Result
0:2
13/03/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.69 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (327/407) | 81% (314/387) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.21 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (327/407) | 81% (314/387) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (72/116) | 62% (58/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (5/21) | 43% (6/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.97 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.45 | 0.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 33', 0 - 1, Carrizo F. ⚽, Espinoza Acosta M. D. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Romero O. ↓, Acosta D. ↑,
- 46', Riquelme H. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
- 59', Ruiz Diaz R. ↓, Caceres Aguero F. M. ↑,
- 59', Gomez A. ↓, Farina A. ↑,
- 63', Campuzano A. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 63', Aguilar G. ↓, Melgarejo L. ↑,
- 74', Sanabria S. ↓, Acosta M. ↑,
- 82', Espinoza Acosta M. D. ↓, Rojas M. ↑,
- 82', Carrizo F. ↓, Franco I. ↑,
- 87', Acosta D. 🟨,
- 90+2', 0 - 2, Melgarejo L. ⚽, Martinez H. (A),
- 90+3', Benitez A. ↓, Martinez C. ↑,
Chances of winning
2 de Mayo 23.2% | Draw 29.8% | Libertad Asuncion 47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.03 ↑ (3.84) |
3.16 ↓ (3.31) |
1.99 ↑ (1.97) |
6.8% (7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for 2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Libertad (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - 2 de Mayo (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 50%). Libertad (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Libertad is considered a favorite.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, 2 de Mayo won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, 2 de Mayo won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Libertad Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between 2 de Mayo - Libertad Asuncion were as follows:
21.09.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
0:1
11.07.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
01.06.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
28.03.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
03.11.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:0
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 14:6 | 8 | 27 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 19 |
| 4 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Rubio Nu | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 15 |
| 6 | Guarani | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Ameliano | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 13 |
| 9 | Sportivo Trinidense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 de Mayo | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6:15 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 7:25 | -18 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )