Hartford Athletic vs Louisville City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Hartford Athletic - Louisville City
Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Griggs J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, WCTX Channel 59
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.13
Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
611
Shots on target
12
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
75% (280/371)77% (248/324)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.481.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.140.85
Total shots
611
Shots on target
12
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
11
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
1317
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
1913
Passes
75% (280/371)77% (248/324)
Long passes
38% (27/71)43% (20/46)
Passes in final third
50% (39/78)67% (70/105)
Crosses
33% (6/18)16% (3/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.79
Throw-ins
2720
Fouls
1319
Tackles
89% (8/9)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5657
Clearances
2333
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.850.14
Goals prevented
-0.22-0.86

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Perez A. 🟨,
  • 37', Anderson S. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Goodrum P. , Perez E. (A),
  • 45', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Ordonez A. 🟨,
  • 58', Perez A. , Davila E. ,
  • 60', Hairston M. , Jimenez J. ,
  • 62', Dieng M. 🟨,
  • 66', Obalola A. 🟨,
  • 69', Lambert K. 🟨,
  • 71', Careaga S. , Beckford D. ,
  • 73', Lambert K. , Serrano R. ,
  • 73', Ordonez A. , Jones J. ,
  • 73', Dia A. , McFadden A. ,
  • 78', Presthus T. , Edwards K. ,
  • 85', Goodrum P. , Wilson J. ,
  • 88', 1 - 1, Edwards K. , Anderson S. (A),
  • 90+1', Siaha A. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Hartford Athletic
21.6%
Draw
25.4%
Louisville City
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.3% 22.8% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.9% 22.1% 66%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hartford Athletic's performance.
  • Louisville City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Louisville City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hartford Athletic that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Louisville City than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Louisville City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Hartford Athletic - Louisville City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.31
    (6.99)
    3.66
    (4.07)
    1.75
    (1.45)
    7.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hartford has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Louisville City is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Louisville City has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Louisville City is the team to beat.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.8:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hartford Athletic - Louisville City were as follows:
    24.08.2024 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 2:1
    27.04.2024 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 6:0
    07.10.2023 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 1:1
    03.06.2023 Hartford Athletic - Louisville City 0:0
    15.10.2022 Louisville City - Hartford Athletic 2:1
    Latest results of Louisville City
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 27206154:193566
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3North Carolina271251039:37241
    4Loudoun271161043:45-239
    5Hartford Athletic261151040:291138
    6Pittsburgh271071027:27037
    7Detroit27981031:32-135
    8Indy Eleven27951340:47-732
    9Rhode Island26871120:26-631
    10Tampa Bay27861339:42-330
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC27661525:41-1624


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 27148544:291550
    2Sacramento Republic26128639:211844
    3New Mexico271341037:34343
    4San Antonio26107934:32237
    5El Paso27910842:38437
    6Lexington27981028:35-735
    7Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    8Phoenix Rising27712845:48-333
    9Orange County SC26871138:41-331
    10Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    11Oakland Roots26761333:44-1127
    12Las Vegas Lights26671319:43-2425

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )