Orenburg vs Krasnodar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Orenburg - Krasnodar
Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.05
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
70% (215/305)80% (305/382)
Yellow Cards
63
Expected Goals (xG)
0.872.05
xG on target (xGOT)
1.171.40
Total shots
1621
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
210
Blocked Shots
76
Shots inside the Box
915
Shots outside the Box
76
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
2742
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
70% (215/305)80% (305/382)
Long passes
34% (18/53)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
57% (49/86)69% (83/121)
Crosses
19% (4/21)6% (1/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.00
Throw-ins
1320
Fouls
1313
Tackles
74% (14/19)50% (5/10)
Duels won
4956
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
1313
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
36
xGOT faced
1.401.17
Goals prevented
-0.600.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Mansilla B. , Zotov G. (A),
  • 9', Tataev A. 🟨,
  • 29', 1 - 1, Cordoba J. ,
  • 45+2', Zotov G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Gurluk E. , Marin J. ,
  • 46', Syshchenko M. , Khotulev D. ,
  • 47', Gonzalez G. , Petrov S. ,
  • 51', 1 - 2, Olaza L. ,
  • 57', Khotulev D. 🟨,
  • 62', Joao Batxi , Olusegun O. ,
  • 62', Saharkhizan S. , Savelyev M. ,
  • 71', Zotov G. , Karatas K. ,
  • 79', Rybchinskiy D. , Kovalenko A. ,
  • 80', Victor Sa , Cobnan M. D. ,
  • 81', Prokhin D. 🟨,
  • 85', Cordoba J. 🟨,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', Sysuev N. 🟨,
  • 90', Spertsyan E. , Kozlov D. ,
  • 90+3', Cobnan M. D. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Kozlov D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
17.9%
Draw
22%
Krasnodar
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 21.3% 62.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4% 20.6% 64.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Orenburg - Krasnodar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.35
    (6.2)
    4.35
    (4.62)
    1.59
    (1.57)
    4.7%
    (1.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • What is the prediction for Orenburg - Krasnodar?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 1).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Malykh A. (Injury) Moskvichev B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Orenburg: Kasimov A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.3:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Krasnodar were as follows:
    03.11.2024 Krasnodar - Orenburg 4:0
    03.12.2023 Krasnodar - Orenburg 2:1
    12.08.2023 Orenburg - Krasnodar 0:2
    13.11.2022 Orenburg - Krasnodar 5:1
    Latest results of Orenburg
    10.05.2025 Orenburg - Khimki 1:1
    27.04.2025 Krylya Sovetov - Orenburg 2:0
    12.04.2025 Orenburg - CSKA Moscow 0:2
    Latest results of Krasnodar
    10.05.2025 CSKA Moscow - Krasnodar 1:0
    03.05.2025 Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan 2:1
    19.04.2025 Krasnodar - Akhmat Grozny 3:1
    13.04.2025 Zenit - Krasnodar 4:1
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow11003:033
    2Krasnodar11003:033
    3Rubin Kazan11002:023
    4Zenit11002:113
    5Spartak Moscow11001:013
    6Baltika10101:101
    7Dynamo Moscow10101:101
    8Krylya Sovetov10101:101
    9Akron Togliatti10101:101
    10Orenburg10100:001
    11CSKA Moscow10100:001
    12FK Rostov10011:2-10
    13Dynamo Makhachkala10010:1-10
    14Akhmat Grozny10010:2-20
    15Pari NN10010:3-30
    16Sochi10010:3-30

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL