Legia Warsaw vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1

02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadion Wojska Polskiego (Warsaw).

Conference League - League phase - Round 1
Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Stan Sport
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	RTL+
Hong-kong	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	Viaplay
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 15, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	Disney+
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 15
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.76
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
8	2
Passes
84% (462/547)	72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.93
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
13	3
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
11	5
Shots outside the Box
8	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
8	2
Touches in opposition box
26	10
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	0
Free Kicks
10	7
Passes
84% (462/547)	72% (227/316)
Long passes
46% (17/37)	31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)	54% (31/57)
Crosses
24% (8/33)	17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.17
Throw-ins
27	15
Fouls
7	10
Tackles
50% (6/12)	61% (14/23)
Duels won
53	48
Clearances
8	53
Interceptions
7	12
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.93	0.80
Goals prevented
-0.07	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Musaba A. ⚽, Marius (A),
20', Yuksel C. 🟨,
24', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
63', Coulibaly T. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
63', Yuksel C. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
63', Stojanovic P. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
63', Urbanski K. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
63', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
76', Urbanski W. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
82', Chodyna K. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
84', Ntcham O. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
84', Musaba A. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
90+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
90+1', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
90+2', Yavru Z. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
90+3', Pankov R. 🟨,
90+3', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
90+6', Cift Y. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Legia Warsaw
42%

Draw
29.1%

Samsunspor
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.5%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.11)	3.38 ↓ (3.39)	3.31 ↓ (3.33)	1.6% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DC - Samsunspor (votes: 3 - 75%).

Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Aydogdu S. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Legia: Piatkowski K. (Injury)
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Latest results of Legia Warsaw

28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺

24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Samsunspor

27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺

21.09.2025 Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Samsunspor - Antalyaspor 1:2 ✺

31.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Samsunspor 1:1 ✺

UEFA Europa Conference League Table

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Zrinjski	1	1	0	0	5:0	5	3
2	AEK Larnaca	1	1	0	0	4:0	4	3
3	Sparta Prague	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
5	Lausanne	1	1	0	0	3:0	3	3
6	Celje	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
7	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
8	Rayo Vallecano	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
9	Fiorentina	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
10	Rakow	1	1	0	0	2:0	2	3
11	Shakhtar Donetsk	1	1	0	0	3:2	1	3
12	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
13	Mainz	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
14	Samsunspor	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
15	Jagiellonia	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
16	Noah	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
17	Drita	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
18	KuPS	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1
19	Hacken	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
20	Shelbourne	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
21	Aberdeen	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0
22	Slovan Bratislava	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
23	Rijeka	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
24	Omonia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
25	Legia	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
26	Hamrun	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
27	AEK Athens FC	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
28	Sigma Olomouc	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
29	Dyn. Kyiv	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
30	Shkendija	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
31	Univ. Craiova	1	0	0	1	0:2	-2	0
32	SK Rapid	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
33	Shamrock Rovers	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
34	Breidablik	1	0	0	1	0:3	-3	0
35	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0:4	-4	0
36	Lincoln Red Imps	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

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