Leioa vs Derio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Leioa - Derio
Result
2:1
22/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 1', 0 - 1, Mikel ,
  • 30', 1 - 1, Lete ,
  • 33', 2 - 1, Garcia I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Leioa
60%
Draw
24.5%
Derio
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 24.6% 14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4% 23.8% 14.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Leioa - Derio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.51)
    3.72
    (3.69)
    5.88
    (6.1)
    9.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 8).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Leioa is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Leioa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leioa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Derio were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Derio - Leioa 0:1
    16.12.2023 Leioa - Derio 1:1
    Latest results of Leioa
    16.03.2025 Santurtzi - Leioa 1:0
    08.03.2025 Leioa - Beasain 1:1
    22.02.2025 Leioa - San Ignacio 3:0
    16.02.2025 Basconia - Leioa 3:0
    09.02.2025 Padura - Leioa 1:2
    Latest results of Derio
    15.03.2025 Derio - Aretxabaleta 2:0
    09.03.2025 San Viator - Derio 0:0
    01.03.2025 Derio - Portugalete 1:1
    23.02.2025 Eibar C - Derio 0:0
    15.02.2025 Derio - Touring KE 0:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2