Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (215/305) | 80% (305/382) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 2.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (215/305) | 80% (305/382) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (18/53) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (49/86) | 69% (83/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 6% (1/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.00 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 50% (5/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Mansilla B. ⚽, Zotov G. (A),
- 9', Tataev A. 🟨,
- 29', 1 - 1, Cordoba J. ⚽,
- 45+2', Zotov G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gurluk E. ↓, Marin J. ↑,
- 46', Syshchenko M. ↓, Khotulev D. ↑,
- 47', Gonzalez G. ↓, Petrov S. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 2, Olaza L. ⚽,
- 57', Khotulev D. 🟨,
- 62', Joao Batxi ↓, Olusegun O. ↑,
- 62', Saharkhizan S. ↓, Savelyev M. ↑,
- 71', Zotov G. ↓, Karatas K. ↑,
- 79', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Kovalenko A. ↑,
- 80', Victor Sa ↓, Cobnan M. D. ↑,
- 81', Prokhin D. 🟨,
- 85', Cordoba J. 🟨,
- 85', 🟨,
- 86', Sysuev N. 🟨,
- 90', Spertsyan E. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,
- 90+3', Cobnan M. D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Kozlov D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
17.9% | Draw
22% | Krasnodar
60.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
Orenburg - Krasnodar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.35 ↓
(6.2) |
4.35 ↓
(4.62) |
1.59 ↑
(1.57) |
4.7%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Krasnodar?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Krasnodar will win (votes: 15 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Krasnodar: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krasnodar will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Krasnodar is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G.
(Injury)
Malykh A.
(Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Orenburg: Kasimov A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 18:23. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Krasnodar?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Krasnodar won against Orenburg?
Krasnodar has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Krasnodar were as follows:
03.11.2024
Krasnodar
-
Orenburg
4:0
03.12.2023
Krasnodar
-
Orenburg
2:1
12.08.2023
Orenburg
-
Krasnodar
0:2
13.11.2022
Orenburg
-
Krasnodar
5:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Latest results of Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
