Result
2:3
20/09/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Badawi M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/445) | 90% (478/529) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/445) | 90% (478/529) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (13/37) | 68% (26/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 82% (157/191) | 84% (149/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 40% (4/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 2.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 53% (9/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 2.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.76 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Echenique E. ⚽, Evander (A),
- 22', 0 - 2, Brenner ⚽, Evander (A), Denkey K. (A2)
- 39', 1 - 2, Paintsil J. ⚽, Fagundez D. (A), Miller H. (A2)
- 43', Fagundez D. 🟨,
- 45+4', Parente I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 51', Parente I. 🟨,
- 59', Hagglund N. 🟨,
- 60', Hagglund N. ↓, Powell A. ↑,
- 62', Nelson J. ↓, Aude J. ↑,
- 62', Miller H. ↓, Cuevas M. ↑,
- 72', Gidi S. ↓, Kubo Y. ↑,
- 72', Denkey K. ↓, Jabbari A. ↑,
- 73', Echenique E. ↓, Marczuk D. ↑,
- 77', Yamane M. ↓, Berry M. ↑,
- 87', Fagundez D. ↓, Lepley T. ↑,
- 87', Cerrillo E. ↓, Ramos R. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 3, Brenner ⚽, Evander (A),
- 89', Evander ↓, Anunga T. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 3, Cuevas M. ⚽, Paintsil J. (A),
Chances of winning
Los Angeles Galaxy
36.6% | Draw
24.9% | Cincinnati
38.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Cincinnati has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cincinnati than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↓
(2.63) |
3.83 ↑
(3.6) |
2.47 ↑
(2.47) |
5%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. LA Galaxy will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Cincinnati will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 1 - 50%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - LA Galaxy (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0, 1st Half - LA Galaxy (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. LA Galaxy (votes: 3 - 75%). Cincinnati (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- LA Galaxy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cincinnati has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in LA Galaxy: Aude J.
(Foot Injury)
Matheus Nascimento
(Groin Injury)
Puig R.
(Knee Injury)
Reus M.
(Thigh Injury)
Sanabria L.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Cincinnati: Celentano R.
(Leg Injury)
Nwobodo O.
(Thigh Injury)
Smith B.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in LA Galaxy: Ramirez C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Zanka
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Cincinnati: Kubo Y.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, LA Galaxy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Los Angeles Galaxy won against Cincinnati?
Los Angeles Galaxy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cincinnati won against Los Angeles Galaxy?
Cincinnati has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Los Angeles Galaxy - Cincinnati were as follows:
Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
Latest results of Cincinnati
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
