Result
0:1
21/09/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.25 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (426/505) | 78% (257/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 1.25 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.07 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (426/505) | 78% (257/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (27/47) | 38% (15/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (55/95) | 55% (38/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2', Saiz C. 🟨,
- 15', Rojas R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bogarin J. ↓, Martinez H. ↑,
- 59', Aguilar G. ↓, Cardozo O. ↑,
- 59', Alfonso E. ↓, Romero O. ↑,
- 59', Riquelme H. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
- 60', Sanabria L. ↓, Recalde J. ↑,
- 72', 🟨,
- 75', 🟥,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+6', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Libertad Asuncion
57.3% | Draw
25.3% | 2 de Mayo
17.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Libertad Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)2 de Mayo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for 2 de Mayo than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.6) |
3.6 ↓
(3.65) |
5.36 ↑
(4.8) |
7.4%
(10.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. 2 de Mayo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 2.
- Libertad has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- 2 de Mayo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Libertad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Libertad is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Libertad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Libertad won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Asuncion won against 2 de Mayo?
Libertad Asuncion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has 2 de Mayo won against Libertad Asuncion?
2 de Mayo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Libertad Asuncion - 2 de Mayo were as follows:
11.07.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:0
01.06.2025
2 de Mayo
-
Libertad Asuncion
0:1
28.03.2025
Libertad Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
1:1
03.11.2024
2 de Mayo
-
Libertad Asuncion
2:0
25.08.2024
Libertad Asuncion
-
2 de Mayo
2:0
Latest results of Libertad Asuncion
Latest results of 2 de Mayo
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 36:15 | 21 | 36 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 27:17 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 21:17 | 4 | 29 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21:15 | 6 | 27 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 22:19 | 3 | 26 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 24 |
| 7 | Sp. Luqueno | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 20 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 10 | Libertad Asuncion | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18:18 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 15 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
