Result
2:0
21/05/2025 at 20:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Argentina - 1/16-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.28 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (179/288) | 75% (327/438) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.28 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (179/288) | 75% (327/438) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 23% (14/61) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (49/99) | 66% (86/130) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (2/7) | 18% (3/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.49 | 0.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.26 | 2.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.26 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', Mendez A. 🟨,
- 22', 1 - 0, Carrera R. ⚽, Cardozo A. (A),
- 28', Ordonez C. 🟨,
- 30', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 0, Salvio E. ⚽, Marcelino Moreno (A),
- 42', Carrizo M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ordonez C. ↓, Machuca I. ↑,
- 46', Pizzini F. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 46', Gomez E. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
- 54', Izquierdoz C. 🟨,
- 75', Carrera R. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
- 80', Baeza C. 🟨,
- 82', Montoro A. 🟨,
- 85', Bou W. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 85', Medina A. ↓, Pena Biafore F. ↑,
- 87', Pellegrini M. ↓, Roldan L. ↑,
- 87', Baeza C. ↓, Galvan T. ↑,
- 88', Quiros A. 🟨,
- 90+1', Marcelino Moreno ↓, Acosta L. ↑,
- 90+1', Salvio E. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lanús
39.4% | Draw
34.6% | Vélez Sársfield
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lanús has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Sársfield might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lanús - Vélez Sársfield Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.67) |
2.7 ↓
(2.77) |
3.58 ↑
(2.82) |
7.2%
(9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
What is the prediction for Lanús - Vélez Sársfield?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lanús will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Vélez will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lanús: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lanús (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lanús may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lanús will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lanús won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lanús won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Vélez Sársfield?
Lanús has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Lanús?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lanús - Vélez Sársfield were as follows:
21.02.2025
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
20.11.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Lanús
0:0
04.07.2023
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Draw
20251/32-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Sportivo Las Parejas | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | Quilmes | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Tigre | Berazategui | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Banfield | Villa Mitre | 1 : 0 |
| 5 | Platense | Argentino de Quilmes | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Ind. Rivadavia | CA Estudiantes | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Sarmiento Junin | Central Cordoba | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Gimnasia L.P. | Deportivo Espanol | 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Racing Club | Santamarina | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | San Martin S.J. | Gimnasia Jujuy | 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Dep. Riestra | San Telmo | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Talleres Cordoba | Deportivo Armenio | 3 : 4 |
| 13 | Rosario Central | Los Andes | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Union de Santa Fe | Colegiales | 3 : 1 |
| 15 | San Martin T. | Colon Santa Fe | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | River Plate | Ciudad Bolivar | 2 : 0 |
| 17 | Boca Juniors | Argentino MM | 5 : 0 |
| 18 | Atl. Tucuman | All Boys | 2 : 1 |
| 19 | Defensa y Justicia | Racing Cordoba | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Newells Old Boys | Kimberley | 1 : 0 |
| 21 | Belgrano | Real Pilar | 3 : 1 |
| 22 | Barracas Central | Def. de Belgrano | 0 : 2 |
| 23 | Gimnasia Mendoza | Nueva Chicago | 2 : 0 |
| 24 | Independiente | Sportivo Belgrano | 2 : 0 |
| 25 | Estudiantes L.P. | Sarmiento de La Banda | 2 : 1 |
| 26 | Aldosivi | Gimnasia y Tiro | 2 : 1 |
| 27 | Godoy Cruz | Excursionistas | 0 : 1 |
| 28 | Argentinos Jrs | Central Norte | 3 : 0 |
| 29 | Lanus | General Lamadrid | 4 : 0 |
| 30 | Velez Sarsfield | Midland | 1 : 0 |
| 31 | Instituto | Deportivo Madryn | 3 : 0 |
| 32 | Huracan | San Martin Formosa | 2 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Quilmes | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Tigre | Banfield | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Platense | Ind. Rivadavia | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Central Cordoba | Gimnasia L.P. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Racing Club | San Martin S.J. | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Dep. Riestra | Deportivo Armenio | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | Union de Santa Fe | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | San Martin T. | River Plate | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | Atl. Tucuman | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Defensa y Justicia | Newells Old Boys | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Belgrano | Def. de Belgrano | 3 : 2 |
| 12 | Gimnasia Mendoza | Independiente | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes L.P. | Aldosivi | 1 : 2 |
| 14 | Excursionistas | Argentinos Jrs | 0 : 3 |
| 15 | Lanus | Velez Sarsfield | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Instituto | Huracan | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | San Lorenzo | Tigre | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Ind. Rivadavia | Central Cordoba | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Racing Club | Dep. Riestra | 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | River Plate | |
| 5 | Atl. Tucuman | Newells Old Boys | 2 : 3 |
| 6 | Belgrano | Independiente | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | Argentinos Jrs | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Lanus | Huracan | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tigre | Ind. Rivadavia | |
| 2 | Racing Club | TBD #4 | |
| 3 | Newells Old Boys | Belgrano | |
| 4 | Argentinos Jrs | Lanus | |
Semi-finalsFinal
