Result
3:1
19/04/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (314/382) | 72% (163/226) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 24 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (314/382) | 72% (163/226) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (28/48) | 48% (25/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (69/99) | 62% (53/86) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/22) | 71% (5/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 51 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.44 | 3.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Joao Batxi 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Cordoba J. ⚽, Joao Batxi (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 1, Melkadze G. ⚽, Samorodov M. (A),
- 63', Krivtsov N. 🟨,
- 64', Todorovic D. 🟨,
- 68', Olusegun O. ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 69', Sadulaev L. ↓, Berisha B. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Spertsyan E. (Pen),
- 80', 3 - 1, Lenini K. ⚽,
- 80', Zorin D. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
- 84', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
- 85', Todorovic D. ↓, Bogosavac M. ↑,
- 85', Samorodov M. ↓, Talal A. ↑,
- 90+3', Spertsyan E. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 90+5', Joao Batxi ↓, Gazinskiy Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Krasnodar
54% | Draw
27% | Akhmat Grozny
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krasnodar's form might have worsened.Akhmat Grozny has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+9.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Krasnodar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akhmat Grozny than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.58) |
3.62 ↓
(4.3) |
5.11 ↓
(6.71) |
2.6%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 100% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Akhmat (votes: 3 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 and 12).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 1.
- Krasnodar is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Recent matches Akhmat is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Krasnodar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Krasnodar is a favorite.
- There will not play in Krasnodar: Chernikov A.
(Yellow Cards)
Olaza L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Akhmat: Kamilov V.
(Yellow Cards)
Shvets A.
(Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Krasnodar won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26:30 (average 1.3:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Krasnodar won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Akhmat Grozny?
Krasnodar has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Akhmat Grozny won against Krasnodar?
Akhmat Grozny has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny were as follows:
11.03.2025
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:2
02.10.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krasnodar
3:0
15.08.2024
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
1:0
21.07.2024
Akhmat Grozny
-
Krasnodar
1:1
04.05.2024
Krasnodar
-
Akhmat Grozny
0:1
Latest results of Krasnodar
Latest results of Akhmat Grozny
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
