Result
2:0
04/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 7 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (273/333) | 78% (232/299) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 0.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (273/333) | 78% (232/299) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 44% (19/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (63/94) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 93% (14/15) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.53 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.70 | -1.47 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Olaza L. (A),
- 18', Silva I. 🟨,
- 30', Tormena ↓, Jubal Junior ↑,
- 31', 2 - 0, Diego Costa ⚽, Spertsyan E. (A),
- 45+1', Melkadze G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Krivtsov N. ↓, Lenini K. ↑,
- 51', Lenini K. 🟨,
- 63', Keliano M. ↓, Zhemaletdinov R. ↑,
- 63', Samorodov M. ↓, Mansilla B. ↑,
- 75', Sidorov M. ↓, El Mahraoui A. ↑,
- 75', Melkadze G. ↓, Konate M. ↑,
- 77', Victor Sa ↓, Gonzalez G. ↑,
- 77', Jubal Junior ↓, Paltsev V. ↑,
- 85', Ndong O. 🟥,
- 85', Spertsyan E. 🟨,
- 88', Spertsyan E. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 88', Cacintura E. ↓, Ibishev T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
58.2% | Draw
23.9% | Akhmat Grozny
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↑
(1.57) |
4.02 ↑
(3.9) |
5.36 ↓
(5.4) |
4.1%
(7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 2.
- Krasnodar is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Akhmat has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Krasnodar is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Cobnan M. D.
(Injury)
Furtado G.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Krasnodar won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krasnodar won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Akhmat Grozny?
Krasnodar has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Krasnodar?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
19.04.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
3:1
11.03.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:2
02.10.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krasnodar
3:0
15.08.2024
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:0
21.07.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krasnodar
1:1
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Baltika | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 15:6 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
