Legia Warsaw vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League
Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 15
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.93
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Long passes
46% (17/37)31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)54% (31/57)
Crosses
24% (8/33)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.17
Throw-ins
2715
Fouls
710
Tackles
50% (6/12)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
853
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.930.80
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Musaba A. ⚽, Marius (A),
  • 20', Yuksel C. 🟨,
  • 24', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Coulibaly T. ↓, Cift Y. E. ↑,
  • 63', Yuksel C. ↓, Makoumbou A. ↑,
  • 63', Stojanovic P. ↓, Weisshaupt N. ↑,
  • 63', Urbanski K. ↓, Elitim J. ↑,
  • 63', Colak A. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
  • 76', Urbanski W. ↓, Bichakhchyan V. ↑,
  • 82', Chodyna K. ↓, Zewlakow J. ↑,
  • 84', Ntcham O. ↓, Borevkovic T. ↑,
  • 84', Musaba A. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
  • 90+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Yavru Z. ↓, Gonul S. ↑,
  • 90+3', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cift Y. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
42%		Draw
29.1%		Samsunspor
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 27.5% 28%

Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 2.39 ↑
(2.11)		 3.38 ↓
(3.39)		 3.31 ↓
(3.33)		 1.6%
(6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Samsunspor (1.72) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.63% – 93.49%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Aydogdu S. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Piatkowski K. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    28.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Pogoń Szczecin 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok 0:0 ✺
    20.09.2025 Raków Częstochowa - Legia Warsaw 1:1 ✺
    14.09.2025 Legia Warsaw - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺
    31.08.2025 Cracovia - Legia Warsaw 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    27.09.2025 Gaziantep - Samsunspor 2:2 ✺
    21.09.2025 Samsunspor - Fatih Karagümrükspor 3:2 ✺
    17.09.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:0 ✺
    13.09.2025 Samsunspor - Antalyaspor 1:2 ✺
    31.08.2025 Trabzonspor - Samsunspor 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Samsunspor43109:2710
    2Strasbourg43107:4310
    3Celje43018:449
    4Shakhtar Donetsk43018:539
    5Mainz43014:229
    6Rakow42207:258
    7AEK Larnaca42205:058
    8Drita42204:228
    9Jagiellonia42204:228
    10AEK Athens42119:457
    11Sparta Prague42115:237
    12Rayo Vallecano42118:627
    13Lausanne42115:327
    14Sigma Olomouc42115:507
    15Univ. Craiova42113:307
    16Lech Poznan42029:636
    17Fiorentina42026:336
    18Crystal Palace42026:426
    19Zrinjski42027:8-16
    20AZ Alkmaar42024:7-36
    21Omonia41214:315
    22KuPS41214:315
    23Noah41214:405
    24Rijeka41212:205
    25Shkendija41122:4-24
    26Lincoln Red Imps41124:10-64
    27Dyn. Kyiv41036:7-13
    28Legia41033:5-23
    29Slovan Bratislava41034:7-33
    30Hamrun41033:6-33
    31Hacken40224:6-22
    32Breidablik40222:7-52
    33Aberdeen40223:10-72
    34Shelbourne40130:4-41
    35Shamrock Rovers40133:9-61
    36SK Rapid40042:12-100

          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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