| 10 | Gaziantep | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 37:47 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 29 | 6 | 15 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 33 |
| 12 | Rizespor | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 13 | Kasimpasa | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 28:41 | -13 | 28 |
| 14 | Antalyaspor | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | Genclerbirligi | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28:42 | -14 | 25 |
| 16 | Kayserispor | 29 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 21:54 | -33 | 23 |
| 17 | Eyupspor | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19:41 | -22 | 22 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
