Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 12
- Referee: Bell J. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (211/304) | 81% (288/356) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (211/304) | 81% (288/356) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (17/53) | 37% (16/43) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (84/132) | 66% (61/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 14% (3/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (22/30) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 48 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | 0.26 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Cooper J. 🟨,
- 44', 1 - 0, Azeez F. ⚽, De Norre C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Ramsey A. ↓, Carranza J. ↑,
- 53', Pereira R. 🟨,
- 56', Ivanovic M. (Pen),
- 63', Thomas L. ↓, Faes W. ↑,
- 63', Monga J. ↓, Thomas S. ↑,
- 68', De Norre C. ↓, Mitchell B. ↑,
- 76', Pereira R. ↓, Daka P. ↑,
- 77', Ayew J. ↓, Mavididi S. ↑,
- 78', Cundle L. ↓, Neghli C. ↑,
- 83', Winks H. 🟨,
- 90+1', Ballo T. ↓, Emakhu A. ↑,
- 90+2', Sturge Z. ↓, Bryan J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Millwall
32.5% | Draw
29% | Leicester City
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millwall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Leicester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leicester City than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Millwall - Leicester City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.89 ↑
(2.69) |
3.31 ↑
(3.21) |
2.53 ↓
(2.59) |
4.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Millwall - Leicester City?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Millwall will win (votes: 6 - 40%). Leicester will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 15.2% – 64.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Millwall (votes: 1 - 50%). Leicester (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 2.
- Millwall is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leicester has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Millwall: Jensen L.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McNamara D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Leicester: Souttar H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Millwall: Smallbone W.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leicester: De Cordova-Reid B.
(Inactive)
Mavididi S.
(Hamstring Injury)
Page L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Millwall won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 0.9:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millwall won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millwall won against Leicester City?
Millwall has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leicester City won against Millwall?
Leicester City has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millwall - Leicester City were as follows:
09.04.2024
Millwall
-
Leicester City
1:0
06.01.2024
Millwall
-
Leicester City
2:3
13.12.2023
Leicester City
-
Millwall
3:2
Latest results of Millwall
Latest results of Leicester City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
