Legia Warsaw vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
denmarkDenmarkDisney+
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyRTL+
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
icelandIcelandViaplay
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 15
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.93
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Long passes
46% (17/37)31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)54% (31/57)
Crosses
24% (8/33)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.17
Throw-ins
2715
Fouls
710
Tackles
50% (6/12)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
853
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.930.80
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Musaba A. , Marius (A),
  • 20', Yuksel C. 🟨,
  • 24', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Coulibaly T. , Cift Y. E. ,
  • 63', Yuksel C. , Makoumbou A. ,
  • 63', Stojanovic P. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 63', Urbanski K. , Elitim J. ,
  • 63', Colak A. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 76', Urbanski W. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 84', Ntcham O. , Borevkovic T. ,
  • 84', Musaba A. , Mendes J. ,
  • 90+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Yavru Z. , Gonul S. ,
  • 90+3', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cift Y. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
42%
Draw
29.1%
Samsunspor
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 27.5% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.11)
    3.38
    (3.39)
    3.31
    (3.33)
    1.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Samsunspor (1.72) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Samsunspor (2.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH 0, 1st Half - Samsunspor (2.32) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.63%93.49%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 13 - 56.5%). Samsunspor (votes: 7 - 30.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Aydogdu S. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Piatkowski K. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1KuPS (21)Lech Poznan (11)0 : 1, 0 : 2
    2Shakhtar Donetsk (6)Bye
    3Noah (19)AZ Alkmaar (14)0 : 4, 1 : 0
    4Sparta Prague (4)Bye
    5Zrinjski (23)Crystal Palace (10)0 : 2, 1 : 1
    6AEK Larnaca (8)Bye
    7Jagiellonia (17)Fiorentina (15)4 : 2, 0 : 3
    8Rakow (2)Bye
    9Shkendija (22)Samsunspor (12)0 : 4, 0 : 1
    10Rayo Vallecano (5)Bye
    11Drita (20)Celje (13)2 : 3, 2 : 3
    12AEK Athens (3)Bye
    13Sigma Olomouc (24)Lausanne (9)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    14Mainz (7)Bye
    15Omonia (18)Rijeka (16)1 : 3, 0 : 1
    16Strasbourg (1)Bye

    1/8-finals
    1Lech Poznan (11)Shakhtar Donetsk (6)
    2AZ Alkmaar (14)Sparta Prague (4)
    3Crystal Palace (10)AEK Larnaca (8)
    4Fiorentina (15)Rakow (2)
    5Samsunspor (12)Rayo Vallecano (5)
    6Celje (13)AEK Athens (3)
    7Sigma Olomouc (24)Mainz (7)
    8Rijeka (16)Strasbourg (1)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2