Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 16
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (446/498) | 83% (279/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.84 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (446/498) | 83% (279/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (43/64) | 47% (26/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (96/120) | 75% (92/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 30 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.16 | 1.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Cazares ⚽, Mercado P. (A),
- 35', Biojo R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Quinonez A. ↓, Caicedo E. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Quinonez O. (Pen),
- 57', Hoyos M. ↓, Spinelli C. ↑,
- 57', Ibarra R. ↓, Briones R. ↑,
- 58', Pata E. ↓, Arroyo J. P. ↑,
- 68', Santamaria T. 🟨,
- 69', Santamaria T. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 69', Cazares ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
- 72', Ayovi W. ↓, Caicedo N. ↑,
- 90+1', Nazareno L. 🟨,
- 90+2', Caicedo E. 🟨,
- 90+3', Bolanos D. ↓, Bardales W. ↑,
- 90+5', Spinelli C. 🟨,
- 90+5', Caicedo N. 🟨,
- 90+6', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 90+7', Humanante J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente del Valle
68.3% | Draw
19.7% | Libertad Loja
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.47) |
4.73 ↑
(4.13) |
7.68 ↑
(6.17) |
8.1%
(8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
- Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Libertad has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente del Valle won against Libertad Loja?
Independiente del Valle has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against Independiente del Valle?
Libertad Loja has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja were as follows:
15.02.2025
Libertad Loja
-
Independiente del Valle
2:0
20.09.2024
Libertad Loja
-
Independiente del Valle
1:1
07.04.2024
Independiente del Valle
-
Libertad Loja
3:0
17.09.2023
Independiente del Valle
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
14.04.2023
Libertad Loja
-
Independiente del Valle
0:0
Latest results of Independiente del Valle
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 45:20 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 47 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 41:24 | 17 | 44 |
| 4 | Dep. Cuenca | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Libertad | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40:34 | 6 | 41 |
| 6 | Aucas | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Orense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 27:29 | -2 | 38 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 36 |
| 9 | Emelec | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 35 |
| 10 | Macara | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:27 | -2 | 30 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
| 12 | Delfin | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 24:37 | -13 | 28 |
| 13 | Tecnico U | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24:35 | -11 | 25 |
| 14 | Manta | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 25 |
| 15 | Vinotinto | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 29:37 | -8 | 24 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa ✔ | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mushuc Runa is Liga Pro (Relegation Group )
