Result
2:1
22/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 1', 0 - 1, Mikel ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Lete ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 1, Garcia I. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Leioa 60% | Draw 24.5% | Derio 15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Leioa - Derio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↑ (1.51) |
3.72 ↑ (3.69) |
5.88 ↓ (6.1) |
9.8% (9.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Leioa is the unquestionable favorite.
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Derio?
Leioa has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derio won against Leioa?
Derio has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Derio were as follows:
09.11.2024
Derio
-
Leioa
0:1
16.12.2023
Leioa
-
Derio
1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:7 | 10 | 19 |
| 2 | UD Aretxabaleta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:9 | 9 | 17 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5:3 | 2 | 14 |
| 4 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 14 |
| 5 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 13 |
| 7 | Lagun Onak | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 12 |
| 8 | Touring KE | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | San Ignacio | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Eibar C | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Durango | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Real Sociedad C | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 13 | Santurtzi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Zamudio | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 8 |
| 15 | SD Deusto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 8 |
| 16 | Alaves C | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 |
| 18 | Anorga | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation