Result
0:0
27/11/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Ruiz J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ruiz J. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 46', Padilla J. ↓, Mejia G. ↑,
- 48', Gomez R. 🟨,
- 61', Rochez J. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
- 70', Garcia R. 🟨,
- 73', Gomez R. (Pen),
- 74', Vega L. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑,
- 74', Mejia C. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 76', Palma C. 🟨,
- 82', John Kleber ↓, Oliva D. ↑,
- 82', Moreira R. ↓, Morales M. ↑,
- 85', Macias J. ↓, Izaguirre E. ↑,
- 85', Gomez R. ↓, Melendez L. ↑,
- 86', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 89', Garcia F. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 90', Izaguirre E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
27.7% | Draw
26.7% | Motagua
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Lobos UPNFM - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.29 ↑
(3.03) |
3.42 ↓
(3.6) |
2 ↓
(2.01) |
9.6%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Motagua?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 1.
- In recent matches, Lobos UPNFM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Motagua is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Lobos UPNFM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Motagua has had a series of home games.
- Motagua could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 23:48. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lobos UPNFM won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Motagua?
Lobos UPNFM has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Lobos UPNFM?
Motagua has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Motagua were as follows:
13.09.2025
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
3:3
07.04.2025
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
2:1
06.02.2025
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
5:0
28.09.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Motagua
0:2
26.07.2024
Motagua
-
Lobos UPNFM
4:2
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
