Result
2:1
07/04/2025 at 21:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Serrano J. ⚽, Argueta J. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Rochez J. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 1, Pena K. ⚽,
- 33', Melendez D. 🟨,
- 37', Auzmendi R. 🟨,
- 45+3', Medina L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mejia C. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 46', Melendez D. ↓, Martinez Betanco W. J. ↑,
- 47', Rochez J. 🟨,
- 60', Padilla J. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 66', Gutierrez C. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 66', Santos M. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 66', Argueta J. ↓, Argueta C. ↑,
- 67', Rochez J. ↓, Aceituno M. ↑,
- 75', Cardozo Coitinho S. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 80', Aceituno M. 🟨,
- 82', Rochez C. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
- 90+3', Gomez R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
19.7% | Draw
25.6% | Motagua
54.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motagua could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lobos UPNFM - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.66 ↓
(5.37) |
3.59 ↓
(3.76) |
1.68 ↑
(1.55) |
8.9%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and Honduras Liga Nacional with fubo (for US customers) Network on : FOX Deportes
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 0.
- Recent matches Lobos UPNFM is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Motagua is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- In this match Motagua is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 20:46 (average 1:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 9:18 (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Motagua?
Lobos UPNFM has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Lobos UPNFM?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Motagua were as follows:
06.02.2025
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
5:0
28.09.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
0:2
26.07.2024
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:2
14.04.2024
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:0
18.02.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
0:2
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 9 | 9 |
| 2 | Marathon | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:1 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | Platense | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Olancho | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Juticalpa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:8 | -6 | 4 |
| 8 | Genesis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Choloma | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 10 | Motagua | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Victoria | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:10 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
