Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59 |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 1.13 |
Ball Possession |
---|
53% | 47% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
75% (280/371) | 77% (248/324) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
5 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.48 | 1.13 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.14 | 0.85 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
1 | 1 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
13 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
19 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
75% (280/371) | 77% (248/324) |
Long passes |
---|
38% (27/71) | 43% (20/46) |
Passes in final third |
---|
50% (39/78) | 67% (70/105) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (6/18) | 16% (3/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.62 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
---|
27 | 20 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 19 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 58% (7/12) |
Duels won |
---|
56 | 57 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 33 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.85 | 0.14 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.22 | -0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Perez A. 🟨,
- 37', Anderson S. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. ⚽, Perez E. (A),
- 45', Obalola A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Ordonez A. 🟨,
- 58', Perez A. ↓, Davila E. ↑,
- 60', Hairston M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 62', Dieng M. 🟨,
- 66', Obalola A. 🟨,
- 69', Lambert K. 🟨,
- 71', Careaga S. ↓, Beckford D. ↑,
- 73', Lambert K. ↓, Serrano R. ↑,
- 73', Ordonez A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
- 73', Dia A. ↓, McFadden A. ↑,
- 78', Presthus T. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 85', Goodrum P. ↓, Wilson J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Edwards K. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
- 90+1', Siaha A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hartford Athletic 21.6% | Draw 25.4% | Louisville City 53% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hartford Athletic - Louisville City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.31 ↓ (6.99) |
3.66 ↓ (4.07) |
1.75 ↑ (1.45) |
7.6% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
- In recent matches, Hartford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Louisville City is the team to beat.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Louisville City were as follows:
24.08.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
2:1
27.04.2024
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
6:0
07.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
1:1
03.06.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
0:0
15.10.2022
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
2:1
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
Latest results of Louisville City
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )