Result
8:7
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- United Rugby Championship - Round 12
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, S4C Digital |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 2nd Half (5 - 7)
Chances of winning
Cardiff Rugby
31.3% | Draw
4.4% | Leinster
64.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cardiff Rugby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cardiff Rugby's performance.Leinster has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leinster might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Cardiff Rugby - Leinster Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.97 ↓
(4.31) |
21.23 ↓
(25.25) |
1.43 ↑
(1.25) |
8.4%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 39.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)
What is the prediction for Cardiff Rugby - Leinster?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +7.5 - Cardiff (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Cardiff Rugby will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Cardiff (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 15:26.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1.
- Recent performances by Cardiff have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Leinster is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In this match, Leinster is the team to beat.
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 306:537. (average 18:31.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cardiff won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 153:205. (average 19.1:25.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cardiff Rugby won against Leinster?
Cardiff Rugby has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leinster won against Cardiff Rugby?
Leinster has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cardiff Rugby - Leinster were as follows:
01.03.2025
Leinster
-
Cardiff Rugby
42:24
02.03.2024
Cardiff Rugby
-
Leinster
20:33
28.01.2023
Leinster
-
Cardiff Rugby
38:14
Latest results of Cardiff Rugby
Latest results of Leinster
United Rugby Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Glasgow Warriors | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 310:155 | 44 |
| 2 | Leinster | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 308:242 | 41 |
| 3 | Cardiff Rugby | 12 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 240:210 | 40 |
| 4 | Stormers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 274:161 | 36 |
| 5 | Ulster | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 302:208 | 36 |
| 6 | Munster | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 227:218 | 35 |
| 7 | Lions | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 301:332 | 29 |
| 8 | Bulls | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 263:258 | 25 |
| 9 | Ospreys | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 239:263 | 25 |
| 10 | Sharks | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 244:292 | 24 |
| 11 | Edinburgh | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 219:213 | 22 |
| 12 | Benetton | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 201:266 | 21 |
| 13 | Connacht | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 243:269 | 21 |
| 14 | Dragons | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 212:271 | 18 |
| 15 | Scarlets | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 192:263 | 16 |
| 16 | Zebre | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 190:344 | 12 |
Promotion ~ United Rugby Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
