Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 5
- Referee: Abrosimov I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (145/247) | 75% (310/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (145/247) | 75% (310/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (22/74) | 36% (21/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (51/107) | 60% (96/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 29% (6/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 27% (3/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 65 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Gil B. ⚽, Petrov I. (A),
- 18', Mendel A. ↓, Kovalev Y. ↑,
- 32', Saus V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Titkov N. 🟨,
- 59', Nenakhov M. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
- 61', Gil B. ↓, Offor C. ↑,
- 65', Petrov M. 🟨,
- 75', Karpukas A. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
- 75', Rudenko A. ↓, Saltykov N. ↑,
- 77', Kovalev Y. ↓, Pryakhin S. ↑,
- 77', Titkov N. ↓, Filin A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 1, Komlichenko N. ⚽, Barinov D. (A),
Chances of winning
Baltika Kaliningrad
36.8% | Draw
29.4% | Lokomotiv Moscow
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baltika Kaliningrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↓
(2.91) |
3.28 ↓
(3.57) |
2.85 ↑
(2.55) |
3.7%
(1.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 1.
- Baltika has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Lokomotiv is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Baltika has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Mampassi M.
(Muscle Injury)
Vorobyev D.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Baltika won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Baltika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Baltika Kaliningrad won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Baltika Kaliningrad has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Baltika Kaliningrad?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baltika Kaliningrad - Lokomotiv Moscow were as follows:
13.08.2025
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
2:0
06.07.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
4:1
25.05.2024
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:3
14.03.2024
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Baltika Kaliningrad
1:2
28.11.2023
Baltika Kaliningrad
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
2:2
Latest results of Baltika Kaliningrad
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17:3 | 14 | 15 |
| 2 | CSKA Moscow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:5 | 9 | 14 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
| 4 | Baltika | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Rubin Kazan | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 6 | Zenit | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Spartak Moscow | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 |
| 9 | Krylya Sovetov | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 10 | Akhmat Grozny | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Orenburg | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | FK Rostov | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Sochi | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3:17 | -14 | 1 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
