Result
1:2
20/03/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 21', 0 - 1, Chavez Y. ⚽,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Banegas E. ↓, Rochez C. ↑,
- 46', Castillo H. 🟨,
- 48', Lopez E. 🟨,
- 66', Pena K. 🟨,
- 72', Lopez E. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 72', Franco J. ↓, Anaya L. ↑,
- 72', Castillo H. ↓, Fernandez C. ↑,
- 77', Rodas Andrino G. J. ↓, Ardon C. ↑,
- 80', Rochez C. 🟨,
- 84', 🟨,
- 84', Nunez J. 🟨,
- 86', Moreira R. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 2, Anaya L. ⚽,
- 90+1', Bermudez J. ↓, Barrios J. ↑,
- 90+3', Borja E. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
43.1% | Draw
24.3% | Choloma
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lobos UPNFM's form might have worsened.Choloma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Choloma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+15.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lobos UPNFM, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Choloma than the current prediction. (-13.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Choloma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lobos UPNFM - Choloma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.14 ↑
(1.6) |
3.79 ↓
(4) |
2.82 ↓
(4.63) |
8.7%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Choloma?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Choloma (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- 1X2, 1st Half - Lobos UPNFM (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Choloma will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM (votes: 1 - 50%). Choloma (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 11).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Choloma has had a series of home games.
- Lobos UPNFM might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Choloma?
Lobos UPNFM has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Choloma won against Lobos UPNFM?
Choloma has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Choloma were as follows:
29.01.2026
Choloma
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:1
14.10.2025
Choloma
-
Lobos UPNFM
5:1
03.08.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Choloma
2:2
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Choloma
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Motagua | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 22:8 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24:17 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 22 |
| 4 | Marathon | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19:9 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Olancho | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:18 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Choloma | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 11 |
| 9 | Victoria | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:22 | -8 | 10 |
| 10 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Juticalpa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12:31 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
