Result
0:1
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 5
- Referee: Petit A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (452/536) | 74% (262/354) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.27 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (452/536) | 74% (262/354) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (37/57) | 31% (20/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (126/168) | 52% (54/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/27) | 33% (6/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.86 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 70% (14/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.61 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.61 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Harhouz W. 🟨,
- 31', Trouillet A. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 37', Gueye D. 🟨,
- 40', Saka M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Mendes J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 1, Arconte T. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
- 60', 🟨,
- 62', Lauray A. ↓, Quarshie E. ↑,
- 62', Harhouz W. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 62', Gueye D. ↓, Guillaume B. ↑,
- 69', Voyer H. ↓, Cossier I. ↑,
- 69', Buades L. ↓, Oggad B. ↑,
- 71', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Ponti R. ↑,
- 71', Nagera K. ↓, Balde I. ↑,
- 79', Joly O. ↓, Benchamma S. ↑,
- 80', Arconte T. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Le Mans
43.8% | Draw
27.3% | Rodez
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Mans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Rodez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Le Mans - Rodez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.15 ↓
(2.21) |
3.43 ↑
(3.3) |
3.25 ↑
(3) |
6.4%
(8.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Le Mans - Rodez?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Le Mans will win (votes: 9 - 50%). Rodez will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Mans: 26.9% – 73.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, Rodez has had a series of home games.
- Le Mans could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Le Mans: Colas E.
(Back Injury)
Luvambo T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rodez: Ponti R.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Inactive)
Vangi D.
(Inactive)
Younoussa W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rodez: Jean-Lambert E.
(Injury)
Joly O.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Le Mans won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Rodez?
Le Mans has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Le Mans?
Rodez has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Mans - Rodez were as follows:
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 20 |
| 2 | Pau FC | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:10 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Red Star | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 17 |
| 5 | Reims | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 | Guingamp | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 16:19 | -3 | 14 |
| 7 | Nancy | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Rodez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 12 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 10 |
| 11 | Le Mans | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 | Clermont | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 | Amiens | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Annecy | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 | Laval | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 18 | Bastia | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
