Legia Warsaw vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor
Result
0:1
02/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - League phase - Round 1
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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germanyGermanyRTL+
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polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 15, Movistar Plus+
swedenSwedenDisney+
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyTabii, TRT 1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 15
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaParamount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Yellow Cards
34
Expected Goals (xG)
1.120.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.93
Total shots
197
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
133
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
115
Shots outside the Box
81
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2610
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
107
Passes
84% (462/547)72% (227/316)
Long passes
46% (17/37)31% (18/58)
Passes in final third
76% (132/173)54% (31/57)
Crosses
24% (8/33)17% (1/6)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.17
Throw-ins
2715
Fouls
710
Tackles
50% (6/12)61% (14/23)
Duels won
5348
Clearances
853
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.930.80
Goals prevented
-0.07-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 10', 0 - 1, Musaba A. , Marius (A),
  • 20', Yuksel C. 🟨,
  • 24', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Coulibaly T. , Cift Y. E. ,
  • 63', Yuksel C. , Makoumbou A. ,
  • 63', Stojanovic P. , Weisshaupt N. ,
  • 63', Urbanski K. , Elitim J. ,
  • 63', Colak A. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 76', Urbanski W. , Bichakhchyan V. ,
  • 82', Chodyna K. , Zewlakow J. ,
  • 84', Ntcham O. , Borevkovic T. ,
  • 84', Musaba A. , Mendes J. ,
  • 90+1', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Yavru Z. , Gonul S. ,
  • 90+3', Pankov R. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Borevkovic T. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Cift Y. E. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
42%
Draw
29.1%
Samsunspor
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 27.6% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 27.5% 28%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.11)
    3.38
    (3.39)
    3.31
    (3.33)
    1.6%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Samsunspor?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Legia (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Samsunspor (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (29 of 36 users predict this - 80.56%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.63%93.49%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Samsunspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Legia might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Legia: Arreiol H. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves C. (Ankle Injury) Nsame J. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Samsunspor: Aydin E. (Inactive) Aydogdu S. (Injury) Cetin B. (Knee Injury) Kilinc E. (Injury) Ndiaye C. (Inactive) Sousa A. (Inactive) Ustun E. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Legia: Piatkowski K. (Injury)
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fiorentina22005:056
    2AEK Larnaca22005:056
    3Celje22005:146
    4Lausanne22004:046
    5Samsunspor22004:046
    6Mainz22002:026
    7Rayo Vallecano21104:224
    8Rakow21103:124
    9Strasbourg21103:214
    10Jagiellonia21102:114
    11Noah21102:114
    12AEK Athens FC21017:343
    13Zrinjski21015:143
    14Sparta Prague11004:133
    15Lech Poznan21015:323
    16Crystal Palace21012:113
    17Shakhtar Donetsk21014:403
    18Legia21012:203
    19Shkendija21011:2-13
    20AZ Alkmaar21011:4-33
    21Lincoln Red Imps21012:6-43
    22Drita20202:202
    23Hacken20202:202
    24KuPS20201:102
    25Omonia20111:2-11
    26Shelbourne20110:1-11
    27Sigma Olomouc20111:3-21
    28Univ. Craiova20111:3-21
    29Breidablik20110:3-31
    30Rijeka10010:1-10
    31Slovan Bratislava20021:3-20
    32Hamrun20020:2-20
    33Shamrock Rovers20021:6-50
    34Dyn. Kyiv20020:5-50
    35SK Rapid20021:7-60
    36Aberdeen20022:9-70

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