Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 13 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Rochez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Gomez A. 🟨,
- 59', Monico D. ↓, Felix B. ↑,
- 60', 2 - 0, Gutierrez C. ⚽,
- 63', Gutierrez C. ↓, Vasquez E. ↑,
- 63', Rochez C. ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
- 64', Delgado E. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
- 64', Reyes D. ↓, Asprilla L. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ⚽,
- 76', Martinez R. ↓, Turner B. ↑,
- 76', Ramirez W. ↓, Carrasco M. ↑,
- 78', Garcia R. ↓, Ponce J. ↑,
- 89', Pena K. ↓, Hernandez A. ↑,
- 89', Ponce J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lobos UPNFM
39.9% | Draw
29.8% | Real Sociedad Tocoa
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Real Sociedad Tocoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.22) |
3.07 ↓
(3.4) |
3.03 ↑
(3.02) |
9.2%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Sociedad Tocoa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Lobos UPNFM will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:13 (average 1.4:0.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Lobos UPNFM won against Real Sociedad Tocoa?
Lobos UPNFM has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Sociedad Tocoa won against Lobos UPNFM?
Real Sociedad Tocoa has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa were as follows:
16.02.2025
Real Sociedad Tocoa
-
Lobos UPNFM
1:1
23.11.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Real Sociedad Tocoa
2:1
18.09.2024
Real Sociedad Tocoa
-
Lobos UPNFM
0:0
31.03.2024
Lobos UPNFM
-
Real Sociedad Tocoa
1:0
31.01.2024
Real Sociedad Tocoa
-
Lobos UPNFM
2:1
Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
Latest results of Real Sociedad Tocoa
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 11 |
| 2 | Real Espana | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 10 |
| 3 | Olancho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | Marathon | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:1 | 10 | 9 |
| 5 | Platense | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 9 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
| 7 | Juticalpa | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4:10 | -6 | 5 |
| 8 | Genesis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Choloma | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
| 10 | Motagua | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
| 11 | Victoria | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:12 | -12 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
