Result
1:2
27/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.37 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (188/288) | 69% (239/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.37 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (188/288) | 69% (239/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 37% (22/60) | 28% (13/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (70/126) | 58% (59/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (13/25) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | 0.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', Sugai H. 🟨,
- 38', Rafael Elias 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Araki H. ⚽, Arai N. (A),
- 41', Fukuda S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Matsuda T. ↓, Okugawa M. ↑,
- 46', Higashi S. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
- 46', Kinoshita K. ↓, Suzuki A. ↑,
- 60', Arai N. ↓, Nakano S. ↑,
- 62', Sato K. ↓, Arai H. ↑,
- 63', Sugai H. ↓, Hirato T. ↑,
- 70', Germain R. ↓, Kawabe H. ↑,
- 74', Yoon S. ↓, Hiraoka T. ↑,
- 79', Yamasaki T. ↓, Nakajima Y. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Rafael Elias ⚽, Marco Tulio (A),
- 87', Hiraoka T. 🟨,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, Henrique Trevisan ⚽, Arai H. (A),
- 90+5', Marco Tulio ↓, Nagasawa S. ↑,
- 90+8', Henrique Trevisan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45% | Draw
28.2% | Kyoto Sanga
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.9) |
3.32 ↓
(3.58) |
3.53 ↓
(3.95) |
6.4%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 12 - 63.2%). Kyoto will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 41.5% – 84.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Hiroshima (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hiroshima (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
- Hiroshima has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Hiroshima will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Kyoto Sanga?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kyoto Sanga won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Kyoto Sanga has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
12.09.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kyoto Sanga
1:1
29.03.2025
Kyoto Sanga
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
03.11.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Kyoto Sanga
0:1
19.05.2024
Kyoto Sanga
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:5
23.09.2023
Kyoto Sanga
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1:0
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
