Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Hartford Athletic - Louisville City
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.13
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
75% (280/371)77% (248/324)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.85
Total shots
611
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
75% (280/371)77% (248/324)
Long passes
38% (27/71)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
50% (39/78)67% (70/105)
Crosses
33% (6/18)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.79
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
1319
Tackles
89% (8/9)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5657
Clearances
2333
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.850.14
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 37', Anderson S. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. , Perez E. (A),
  • 45', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 58', Perez A. , Davila E. ,
  • 60', Hairston M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 62', Dieng M. 🟨,
  • 66', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 69', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 71', Careaga S. , Beckford D. ,
  • 73', Lambert K. , Serrano R. ,
  • 73', Ordonez A. , Jones J. ,
  • 73', Dia A. , McFadden A. ,
  • 78', Presthus T. , Edwards K. ,
  • 85', Goodrum P. , Wilson J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Edwards K. , Anderson S. (A),
  • 90+1', Siaha A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
21.6%
Draw
25.4%
Louisville City
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 22.8% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9% 22.1% 66%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hartford Athletic - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (6.99)
    3.66
    (4.07)
    1.75
    (1.45)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hartford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Louisville City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 2:1
    27.04.2024 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 6:0
    07.10.2023 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 1:1
    03.06.2023 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 0:0
    15.10.2022 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Hartford Athletic
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Charleston18132338:162241
    2Louisville City17115130:131738
    3Loudoun1883728:27127
    4North Carolina1682625:20526
    5Pittsburgh1765615:15023
    6Detroit1756620:22-221
    7Indy Eleven1655626:28-220
    8Miami FC1754817:25-819
    9Birmingham1846819:25-618
    10Rhode Island1745814:18-417
    11Hartford Athletic1644819:21-216
    12Tampa Bay16421017:25-814


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa1795327:18932
    2San Antonio1683523:21227
    3New Mexico1681722:21125
    4Sacramento Republic1666422:121024
    5Orange County SC1672726:23323
    6El Paso1665524:25-123
    7Phoenix Rising1765627:30-323
    8Monterey Bay1864819:23-422
    9Colorado Springs1756622:23-121
    10Oakland Roots1762919:25-620
    11Lexington1847718:26-819
    12Las Vegas Lights1753913:28-1518

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )