Kashima Antlers vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/04/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kashima Soccer Stadium (Kashima).

J1 League - Round 9
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	1.34
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
5	4
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
4	6
Passes
75% (284/379)	72% (213/296)
Yellow Cards
1	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	1.34
xG on target (xGOT)
1.74	1.30
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked Shots
6	2
Shots inside the Box
7	7
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
2	6
Corner Kicks
4	6
Touches in opposition box
26	16
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
19	11
Passes
75% (284/379)	72% (213/296)
Long passes
45% (34/75)	30% (20/67)
Passes in final third
64% (103/162)	60% (52/87)
Crosses
38% (9/24)	13% (3/23)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	1.03
Fouls
11	19
Tackles
56% (5/9)	43% (6/14)
Duels won
58	47
Clearances Total
23	38
Interceptions
6	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	2
xGOT faced
1.30	1.74
Goals prevented
-2.70	-1.43

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Hara T. 🟨,
16', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Suzuki Y. (A),
20', Appiah Tawiah H. 🟨,
30', 2 - 0, Leo Ceara ⚽, Ueda N. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Appiah Tawiah H. ↓, Miyamoto Y. ↑,
46', Fukuoka S. ↓, Joao Pedro ↑,
47', Joao Pedro 🟨,
57', Sato K. ↓, Fukuda S. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Okugawa M. ⚽,
64', Matsumura Y. 🟨,
65', Shibasaki G. ↓, Misao K. ↑,
65', Matsumura Y. ↓, Morooka S. ↑,
65', Araki R. ↓, Koike R. ↑,
70', Okugawa M. ↓, Marco Tulio ↑,
78', Hirato T. ↓, Murilo de Souza ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
82', 2 - 3, Rafael Elias ⚽, Sugai H. (A),
82', Suzuki Y. ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
85', Higuchi Y. ↓, Kim Tae-Hyeon ↑,
90+2', 3 - 3, Morooka S. ⚽, Anzai K. (A),
90+5', 3 - 4, Rafael Elias ⚽, Hara T. (A),
90+10', Ota G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kashima Antlers
43.4%

Draw
28.2%

Kyoto Sanga
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.7%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

28.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2.13)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	3.33 ↓ (3.46)	6.7% (6.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kyoto will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 40% – 93.4%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 2.
Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.
Kashima will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kashima: Shimoda Y. (Inactive) Tokuda H. (Inactive)
There will not play in Kyoto: Gu Sung-Yun (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Kashima: Cavric A. (Injury)
There are questionable in Kyoto: Marco Tulio (Injury) Patrick William (Inactive)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Kashima won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 0.8:0.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 0.7:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Kyoto Sanga?

Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Kashima Antlers?

Kyoto Sanga has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:

17.11.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers 0:0

13.04.2024 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 1:0

01.07.2023 Kashima Antlers - Kyoto Sanga 0:0

18.02.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers 0:2

10.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Kashima Antlers 1:1

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

02.04.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kashima Antlers 1:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Vissel Kobe 1:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Tochigi City - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

16.03.2025 Kashima Antlers - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:1 ✺

08.03.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Kashima Antlers 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Kyoto Sanga

02.04.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:0 ✺

20.03.2025 Gainare Tottori - Kyoto Sanga 0:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Kyoto Sanga 1:2 ✺

09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League