Vélez Sársfield vs Lanús – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
30/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 7
  • Referee: Martinez S. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.800.46
xG on target (xGOT)
2.640.01
Total shots
1710
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
72
Shots inside the Box
94
Shots outside the Box
86
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
84
Touches in opposition box
2312
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
68% (264/388)73% (279/380)
Long passes
29% (18/62)36% (19/53)
Passes in final third
59% (70/118)62% (64/104)
Crosses
8% (2/24)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.900.35
Throw-ins
2319
Fouls
1113
Tackles
65% (15/23)85% (11/13)
Duels won
6450
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
916
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.012.64
Goals prevented
0.01-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Braian Romero ,
  • 35', Bouzat A. 🟨,
  • 42', Marcich S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Losada N. , Morales L. ,
  • 50', 2 - 0, Galvan T. , Aliendro R. (A),
  • 53', 3 - 0, Carrizo M. , Braian Romero (A),
  • 59', Quiroz T. 🟨,
  • 59', Ramirez J. , Sanchez F. ,
  • 69', Castillo R. , Bou W. ,
  • 69', Segovia A. , Aquino D. ,
  • 75', Machuca I. , Lanzini M. ,
  • 77', Magallan L. 🟨,
  • 81', Braian Romero , Santos M. ,
  • 82', Galvan T. , Pellegrini M. ,
  • 83', Watson F. N. , Canelo A. ,
  • 87', Bouzat A. , Andrada I. ,
  • 88', Carrizo M. , Pizzini F. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vélez Sársfield
41.8%
Draw
33.5%
Lanús
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 31.5% 25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 32.3% 24.9%

Vélez Sársfield - Lanús Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.28
(2.2)
2.8
(3.01)
3.77
(3.72)
6.1%
(5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Vélez Sársfield - Lanús?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 1.
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Vélez is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Vélez: Garcia J. (Broken ankle) Monzon F. (Knee Injury) Valdes D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Lanús: Cabrera B. (Inactive) De Jesus R. (Head Injury) Loaiza R. (Knee Injury) Munoz E. (Hamstring Injury) Ortellado F. (Knee Injury) Pena Biafore F. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:3. (average 2.1:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vélez Sársfield - Lanús were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 2:0
    21.02.2025 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:0
    20.11.2024 Vélez Sársfield - Lanús 0:0
    04.07.2023 Lanús - Vélez Sársfield 0:1
    Latest results of Vélez Sársfield
    Latest results of Lanús
    25.08.2025 Lanús - River Plate 1:1
    21.08.2025 Lanús - Central Córdoba 2:0
    17.08.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Lanús 1:2
    14.08.2025 Central Córdoba - Lanús 1:0
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newells Old Boys00000:000
    2Lanus00000:000
    3Velez Sarsfield00000:000
    4San Lorenzo00000:000
    5Independiente00000:000
    6Estudiantes L.P00000:000
    7Boca Juniors00000:000
    8Union de Santa Fe00000:000
    9Talleres Cordoba00000:000
    10Defensa y Justicia00000:000
    11Instituto00000:000
    12Platense00000:000
    13Dep. Riestra00000:000
    14Central Cordoba00000:000
    15Gimnasia Mendoza00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Rosario Central00000:000
    2Tigre00000:000
    3Argentinos Jrs00000:000
    4Banfield00000:000
    5Gimnasia L.P00000:000
    6Racing Club00000:000
    7Huracan00000:000
    8River Plate00000:000
    9Belgrano00000:000
    10Aldosivi00000:000
    11Atl. Tucuman00000:000
    12Ind. Rivadavia00000:000
    13Sarmiento Junin00000:000
    14Barracas Central00000:000
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto00000:000

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)