Independiente del Valle vs Libertad Loja – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ecuadorian Liga Pro Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja
Result
1:1
14/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Pro - Round 16
  • Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Teleamazonas, Zapping
peruPeruZapping Sports
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.20
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
61
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
90% (446/498)83% (279/337)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
0.781.20
xG on target (xGOT)
2.040.84
Total shots
1411
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
145
Passes
90% (446/498)83% (279/337)
Long passes
67% (43/64)47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
80% (96/120)75% (92/122)
Crosses
26% (5/19)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.110.60
Throw-ins
1014
Fouls
514
Tackles
69% (9/13)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4530
Clearances
1623
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.842.04
Goals prevented
-0.161.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Cazares , Mercado P. (A),
  • 35', Biojo R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Quinonez A. , Caicedo E. ,
  • 56', 1 - 1, Quinonez O. (Pen),
  • 57', Hoyos M. , Spinelli C. ,
  • 57', Ibarra R. , Briones R. ,
  • 58', Pata E. , Arroyo J. P. ,
  • 68', Santamaria T. 🟨,
  • 69', Santamaria T. , Fernandez M. ,
  • 69', Cazares , Sornoza J. ,
  • 72', Ayovi W. , Caicedo N. ,
  • 90+1', Nazareno L. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Caicedo E. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Bolanos D. , Bardales W. ,
  • 90+5', Spinelli C. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Caicedo N. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Montano J. , Humanante J. ,
  • 90+7', Humanante J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente del Valle
68.3%
Draw
19.7%
Libertad Loja
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.7% 22.3% 15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 21.2% 14.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.
  • Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente del Valle than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
  • Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.35
    (1.47)
    4.73
    (4.13)
    7.68
    (6.17)
    8.1%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )).
    • Ind del Valle is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Libertad has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Ind del Valle is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 2:0
    20.09.2024 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 1:1
    07.04.2024 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 3:0
    17.09.2023 Independiente del Valle - Libertad Loja 2:0
    14.04.2023 Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle 0:0
    Latest results of Independiente del Valle
    Latest results of Libertad Loja
    Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. del Valle23147243:192449
    2Barcelona SC23125635:26941
    3LDU Quito22117438:211740
    4Orense23114825:26-137
    5Aucas22105730:27335
    6Dep. Cuenca23105827:24335
    7Libertad2297633:28534
    8U. Catolica2287738:29931
    9Emelec2277820:26-628
    10Delfin2268821:31-1026
    11EL Nacional23671026:33-725
    12Vinotinto22651126:30-423
    13Macara23581021:26-523
    14Manta2258929:38-923
    15Tecnico U22471120:33-1319
    16Mushuc Runa22451324:39-1517

          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
          Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )