Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kyoto Sanga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga
Result
0:3
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
hong-kongHong-kongmyTV SUPER
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.05
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
52
Passes
76% (324/426)68% (207/303)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.591.05
xG on target (xGOT)
0.321.60
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
52
Touches in opposition box
1517
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
139
Passes
76% (324/426)68% (207/303)
Long passes
30% (18/61)37% (22/59)
Passes in final third
54% (45/84)60% (72/120)
Crosses
7% (1/15)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.700.68
Throw-ins
3028
Fouls
913
Tackles
46% (6/13)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5643
Clearances
2532
Interceptions
711
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.600.32
Goals prevented
-0.400.32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', Suwama K. , Deng T. ,
  • 11', Sato K. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Matsuda T. , Nagasawa S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 54', Amano J. 🟨,
  • 54', Fukuoka S. 🟨,
  • 57', Fukuoka S. , Joao Pedro ,
  • 59', Amano J. , Elber ,
  • 66', Hirato T. , Takeda S. ,
  • 66', Nagasawa S. , Murilo de Souza ,
  • 67', 0 - 2, Okugawa M. ,
  • 69', Anderson Lopes 🟨,
  • 75', Kida T. , Watanabe K. ,
  • 75', Yan , Miyaichi R. ,
  • 75', Tono D. , Uenaka A. ,
  • 81', 0 - 3, Fukuda S. ,
  • 84', Okugawa M. , Patrick William ,
  • 84', Matsuda T. , Sugai H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
36%
Draw
27.8%
Kyoto Sanga
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.3% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3% 26.8% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yokohama F. Marinos's form might have worsened.
  • Kyoto Sanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kyoto Sanga than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.61
    (2.3)
    3.38
    (3.45)
    2.6
    (2.98)
    6.4%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Kyoto will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kyoto: 31.2%83%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 3.
    • Yokohama FM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kyoto has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yokohama FM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Popp W. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Kyoto: Asada S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kyoto: Hara T. (Injury) Marco Tulio (Inactive)
    • We predict that Kyoto will win today's game, with odds of 2.85.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 2.2:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga were as follows:
    13.09.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga 1:2
    17.03.2024 Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:3
    03.12.2023 Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1
    07.05.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kyoto Sanga 4:1
    14.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    Latest results of Kyoto Sanga
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    2Machida28155842:261650
    3Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    4Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    6Kyoto26146643:301348
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League