Philadelphia Union vs Los Angeles Galaxy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
14/05/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.34
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
223
Shots on target
92
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
123
Passes
76% (329/432)70% (247/355)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
2.120.34
xG on target (xGOT)
3.200.89
Total shots
223
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
80
Shots inside the Box
183
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
30
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
123
Touches in opposition box
4214
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
119
Passes
76% (329/432)70% (247/355)
Long passes
53% (26/49)33% (23/69)
Passes in final third
66% (121/182)52% (55/106)
Crosses
41% (15/37)38% (3/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.510.66
Throw-ins
2323
Fouls
911
Tackles
100% (14/14)71% (10/14)
Duels won
5044
Clearances
1033
Interceptions
913
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
06
xGOT faced
0.893.20
Goals prevented
-1.110.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 6', Harriel N. 🟨,
  • 31', 0 - 1, Cuevas M. , Reus M. (A),
  • 37', 0 - 2, Fagundez D. , Reus M. (A), Cuevas M. (A2)
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 1 - 2, Harriel N. , Glesnes J. (A), Wagner K. (A2)
  • 50', 2 - 2, Baribo T. , Jean Jacques D. (A),
  • 58', Damiani B. , Uhre M. ,
  • 58', Sullivan Q. , Bedoya A. ,
  • 61', Wynder E. , Ramirez C. ,
  • 71', Sanabria L. , Lepley T. ,
  • 71', Cuevas M. , Aude J. ,
  • 85', Vassilev I. , Sullivan C. ,
  • 85', Westfield F. , Makhanya O. ,
  • 90+4', Garces C. , Zavaleta E. ,
  • 90+6', 3 - 2, Baribo T. , Uhre M. (A),
  • 90+8', Ramirez C. 🟨,
  • 90+9', Nelson J. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Philadelphia Union
59.3%
Draw
22.7%
Los Angeles Galaxy
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.1% 22.1% 16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2% 21.7% 16.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.56)
    4.2
    (4.3)
    5.26
    (5.66)
    5%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - LA Galaxy (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Philadelphia (2.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Philadelphia (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Philadelphia Union will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Philadelphia Union will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). LA Galaxy (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 0.
    • Philadelphia is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • LA Galaxy has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Philadelphia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Philadelphia has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Philadelphia is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Philadelphia: Glavinovich I. (Knee Injury) Pierre N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in LA Galaxy: Gabriel Pec (Hip Injury) Paintsil J. (Hip Injury) Puig R. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Philadelphia: Blake A. (Knee Injury) Mbaizo O. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Philadelphia will win today's game, with odds of 1.65.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:23. (average 0.8:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 1.3:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Union - Los Angeles Galaxy were as follows:
    08.07.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy - Philadelphia Union 3:1
    Latest results of Philadelphia Union
    Latest results of Los Angeles Galaxy
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Los Angeles FC651014:01416
    2Vancouver Whitecaps650117:41315
    3San Jose Earthquakes650110:1915
    4Real Salt Lake641112:8413
    5Seattle Sounders64116:2413
    6FC Dallas632114:9511
    7San Diego FC632113:8511
    8Colorado Rapids630313:1039
    9Minnesota United62226:12-68
    10Houston Dynamo52038:10-26
    11Austin FC61327:9-26
    12Los Angeles Galaxy61238:10-25
    13St. Louis City61235:8-35
    14Portland Timbers61149:15-64
    15Sporting Kansas City61146:14-84


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Nashville SC641113:31013
    2New York City632114:7711
    3Charlotte632112:7511
    4Inter Miami632111:10111
    5Chicago Fire63128:5310
    6Toronto FC63129:10-110
    7New York Red Bulls63129:13-410
    8DC United62134:8-47
    9New England Revolution520311:926
    10FC Cincinnati62049:15-66
    11Columbus Crew61238:9-15
    12Atlanta Utd61146:11-54
    13CF Montreal61057:17-103
    14Orlando City61055:23-183
    15Philadelphia Union60064:11-70

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)