Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 13
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ 4K Ultra, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (189/276) | 77% (314/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (189/276) | 77% (314/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (19/51) | 46% (30/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (52/84) | 61% (75/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 11% (2/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.22 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 33% (3/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 56 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | -0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Remacle M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Markovic E. ↓, Wedrychowski M. ↑,
- 59', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 60', Matuszewski K. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
- 67', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 67', Bosch J. ↓, Milewski S. ↑,
- 68', Nikolov V. 🟨,
- 76', 1 - 0, Milewski S. ⚽,
- 79', Popov V. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 79', Davidovic S. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 82', Kuusk M. 🟨,
- 85', Wedrychowski M. 🟨,
- 90+3', Blanik D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Wasielewski M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Klemenz L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
GKS Katowice
38.8% | Draw
27.8% | Korona Kielce
33.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GKS Katowice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↑
(2.37) |
3.41 ↑
(3.29) |
2.79 ↑
(2.54) |
6.7%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. GKS Katowice will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Korona will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korona: 19.1% – 73.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - GKS Katowice (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. GKS Katowice (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K.
(Injury)
Dlugosz W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Czerwinski A.
(Injury)
Zrelak A.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, GKS Katowice won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, GKS Katowice won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has GKS Katowice won against Korona Kielce?
GKS Katowice has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against GKS Katowice?
Korona Kielce has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce were as follows:
05.05.2025
Korona Kielce
-
GKS Katowice
2:1
04.11.2024
GKS Katowice
-
Korona Kielce
1:2
10.12.2022
Korona Kielce
-
GKS Katowice
0:1
Latest results of GKS Katowice
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
