Result
1:2
13/04/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 28
- Referee: Araki Y. (Jpn)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
Poland | CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV, TVP Sport |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (362/425) | 87% (413/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (362/425) | 87% (413/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 48% (19/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (93/131) | 78% (80/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (7/29) | 36% (4/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 2.06 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 33 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Walemark P. ⚽,
- 37', 0 - 2, Ishak M. ⚽, Hakans D. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Van Hoeven B. ↓, Krol M. ↑,
- 46', Simon C. ↓, Caliskaner K. ↑,
- 53', Jagiello F. 🟨,
- 59', Walemark P. ↓, Lisman K. ↑,
- 59', Salamon B. ↓, Monka W. ↑,
- 67', Labojko J. ↓, Samper S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Krol M. ⚽,
- 78', Carstensen R. ↓, Pereira J. ↑,
- 78', Gholizadeh A. ↓, Hotic D. ↑,
- 78', Mraz S. ↓, Augustin J. ↑,
- 78', Ndiaye M. J. ↓, Ceglarz P. ↑,
- 85', Ishak M. ↓, Fiabema B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motor Lublin 25.9% | Draw 26.2% | Lech Poznań 47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motor Lublin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)The chances for Lech Poznań have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motor Lublin than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.61 ↑ (3.5) |
3.57 ↑ (3.5) |
1.96 ↑ (1.9) |
6.7% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Motor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Lech will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lech (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- Two teams are playing changeable.
- Motor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Lech is a favorite.
- There will not play in Motor: Brkic I.
(Knee Injury)
Gasior M.
(Inactive)
Kruk K.
(Knee Injury)
Matthys H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lech: Dagerstal F.
(Ankle Injury)
Thordarson G.
(Broken collarbone)
- There are questionable in Lech: Milic A.
(Injury)
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Motor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
How many head-to-head matches has Motor Lublin won against Lech Poznań?
Motor Lublin has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lech Poznań won against Motor Lublin?
Lech Poznań has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motor Lublin - Lech Poznań were as follows:
05.10.2024
Lech Poznań
-
Motor Lublin
1:2
Latest results of Motor Lublin
Latest results of Lech Poznań
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Wisla Plock | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 7 | 21 |
| 5 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:18 | 2 | 19 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 25:18 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Widzew Lodz | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | Legia | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 11 | Arka Gdynia | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 15 |
| 12 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 13 | Pogon Szczecin | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:22 | -4 | 14 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 16:21 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 10 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1