Result
1:0
25/10/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Yaya A. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (141/202) | 66% (115/174) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.00 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 0 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 2 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (141/202) | 66% (115/174) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (15/35) | 31% (16/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (38/71) | 39% (15/38) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 0% (0/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 100% (3/3) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Goodrum P. ⚽,
- 43', Anderson S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 60', Moreira J. ↓, Presthus O. ↑,
- 60', Edwards K. ↓, Barry H. ↑,
- 65', Jones J. ↓, Perez E. ↑,
- 69', Hairston M. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
- 78', Goodrum P. ↓, Ownby B. ↑,
- 78', Dia A. ↓, Morris J. ↑,
- 79', Anderson S. ↓, Panayotou J. ↑,
- 89', Panayotou J. 🟨,
- 90+64', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Louisville City
59.1% | Draw
22.1% | Hartford Athletic
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Louisville City - Hartford Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.55) |
4.21 ↓
(4.27) |
4.93 ↓
(5.11) |
7.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- Hartford is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 1.
- Louisville City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Hartford is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Louisville City is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Louisville City will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Louisville City won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:8. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Louisville City won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Louisville City won against Hartford Athletic?
Louisville City has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hartford Athletic won against Louisville City?
Hartford Athletic has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Louisville City - Hartford Athletic were as follows:
17.05.2025
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
1:1
24.08.2024
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
2:1
27.04.2024
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
6:0
07.10.2023
Louisville City
-
Hartford Athletic
1:1
03.06.2023
Hartford Athletic
-
Louisville City
0:0
Latest results of Louisville City
Latest results of Hartford Athletic
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
