Lugo vs Cacereño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Lugo - Cacereño
Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Gaya J. 🟨,
  • 12', Berlanga M. (Pen),
  • 41', Hyjek J. 🟨,
  • 45', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 73', 1 - 0, Unzueta I. ,
  • 88', Celorio N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lugo
45.6%
Draw
30.8%
Cacereño
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.6% 31.5% 25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 31.1% 26.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Cacereño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Lugo - Cacereño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.14)
    3.02
    (2.89)
    3.86
    (3.53)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Lugo - Cacereño?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lugo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14)
    • Lugo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Cacereño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Lugo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Lugo might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lugo
    21.09.2025 Lugo - Ferrol 2:1
    14.09.2025 Zamora - Lugo 1:0
    06.09.2025 Lugo - Real Avilés 0:0
    Latest results of Cacereño
    27.09.2025 Barakaldo - Cacereño 1:1
    20.09.2025 Cacereño - Mérida AD 2:1
    14.09.2025 Cacereño - Arenteiro 0:2
    30.08.2025 Pontevedra - Cacereño 1:1
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife660016:21418
    2Celta Vigo B641110:4613
    3Racing Club Ferrol63217:5211
    4Guadalajara63129:7210
    5Barakaldo72418:7110
    6Real Aviles631211:11010
    7Pontevedra63126:6010
    8Zamora62316:429
    9Ath Bilbao B72326:609
    10Osasuna B62313:309
    11Arenteiro62226:518
    12CF Talavera62227:708
    13Lugo62134:5-17
    14Arenas Getxo62137:11-47
    15Cacereno61326:8-26
    16Real Madrid B62046:9-36
    17Merida AD62047:12-56
    18Ponferradina61147:9-24
    19Ourense CF60334:9-53
    20Unionistas61054:10-63

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation