Lobos UPNFM vs Real Sociedad Tocoa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa
Result
2:1
19/04/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
109
Shots on target
64
Corner Kicks
213
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
109
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
45
Corner Kicks
213
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Rochez J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', Gomez A. 🟨,
  • 59', Monico D. , Felix B. ,
  • 60', 2 - 0, Gutierrez C. ,
  • 63', Gutierrez C. , Vasquez E. ,
  • 63', Rochez C. , Padilla J. ,
  • 64', Delgado E. , Fuentes A. ,
  • 64', Reyes D. , Asprilla L. ,
  • 71', 2 - 1, Martinez D. ,
  • 76', Martinez R. , Turner B. ,
  • 76', Ramirez W. , Carrasco M. ,
  • 78', Garcia R. , Ponce J. ,
  • 89', Pena K. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 89', Ponce J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lobos UPNFM
39.9%
Draw
29.8%
Real Sociedad Tocoa
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 27.3% 30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 26.3% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lobos UPNFM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Real Sociedad Tocoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos UPNFM than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad Tocoa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.22)
    3.07
    (3.4)
    3.03
    (3.02)
    9.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Lobos UPNFM will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Real Sociedad Tocoa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Lobos UPNFM will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Lobos UPNFM won 8 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23:13 (average 1.4:0.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lobos UPNFM won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:4 (average 1.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa were as follows:
    16.02.2025 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM 1:1
    23.11.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa 2:1
    18.09.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM 0:0
    31.03.2024 Lobos UPNFM - Real Sociedad Tocoa 1:0
    31.01.2024 Real Sociedad Tocoa - Lobos UPNFM 2:1
    Latest results of Lobos UPNFM
    12.04.2025 Real España - Lobos UPNFM 2:1
    07.04.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Motagua 2:1
    29.03.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Juticalpa 1:0
    12.03.2025 Lobos UPNFM - Génesis PN 1:1
    Latest results of Real Sociedad Tocoa
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia1173126:131324
    2Marathon1265126:111523
    3Olancho1256126:17921
    4Motagua1153321:19218
    5UPNFM1144318:19-116
    6Platense1143419:13615
    7Real Espana1143416:13315
    8Juticalpa1245315:21-613
    9Genesis1223716:22-69
    10Choloma1121812:32-207
    11Victoria1212912:27-155

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