Le Mans vs Rodez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 2 Le Mans - Rodez
Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 5
  • Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.41
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
84% (452/536)74% (262/354)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.191.41
xG on target (xGOT)
0.611.27
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
125
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
1311
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
3122
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1410
Passes
84% (452/536)74% (262/354)
Long passes
65% (37/57)31% (20/65)
Passes in final third
75% (126/168)52% (54/103)
Crosses
15% (4/27)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.220.86
Throw-ins
2325
Fouls
1014
Tackles
73% (11/15)70% (14/20)
Duels won
5650
Clearances
3726
Interceptions
612
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.270.61
Goals prevented
0.270.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Harhouz W. 🟨,
  • 31', Trouillet A. , Saka M. ,
  • 37', Gueye D. 🟨,
  • 40', Saka M. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Mendes J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 59', 0 - 1, Arconte T. , Jean-Lambert E. (A),
  • 60', 🟨,
  • 62', Lauray A. , Quarshie E. ,
  • 62', Harhouz W. , Colas E. ,
  • 62', Gueye D. , Guillaume B. ,
  • 69', Voyer H. , Cossier I. ,
  • 69', Buades L. , Oggad B. ,
  • 71', Jean-Lambert E. , Ponti R. ,
  • 71', Nagera K. , Balde I. ,
  • 79', Joly O. , Benchamma S. ,
  • 80', Arconte T. , Baaloudj M. ,

Chances of winning


Le Mans
43.8%
Draw
27.3%
Rodez
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 27.8% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3% 26.7% 29.4%

Le Mans - Rodez Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.15
(2.21)
3.43
(3.3)
3.25
(3)
6.4%
(8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Rodez?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 26.9%73.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Rodez has had a series of home games.
    • Le Mans could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E. (Back Injury) Luvambo T. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Rodez: Ponti R. (Inactive) Tebily H. (Inactive) Vangi D. (Inactive) Younoussa W. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rodez: Jean-Lambert E. (Injury) Joly O. (Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
    Latest results of Le Mans
    30.08.2025 Reims - Le Mans 1:0
    22.08.2025 Le Mans - Bastia 1:0
    18.08.2025 Le Mans - Montpellier 1:2
    09.08.2025 Guingamp - Le Mans 3:3
    01.08.2025 Le Mans - Caen 2:0
    Latest results of Rodez
    29.08.2025 Rodez - Boulogne 1:0
    22.08.2025 Rodez - Laval 1:1
    16.08.2025 Saint-Étienne - Rodez 4:0
    09.08.2025 Rodez - Nancy 0:0
    02.08.2025 Rodez - Pau 2:4
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes1484226:141228
    2Red Star1483319:13627
    3St Etienne1482431:211026
    4Montpellier1473417:12524
    5Pau FC1465320:21-123
    6Reims1464426:20622
    7Le Mans1456317:15221
    8Dunkerque1455425:17820
    9Guingamp1455422:24-220
    10Grenoble1445516:17-117
    11Clermont1445513:17-417
    12Annecy1444616:16016
    13Rodez1444614:20-616
    14Amiens1443718:22-415
    15Nancy1443713:19-615
    16Laval1326510:15-512
    17Boulogne1433813:22-912
    18Bastia131486:17-117

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National