Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (264/388) | 73% (279/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.80 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 0.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 68% (264/388) | 73% (279/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (18/62) | 36% (19/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (70/118) | 62% (64/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (2/24) | 13% (2/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (15/23) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.01 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ⚽,
- 35', Bouzat A. 🟨,
- 42', Marcich S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Losada N. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Galvan T. ⚽, Aliendro R. (A),
- 53', 3 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Braian Romero (A),
- 59', Quiroz T. 🟨,
- 59', Ramirez J. ↓, Sanchez F. ↑,
- 69', Castillo R. ↓, Bou W. ↑,
- 69', Segovia A. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
- 75', Machuca I. ↓, Lanzini M. ↑,
- 77', Magallan L. 🟨,
- 81', Braian Romero ↓, Santos M. ↑,
- 82', Galvan T. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
- 83', Watson F. N. ↓, Canelo A. ↑,
- 87', Bouzat A. ↓, Andrada I. ↑,
- 88', Carrizo M. ↓, Pizzini F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Vélez Sársfield
41.8% | Draw
33.5% | Lanús
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(2.2) |
2.8 ↓
(3.01) |
3.77 ↑
(3.72) |
6.1%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J.
(Broken ankle)
Monzon F.
(Knee Injury)
Valdes D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Lanús: Cabrera B.
(Inactive)
De Jesus R.
(Head Injury)
Loaiza R.
(Knee Injury)
Munoz E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ortellado F.
(Knee Injury)
Pena Biafore F.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Vélez Sársfield won against Lanús?
Vélez Sársfield has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lanús won against Vélez Sársfield?
Lanús has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Lanús were as follows:
21.05.2025
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
2:0
21.02.2025
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:0
20.11.2024
Vélez Sársfield
-
Lanús
0:0
04.07.2023
Lanús
-
Vélez Sársfield
0:1
Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 15 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Banfield | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 4 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 6 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 7 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Huracan | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 12 |
| 9 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Belgrano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | River Plate | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 18 |
| 2 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Lanus | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 13 |
| 5 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
