Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59 |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (280/371) | 77% (248/324) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (280/371) | 77% (248/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/71) | 43% (20/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (39/78) | 67% (70/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 16% (3/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Perez A. 🟨,
- 37', Anderson S. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
- 45', Obalola A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 58', Perez A. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 60', Hairston M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 62', Dieng M. 🟨,
- 66', Obalola A. 🟨,
- 69', Lambert K. 🟨,
- 71', Careaga S. ↓, Beckford D. ↑,
- 73', Lambert K. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 73', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 73', Dia A. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
- 78', Presthus T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 85', Goodrum P. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Edwards K. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
- 90+1', Siaha A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic
21.6% | Draw
25.4% | Louisville City
53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hartford Athletic - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↓
(6.99) |
3.66 ↓
(4.07) |
1.75 ↑
(1.45) |
7.6%
(7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
- In recent matches, Hartford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Louisville City were as follows:
24.08.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
2:1
27.04.2024
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
6:0
07.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
1:1
03.06.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
0:0
15.10.2022
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
2:1
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42:17 | 25 | 48 |
| 2 | Charleston | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | North Carolina | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 33 |
| 4 | Loudoun | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 31:29 | 2 | 31 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
| 6 | Detroit | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 24:24 | 0 | 28 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29:23 | 6 | 26 |
| 8 | Indy Eleven | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 32:37 | -5 | 23 |
| 9 | Rhode Island | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15:23 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Miami FC | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21:34 | -13 | 20 |
| 11 | Birmingham | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tampa Bay | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 22:31 | -9 | 18 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 2 | Sacramento Republic | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29:17 | 12 | 31 |
| 3 | El Paso | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 31 |
| 4 | San Antonio | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 29 |
| 5 | Phoenix Rising | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 6 | Lexington | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 28 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 27 |
| 8 | New Mexico | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | Colorado Springs | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 24 |
| 10 | Monterey Bay | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 23:29 | -6 | 24 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 24:32 | -8 | 21 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17:39 | -22 | 20 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
