Result
0:1
27/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 21
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Kabuye S. ↓, Mugume E. ↑,
- 36', Figo 🟨,
- 45+3', Otti R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Amaku F. ↓, Byaruhanga J. ↑,
- 52', Ndihabwe D. ↓, Okwalinga S. ↑,
- 54', 0 - 1, Ssemugabi J. ⚽,
- 60', Tito ↓, Muber E. ↑,
- 63', Kalanzi D. ↓, Male R. ↑,
- 63', Loki E. ↓, Ogweti G. ↑,
- 63', Muwanguzi T. ↓, Wasswa H. ↑,
- 78', 🟨,
- 80', Kiwalazi T. ↓, Jemba R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Police
29.1% | Draw
31.7% | Kitara
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Police has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Police's form might have worsened.Kitara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kitara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Police, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kitara than the current prediction. (-10.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kitara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Police - Kitara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.14 ↑
(2.55) |
2.88 ↑
(2.55) |
2.33 ↓
(3.05) |
9.6%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Police - Kitara?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Police will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 6).
- Recent matches Police is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Kitara is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Police won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Police won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1
How many head-to-head matches has Police won against Kitara?
Police has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kitara won against Police?
Kitara has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Police - Kitara were as follows:
03.10.2024
Kitara
-
Police
0:1
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Buhimba | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | BUL | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 8 |
| 4 | Police | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Lugazi | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 6 | Kitara | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Entebbe UPPC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | URA SC | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Maroons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Express | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | UPDF | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 12 | NEC FC | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Villa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Calvary | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | Vipers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
