Result
2:0
05/05/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 11
- Referee: Andrade Arreaga J. C. (Ecu)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol 2, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol, Zapping |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.52 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (297/364) | 82% (302/367) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.18 | 1.52 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.34 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (297/364) | 82% (302/367) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (35/63) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (80/106) | 71% (60/85) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.34 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Mina A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Vazquez J. ↓, Carcelen Carabali M. A. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Mina J. ⚽, Montenegro B. (A),
- 72', Caicedo N. ↓, Quinonez A. ↑,
- 72', Ayovi W. ↓, Quinonez Y. ↑,
- 77', Bardales W. 🟨,
- 85', Bardales W. 🟨,
- 86', Montenegro B. (Pen),
- 87', Caicedo E. ↓, Bolanos D. ↑,
- 90', Montenegro B. ↓, Serpa T. ↑,
- 90+1', Segura E. ↓, Olaya V. ↑,
- 90+1', Ontaneda J. ↓, Gruezo E. ↑,
- 90+2', Briones R. ↓, Canales J. ↑,
- 90+4', Montano J. ↓, Humanante J. ↑,
- 90+4', Arboleda C. ↓, Lastre E. ↑,
Chances of winning
SD Aucas
62.2% | Draw
22.6% | Libertad Loja
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SD Aucas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SD Aucas's performance.Libertad Loja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SD Aucas than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SD Aucas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Loja than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
SD Aucas - Libertad Loja Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.5 ↓
(1.8) |
4.11 ↑
(3.3) |
6.07 ↑
(4.61) |
7.6%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for SD Aucas - Libertad Loja?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Aucas will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Aucas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Aucas is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aucas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Aucas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has SD Aucas won against Libertad Loja?
SD Aucas has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Libertad Loja won against SD Aucas?
Libertad Loja has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SD Aucas - Libertad Loja were as follows:
26.10.2024
Libertad Loja
-
SD Aucas
1:1
04.09.2024
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
0:1
05.05.2024
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
2:0
27.08.2023
SD Aucas
-
Libertad Loja
1:2
01.04.2023
Libertad Loja
-
SD Aucas
2:2
Latest results of SD Aucas
Latest results of Libertad Loja
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 43:19 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Barcelona SC | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 38:21 | 17 | 40 |
| 4 | Orense | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 37 |
| 5 | Aucas | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 30:27 | 3 | 35 |
| 6 | Dep. Cuenca | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Libertad | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:28 | 5 | 34 |
| 8 | U. Catolica | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 38:29 | 9 | 31 |
| 9 | Emelec | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 28 |
| 10 | Delfin | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:31 | -10 | 26 |
| 11 | EL Nacional | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 12 | Vinotinto | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 26:30 | -4 | 23 |
| 13 | Macara | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 21:26 | -5 | 23 |
| 14 | Manta | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 29:38 | -9 | 23 |
| 15 | Tecnico U | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 19 |
| 16 | Mushuc Runa | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 24:39 | -15 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
