Result
5:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 6
- Referee: Koppel K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 16', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
- 16', Chanda R. ↓, Kabal G. ↑,
- 18', 0 - 1, Gero A. ⚽, Agaptsev S. (A),
- 31', 1 - 1, Dacosta O. ⚽, Jarvelaid H. (A),
- 37', 2 - 1, Matas K. ⚽, Jarvelaid H. (A),
- 45+2', Burjanadze S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 51', 3 - 1, Beglarishvili Z. ⚽,
- 52', Pareiko D. 🟨,
- 55', Kudriashov V. ↓, Imeh J. ↑,
- 55', Burjanadze S. ↓, Rowe H. ↑,
- 61', Merilai S. ↓, Vain B. ↑,
- 61', Matas K. ↓, Ounapuu E. ↑,
- 70', Skinjov A. ↓, Besigirskis A. ↑,
- 70', Agaptsev S. ↓, Poliakov D. ↑,
- 75', Poliakov D. 🟨,
- 75', Jarvelaid H. ↓, Truuvaart A. ↑,
- 75', Beglarishvili Z. ↓, Chisala B. ↑,
- 76', 4 - 1, Dacosta O. ⚽, Chisala B. (A),
- 78', Doke J. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 90+1', Pareiko D. 🟨,
- 90+4', 5 - 1, Ounapuu E. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Nõmme United
40.5% | Draw
24.3% | Narva Trans
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nõmme United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nõmme United's performance.Narva Trans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Narva Trans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme United than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nõmme United that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (+8.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Narva Trans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Nõmme United - Narva Trans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(3.04) |
3.8 ↑
(3.55) |
2.64 ↑
(2.08) |
8%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 5).
- Recent form of Nõmme United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Narva Trans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Narva Trans may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nõmme United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 1.2:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nõmme United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme United won against Narva Trans?
Nõmme United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Nõmme United?
Narva Trans has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nõmme United - Narva Trans were as follows:
24.01.2026
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme United
3:4
21.09.2024
Nõmme United
-
Narva Trans
0:4
26.07.2024
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme United
2:1
23.05.2024
Nõmme United
-
Narva Trans
1:3
30.03.2024
Narva Trans
-
Nõmme United
2:0
Latest results of Nõmme United
Latest results of Narva Trans
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Paide | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13:7 | 6 | 13 |
| 3 | Levadia | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:6 | 5 | 12 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 5 | Flora | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
| 6 | Nomme Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | Narva | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 6 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 6 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
