Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11
  • Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.92
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (273/333)78% (232/299)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.70
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3124
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
82% (273/333)78% (232/299)
Long passes
56% (30/54)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
67% (63/94)69% (75/109)
Crosses
38% (5/13)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.92
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1618
Tackles
93% (14/15)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5342
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
1117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.700.53
Goals prevented
0.70-1.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Cordoba J. , Olaza L. (A),
  • 18', Silva I. 🟨,
  • 30', Tormena , Jubal Junior ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Diego Costa , Spertsyan E. (A),
  • 45+1', Melkadze G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Krivtsov N. , Lenini K. ,
  • 51', Lenini K. 🟨,
  • 63', Keliano M. , Zhemaletdinov R. ,
  • 63', Samorodov M. , Mansilla B. ,
  • 75', Sidorov M. , El Mahraoui A. ,
  • 75', Melkadze G. , Konate M. ,
  • 77', Victor Sa , Gonzalez G. ,
  • 77', Jubal Junior , Paltsev V. ,
  • 85', Ndong O. 🟥,
  • 85', Spertsyan E. 🟨,
  • 88', Spertsyan E. , Kozlov D. ,
  • 88', Cacintura E. , Ibishev T. ,

Chances of winning


Krasnodar
58.2%
Draw
23.9%
Akhmat Grozny
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 23.8% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 23.2% 16.8%

Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.65
(1.57)
4.02
(3.9)
5.36
(5.4)
4.1%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 2.
    • Krasnodar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Akhmat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Krasnodar is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D. (Injury) Furtado G. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 3:1
    11.03.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 1:2
    02.10.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 3:0
    15.08.2024 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 1:0
    21.07.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 1:1
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    30.09.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow 1:0
    27.09.2025 Rostov - Krasnodar 0:0
    21.09.2025 Krasnodar - Zenit 0:2
    17.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 1:2
    13.09.2025 Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti 2:1
    Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar18124237:122540
    2Zenit18116134:122239
    3Lokomotiv Moscow18107139:231637
    4CSKA Moscow18113430:171336
    5Baltika1898124:71735
    6Spartak Moscow1885526:23329
    7Rubin Kazan1865716:22-623
    8Akhmat Grozny1864822:25-322
    9Akron Togliatti1856722:26-421
    10Dynamo Moscow1856727:26121
    11FK Rostov1856715:20-521
    12Krylya Sovetov1845920:33-1317
    13Dynamo Makhachkala183698:21-1315
    14Pari NN18421212:28-1614
    15Orenburg18261017:29-1212
    16Sochi18231316:41-259

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL