Vélez Sársfield vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Vélez Sársfield - Lanús
Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.640.01
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Long passes
29% (18/62)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
59% (70/118)62% (64/104)
Crosses
8% (2/24)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.35
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1113
Tackles
65% (15/23)85% (11/13)
Duels won
6450
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.012.64
Goals prevented
0.01-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ,
  • 35', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 42', Marcich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Losada N. , Morales L. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Galvan T. , Aliendro R. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Carrizo M. , Braian Romero (A),
  • 59', Quiroz T. 🟨,
  • 59', Ramirez J. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 69', Castillo R. , Bou W. ,
  • 69', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 75', Machuca I. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 77', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 81', Braian Romero , Santos M. ,
  • 82', Galvan T. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Watson F. N. , Canelo A. ,
  • 87', Bouzat A. , Andrada I. ,
  • 88', Carrizo M. , Pizzini F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
41.8%
Draw
33.5%
Lanús
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 31.5% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 32.3% 24.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Lanús has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lanús than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.2)
    2.8
    (3.01)
    3.77
    (3.72)
    6.1%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Cabrera B. (Inactive) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Munoz E. (Hamstring Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Lanús were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    21.02.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    04.07.2023 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Lanús
    25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1
    21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2
    14.08.2025 Central Córdoba - Lanús 1:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)