Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 12
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Ukraine | Sport 3 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.81 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/351) | 84% (399/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.81 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (275/351) | 84% (399/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (21/52) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (68/105) | 82% (142/173) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.84 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (18/22) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.29 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Blanik D. (Pen),
- 45', 1 - 0, Remacle M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Ambros L. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
- 46', Kmet M. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
- 60', Matuszewski K. 🟨,
- 62', Matuszewski K. ↓, Pieczek M. ↑,
- 62', Blanik D. ↓, Nono ↑,
- 62', Szczesniak K. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
- 73', Zwozny H. ↓, Niski N. ↑,
- 73', Antonin ↓, Nikolov V. ↑,
- 81', Janza E. ↓, Lukoszek K. ↑,
- 81', Liseth S. ↓, Gabriel Barbosa ↑,
- 81', Davidovic S. ↓, Kaminski W. ↑,
- 90+2', Sotiriou K. 🟨,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Janicki R. ⚽, Olkowski P. (A),
Chances of winning
Korona Kielce
36.2% | Draw
29.3% | Górnik Zabrze
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Korona Kielce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.6) |
2.69 ↓
(3.28) |
2.28 ↓
(2.66) |
26.7%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Korona will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Korona won 0.
- Korona is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Górnik Zabrze is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Korona: Ciszek K.
(Injury)
Dlugosz W.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Górnik Zabrze: Podolski L.
(Inactive)
Sacek M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Korona won 3 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Korona won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Korona Kielce won against Górnik Zabrze?
Korona Kielce has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Górnik Zabrze won against Korona Kielce?
Górnik Zabrze has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze were as follows:
24.05.2025
Górnik Zabrze
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
01.12.2024
Korona Kielce
-
Górnik Zabrze
2:4
19.02.2024
Górnik Zabrze
-
Korona Kielce
3:1
12.08.2023
Korona Kielce
-
Górnik Zabrze
0:1
06.04.2023
Górnik Zabrze
-
Korona Kielce
1:1
Latest results of Korona Kielce
Latest results of Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 24:17 | 7 | 16 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
