Legia Warsaw vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor
Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 15
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.93
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Long passes
46% (17/37)31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)54% (31/57)
Crosses
24% (8/33)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.17
Throw-ins
2715
Fouls
710
Tackles
50% (6/12)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
853
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.930.80
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Musaba A. , Marius (A),
  • 20', Yuksel C. 🟨,
  • 24', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Coulibaly T. , Cift Y. E. ,
  • 63', Yuksel C. , Makoumbou A. ,
  • 63', Stojanovic P. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 63', Urbanski K. , Elitim J. ,
  • 63', Colak A. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 76', Urbanski W. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 84', Ntcham O. , Borevkovic T. ,
  • 84', Musaba A. , Mendes J. ,
  • 90+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Yavru Z. , Gonul S. ,
  • 90+3', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cift Y. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
42%
Draw
29.1%
Samsunspor
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 27.5% 28%

Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.39
(2.11)
3.38
(3.39)
3.31
(3.33)
1.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Samsunspor (1.72) (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.63%93.49%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Aydogdu S. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Piatkowski K. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor33007:079
    2Celje33007:259
    3Mainz33004:139
    4AEK Larnaca32105:057
    5Lausanne32105:147
    6Rayo Vallecano32107:437
    7Strasbourg32105:327
    8Fiorentina32016:246
    9Crystal Palace32015:236
    10Shakhtar Donetsk32016:426
    11KuPS31204:225
    12Rakow31203:125
    13Drita31203:215
    14Jagiellonia31203:215
    15AEK Athens FC31118:444
    16Sparta Prague31114:224
    17Noah31113:304
    18Rijeka31112:204
    19Sigma Olomouc31113:4-14
    20Univ. Craiova31112:3-14
    21Shkendija31112:3-14
    22Lincoln Red Imps31113:7-44
    23Lech Poznan31027:613
    24Dyn. Kyiv31026:513
    25Legia31023:4-13
    26Zrinjski31025:7-23
    27AZ Alkmaar31022:7-53
    28Hacken30213:4-12
    29Omonia30212:3-12
    30Shelbourne30120:2-21
    31Shamrock Rovers30122:7-51
    32Breidablik30120:5-51
    33Aberdeen30122:9-71
    34Slovan Bratislava30032:6-40
    35Hamrun30030:5-50
    36SK Rapid30031:8-70

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