Result
2:2
02/11/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 14
- Referee: Krasny S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (474/562) | 82% (311/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 0.53 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 45 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (474/562) | 82% (311/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (29/46) | 32% (13/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (180/239) | 67% (41/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (5/30) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 52 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.47 | -0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 9', 0 - 1, Pereira J. (Own goal),
- 20', 0 - 2, Fabio Ronaldo ⚽, Rodrigues I. (A),
- 25', 1 - 2, Palma L. ⚽, Ishak M. (A),
- 38', Milic A. 🟨,
- 43', Pereira J. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Pereira J. ⚽,
- 45+2', Fabio Ronaldo 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ismaheel T. ↓, Bengtsson L. ↑,
- 46', Fabio Ronaldo ↓, van Hoeven B. ↑,
- 67', Wolski B. ↓, Scalet M. ↑,
- 67', Jagiello F. ↓, Kozubal A. ↑,
- 67', Palma L. ↓, Agnero Y. ↑,
- 77', Czubak K. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
- 77', Samper S. ↓, Labojko J. ↑,
- 79', Rodriguez P. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
- 79', Pereira J. ↓, Gumny R. ↑,
- 89', Rodrigues I. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lech Poznań
63.1% | Draw
20.5% | Motor Lublin
16.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lech Poznań's form might have worsened.Motor Lublin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motor Lublin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lech Poznań, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motor Lublin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.35) |
4.62 ↓
(5.08) |
5.97 ↓
(8.41) |
5.9%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Lech will win (votes: 14 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 71.3% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 15).
- In recent matches, Lech has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Motor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Motor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lech has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Lech is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Lech: Gholizadeh A.
(Thigh Injury)
Hakans D.
(Ankle Injury)
Murawski R.
(Inactive)
Walemark P.
(Surgery)
- There will not play in Motor: Ndiaye M.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lech won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lech won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Motor Lublin?
Lech Poznań has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Lech Poznań?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lech Poznań - Motor Lublin were as follows:
13.04.2025
Motor Lublin
-
Lech Poznań
1:2
05.10.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:37 | 9 | 44 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:30 | 10 | 41 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:34 | 9 | 41 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 39 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 39 |
| 6 | Rakow | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
| 7 | Motor Lublin | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 35:38 | -3 | 37 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 36 |
| 9 | Cracovia | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 31:28 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | GKS Katowice | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 36 |
| 11 | Piast Gliwice | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 32:33 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Lechia Gdansk | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 51:48 | 3 | 34 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 36:40 | -4 | 34 |
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 33 |
| 15 | Legia | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 30 |
| 16 | Arka Gdynia | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 25:44 | -19 | 30 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 31:34 | -3 | 29 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 30:48 | -18 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
