Result
2:1
26/10/2025 at 09:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 13
- Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (246/315) | 80% (347/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.70 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (246/315) | 80% (347/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (28/56) | 45% (23/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (59/80) | 72% (96/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 9% (2/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 48% (11/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 64 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 1.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.87 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Neugebauer T. 🟨,
- 24', Struski K. 🟨,
- 27', Pllana B. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Diaby-Fadiga L. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 1, Bobcek T. ⚽,
- 37', Struski K. 🟨,
- 40', Vojtko M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', Neugebauer T. ↓, Viunnyk B. ↑,
- 63', Silva J. ↓, Ameyaw M. ↑,
- 64', Diaby-Fadiga L. ↓, Bulat M. ↑,
- 64', Rondic I. ↓, Makuch P. ↑,
- 69', Cirkovic A. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 76', Adriano ↓, Brunes J. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Pienko T. ⚽, Bulat M. (A),
- 85', Pienko T. ↓, Repka O. ↑,
- 86', Kludka B. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Raków Częstochowa
56.2% | Draw
24.6% | Lechia Gdańsk
19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Raków Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raków Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Raków Częstochowa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.63 ↑
(1.55) |
3.83 ↓
(4) |
4.95 ↓
(5.75) |
7.5%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Raków will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raków: 47.7% – 95.1%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Raków Częstochowa will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Raków won 5.
- Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
- Lechia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Lechia has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Raków is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Raków: Arsenic Z.
(Leg Injury)
Kochergin V.
(Knee Injury)
Otieno E.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tudor F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Lechia: Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
Tsarenko A.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Raków: Mosor A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Raków won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 2.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Raków won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Raków Częstochowa won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Raków Częstochowa has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Raków Częstochowa?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Raków Częstochowa - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
03.03.2025
Raków Częstochowa
-
Lechia Gdańsk
3:1
23.08.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Raków Częstochowa
1:2
15.10.2022
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Raków Częstochowa
0:3
Latest results of Raków Częstochowa
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
