Result
4:3 penalties
01/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 9', Chernov N. 🟨,
- 35', 0 - 1, Ignatov M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, Evgenyev R. ⚽, Akhmetov I. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Aberdin N. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Kamano F. ↓, Korneev A. ↑,
- 46', Iljin V. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
- 62', Marin J. ↓, Oleynikov I. ↑,
- 63', Marcelo Alves ↓, Agbalaka S. ↑,
- 63', Ignatenko V. ↓, Gaich A. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Kramaric M. (Pen),
- 70', Kokarev N. 🟨,
- 70', Kramaric M. 🟨,
- 75', Banjac M. ↓, Fernando Costanza ↑,
- 75', Akhmetov I. ↓, Sutormin A. ↑,
- 75', Evgenyev R. ↓, Bozhin S. ↑,
- 77', Mukhin M. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Chernov N. ⚽,
- 84', Ignatov M. ↓, Zinkovskiy A. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 3, Zinkovskiy A. ⚽,
- Penalties (5 - 4)
- 1, Makarchuk A. (Pen),
- 1, Lepskii I. (Pen),
- 2, Kramaric M. (Pen),
- 2, Sutormin A. (Pen),
- 3, Zinkovskiy A. (Pen),
- 3, Oleynikov I. (Pen),
- 4, Kravtsov K. (Pen),
- 4, Fernando Costanza (Pen),
- 5, Osipov A. (Pen),
- 5, Pechenin K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Krylya Sovetov
48.9% | Draw
27.4% | Sochi
23.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Krylya Sovetov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Krylya Sovetov - Sochi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.78) |
3.49 ↓
(3.65) |
4.04 ↓
(4.1) |
4.4%
(8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Krylya Sovetov - Sochi?
Users Predictions:
Krylya Sovetov will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Krylya Sovetov will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 4.
- Krylya Sovetov has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sochi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Sochi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Krylya Sovetov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Krylya Sovetov won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:6. (average 1.7:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Krylya Sovetov won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Krylya Sovetov won against Sochi?
Krylya Sovetov has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Krylya Sovetov?
Sochi has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Krylya Sovetov - Sochi were as follows:
14.09.2025
Krylya Sovetov
-
Sochi
2:0
13.08.2025
Sochi
-
Krylya Sovetov
2:1
02.12.2023
Sochi
-
Krylya Sovetov
0:2
23.09.2023
Krylya Sovetov
-
Sochi
2:1
09.04.2023
Sochi
-
Krylya Sovetov
1:2
Latest results of Krylya Sovetov
Russian Cup Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Zenit ✔ | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Orenburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | 4 |
| 4 | Akhmat Grozny | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 11 |
| 2 | Krylya Sovetov | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 3 | Dynamo Moscow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Sochi | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:15 | 3 |
Group C | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Dynamo Makhachkala ✔ | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Spartak Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10:4 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Rostov | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | 4 |
| 4 | Pari NN | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | 3 |
Group D | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Baltika | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 4 | Akron Togliatti | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ Russian Cup (Regions Path ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Zenit is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
Dynamo Makhachkala is Qualified for Russian Cup (Play Offs )
