Result
0:1
25/10/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Jekimov M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Iljin A. ↓, Domov P. ↑,
- 57', Musolitin O. 🟨,
- 58', Kask K. ↓, Orlov M. ↑,
- 60', 0 - 1, Orlov M. ⚽, Ivanov N. (A),
- 61', Tambedou M. 🟨,
- 68', Ivanov N. 🟨,
- 69', Vahermagi J. ↓, Jermatsenko A. ↑,
- 73', Pajunurm M. (Pen),
- 76', Ivanov N. ↓, Baptista T. ↑,
- 81', Sinilaid S. ↓, Visse A. ↑,
- 81', Demidov E. ↓, Pevtsov G. ↑,
- 90+2', Prunn S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Kuressaare 12.8% | Draw 18.4% | Nõmme Kalju 68.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kuressaare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Nõmme Kalju has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nõmme Kalju's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kuressaare than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (-4%)
Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.27 ↑ (6.99) |
5.04 ↑ (3.95) |
1.35 ↓ (1.44) |
7.7% (9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 0.
- Kuressaare has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Nõmme Kalju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Nõmme Kalju is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kuressaare won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 12:44. (average 0.6:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kuressaare won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:19. (average 0.5:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Kuressaare won against Nõmme Kalju?
Kuressaare has won 1 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nõmme Kalju won against Kuressaare?
Nõmme Kalju has won 10 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju were as follows:
31.08.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Kuressaare
2:0
18.05.2025
Nõmme Kalju
-
Kuressaare
4:0
12.04.2025
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme Kalju
0:2
02.11.2024
Kuressaare
-
Nõmme Kalju
1:2
18.08.2024
Nõmme Kalju
-
Kuressaare
5:1
Latest results of Kuressaare
Latest results of Nõmme Kalju
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 76 |
| 2 | Levadia | 34 | 24 | 3 | 7 | 83:34 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Kalju | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
| 4 | Paide | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 59:31 | 28 | 66 |
| 5 | Narva | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 53:46 | 7 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 54:45 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 43:67 | -24 | 32 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 34 | 8 | 4 | 22 | 31:63 | -32 | 28 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 34 | 8 | 3 | 23 | 44:81 | -37 | 27 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev ✔ | 34 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 29:108 | -79 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tallinna Kalev is Relegated to Esiliiga