Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 11
  • Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.92
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (273/333)78% (232/299)
Yellow Cards
21
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.511.92
xG on target (xGOT)
0.530.70
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
65
Shots inside the Box
138
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
3124
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
1816
Passes
82% (273/333)78% (232/299)
Long passes
56% (30/54)44% (19/43)
Passes in final third
67% (63/94)69% (75/109)
Crosses
38% (5/13)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.740.92
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
1618
Tackles
93% (14/15)70% (7/10)
Duels won
5342
Clearances
2522
Interceptions
1117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
0.700.53
Goals prevented
0.70-1.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Cordoba J. , Olaza L. (A),
  • 18', Silva I. 🟨,
  • 30', Tormena , Jubal Junior ,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Diego Costa , Spertsyan E. (A),
  • 45+1', Melkadze G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Krivtsov N. , Lenini K. ,
  • 51', Lenini K. 🟨,
  • 63', Keliano M. , Zhemaletdinov R. ,
  • 63', Samorodov M. , Mansilla B. ,
  • 75', Sidorov M. , El Mahraoui A. ,
  • 75', Melkadze G. , Konate M. ,
  • 77', Victor Sa , Gonzalez G. ,
  • 77', Jubal Junior , Paltsev V. ,
  • 85', Ndong O. 🟥,
  • 85', Spertsyan E. 🟨,
  • 88', Spertsyan E. , Kozlov D. ,
  • 88', Cacintura E. , Ibishev T. ,

Chances of winning


Krasnodar
58.2%
Draw
23.9%
Akhmat Grozny
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.1% 23.8% 17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6% 23.2% 16.8%

Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.65
(1.57)
4.02
(3.9)
5.36
(5.4)
4.1%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 2.
    • Krasnodar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Akhmat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Krasnodar is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D. (Injury) Furtado G. (Muscle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 3:1
    11.03.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 1:2
    02.10.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 3:0
    15.08.2024 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 1:0
    21.07.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Krasnodar 1:1
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    30.09.2025 Krasnodar - Dynamo Moscow 1:0
    27.09.2025 Rostov - Krasnodar 0:0
    21.09.2025 Krasnodar - Zenit 0:2
    17.09.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Krasnodar 1:2
    13.09.2025 Krasnodar - Akron Tolyatti 2:1
    Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zenit1696131:121933
    2CSKA Moscow16103326:141233
    3Krasnodar15103228:91933
    4Lokomotiv Moscow1586131:191230
    5Baltika1678121:71429
    6Spartak Moscow1684425:21428
    7Rubin Kazan1665516:19-323
    8Akron Togliatti1656521:22-121
    9FK Rostov1646612:17-518
    10Dynamo Moscow1545622:23-117
    11Krylya Sovetov1645720:26-617
    12Akhmat Grozny1644819:24-516
    13Dynamo Makhachkala153578:17-914
    14Orenburg1626817:26-912
    15Sochi16221214:37-238
    16Pari NN1622129:27-188

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL