Vélez Sársfield vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Lanús
Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.640.01
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Long passes
29% (18/62)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
59% (70/118)62% (64/104)
Crosses
8% (2/24)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.35
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1113
Tackles
65% (15/23)85% (11/13)
Duels won
6450
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.012.64
Goals prevented
0.01-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ,
  • 35', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 42', Marcich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Losada N. , Morales L. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Galvan T. , Aliendro R. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Carrizo M. , Braian Romero (A),
  • 59', Quiroz T. 🟨,
  • 59', Ramirez J. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 69', Castillo R. , Bou W. ,
  • 69', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 75', Machuca I. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 77', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 81', Braian Romero , Santos M. ,
  • 82', Galvan T. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Watson F. N. , Canelo A. ,
  • 87', Bouzat A. , Andrada I. ,
  • 88', Carrizo M. , Pizzini F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
41.8%
Draw
33.5%
Lanús
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 31.5% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 32.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.2)
    2.8
    (3.01)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    6.1%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Cabrera B. (Inactive) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Munoz E. (Hamstring Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Lanús were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    21.02.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    04.07.2023 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Lanús
    25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1
    21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2
    14.08.2025 Central Córdoba - Lanús 1:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe1145215:10517
    2Defensa y Justicia1144312:10216
    3Barracas Central1044212:10216
    4Tigre1144310:8216
    5Estudiantes L.P1051411:11016
    6Huracan114436:8-216
    7Argentinos Jrs1143412:8415
    8Central Cordoba1136212:9315
    9Boca Juniors1035213:8514
    10Banfield114259:14-514
    11Belgrano1034310:8213
    12Racing Club1032510:12-211
    13Ind. Rivadavia1024410:12-210
    14Newells Old Boys102449:12-310
    15Aldosivi111373:14-116


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1071214:6822
    2Velez Sarsfield1063114:5921
    3Lanus1162311:9220
    4River Plate1053217:9818
    5San Lorenzo114439:8116
    6Rosario Central93609:4515
    7Atl. Tucuman1143413:11215
    8Gimnasia L.P114167:12-513
    9Sarmiento Junin103348:11-312
    10Instituto112635:11-612
    11San Martin S.J112548:11-311
    12Talleres Cordoba102445:9-410
    13Platense1024410:15-510
    14Godoy Cruz101548:13-58
    15Independiente90545:9-45

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)