Result
2:2
24/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super Lig - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.66 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (276/366) | 75% (305/404) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.66 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.97 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (276/366) | 75% (305/404) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (16/43) | 41% (31/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (68/119) | 70% (80/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.03 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Tokoz D. ↑,
- 12', Burak A. 🟨,
- 14', Cardoso M. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Larsson S. (Pen),
- 45+1', Roco E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kocaman A. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
- 46', Burak A. ↓, Kapacak B. ↑,
- 58', Mane C. ↓, Opoku A. ↑,
- 65', Djalovic R. 🟨,
- 67', Onugkha G. 🟨,
- 68', Kranevitter M. 🟨,
- 68', 1 - 1, Onugkha G. ⚽, Cardoso M. (A),
- 74', 1 - 2, Onugkha G. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
- 76', Ozcan B. ↓, Johnson D. ↑,
- 76', Sivri A. ↓, Kalayci B. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Cankaya A. R. ⚽, Kurukalip C. (A),
- 89', Serginho ↓, Gray A. ↑,
- 89', Kranevitter M. ↓, Doh M. ↑,
- 90+2', Benes L. 🟥,
- 90+5', Cardoso M. ↓, Korkmaz N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Fatih Karagümrükspor
43.6% | Draw
26.4% | Kayserispor
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fatih Karagümrükspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fatih Karagümrükspor than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (+1%)
Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.2) |
3.58 ↓
(3.67) |
3.17 ↑
(3.02) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Karagümrük will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Kayserispor will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karagümrük: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Kayserispor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Kayserispor (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Kayserispor (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 4.
- Karagümrük has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kayserispor's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Karagümrük might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Karagümrük: Balkovec J.
(Red Card)
Esgaio R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kayserispor: Ackah Y.
(Inactive)
Carole L.
(Yellow Cards)
Karimi A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M.
(Health problems)
Jung G.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Karagümrük won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:7. (average 2.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Karagümrük won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:1. (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Fatih Karagümrükspor won against Kayserispor?
Fatih Karagümrükspor has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kayserispor won against Fatih Karagümrükspor?
Kayserispor has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fatih Karagümrükspor - Kayserispor were as follows:
04.05.2024
Kayserispor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:2
10.01.2024
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kayserispor
4:1
30.05.2023
Fatih Karagümrükspor
-
Kayserispor
2:0
04.01.2023
Kayserispor
-
Fatih Karagümrükspor
2:4
Latest results of Fatih Karagümrükspor
Latest results of Kayserispor
Turkish Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Galatasaray | 24 | 18 | 4 | 2 | 58:18 | 40 | 58 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 24 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 54:23 | 31 | 54 |
| 3 | Trabzonspor | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48:28 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Besiktas | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
| 5 | Goztepe | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 27:16 | 11 | 42 |
| 6 | Basaksehir | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 42:26 | 16 | 39 |
| 7 | Samsunspor | 24 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Kocaelispor | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 21:25 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Gaziantep | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 30:40 | -10 | 29 |
| 10 | Rizespor | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 31:35 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Alanyaspor | 24 | 5 | 11 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 26 |
| 12 | Genclerbirligi | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:34 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Antalyaspor | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24:38 | -14 | 24 |
| 14 | Konyaspor | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
| 15 | Eyupspor | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Kasimpasa | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20:35 | -15 | 20 |
| 17 | Kayserispor | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 18:43 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Karagumruk | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 21:45 | -24 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ 1. Lig
