Result
1:1
16/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Benchabane F. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.29 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (228/321) | 76% (292/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.55 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (228/321) | 76% (292/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (19/57) | 44% (27/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (50/90) | 62% (88/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 11% (3/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.90 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 63% (17/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.85 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 15', Rabillard A. ↓, Luvambo T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Trouillet A. ↓, Younoussa W. ↑,
- 63', Gueye D. ↓, Colas E. ↑,
- 63', Hamdi M. ↓, Calodat L. ↑,
- 74', Nagera K. ↓, Arconte T. ↑,
- 74', Mendes J. ↓, Saka M. ↑,
- 76', Quarshie E. ↓, Rossignol M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 0, Balde I. ⚽, Jean-Lambert E. (A),
- 85', Balde I. ↓, Tebily H. ↑,
- 86', Jean-Lambert E. ↓, Laurent L. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Eyoum T. ⚽,
- 90+7', Yohou S. 🟨,
- 90+7', Arconte T. 🟨,
- 90+7', Kocik N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rodez
34.2% | Draw
28.6% | Le Mans
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rodez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The chances for Le Mans have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodez than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Mans than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Rodez - Le Mans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.72 ↓
(2.75) |
3.27 ↑
(3.25) |
2.51
(2.51) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Rodez - Le Mans?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Rodez will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Le Mans will win (votes: 6 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.4% – 67.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Le Mans (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Rodez (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Le Mans (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodez (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Le Mans (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Rodez has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Le Mans is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Le Mans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Rodez: Achi M.
(Inactive)
Baaloudj M.
(Red Card)
Ponti R.
(Inactive)
Tebily H.
(Leg Injury)
Trouillet A.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Le Mans: Bretelle L.
(Inactive)
Gomes M.
(Ankle Injury)
Harhouz W.
(Leg Injury)
Vercruysse J.
(Knee Injury)
Voyer H.
(Inactive)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rodez won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.4:0.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rodez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rodez won against Le Mans?
Rodez has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Mans won against Rodez?
Le Mans has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rodez - Le Mans were as follows:
12.09.2025
Le Mans
-
Rodez
0:1
Latest results of Le Mans
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 29 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 51:30 | 21 | 58 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 53:31 | 22 | 57 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 4 | Red Star | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 36:30 | 6 | 51 |
| 5 | Reims | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 43:28 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | Rodez | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 36:34 | 2 | 45 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 35:27 | 8 | 44 |
| 8 | Annecy | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 36:34 | 2 | 43 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 41:48 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 45:37 | 8 | 40 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 39:42 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 32 |
| 14 | Clermont | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 34:41 | -7 | 30 |
| 15 | Nancy | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 16 | Laval | 30 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 26:43 | -17 | 25 |
| 17 | Amiens | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 24 |
| 18 | Bastia | 30 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
