Result
2:2
08/01/2026 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Melo F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
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| 2 | 4 |
| Total shots |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
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| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
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| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
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| 6 | 9 |
| Offsides |
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| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
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| 18 | 21 |
| Throw ins |
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| 25 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', 0 - 1, Rochez B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', Rafael Santos 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Arsenio ⚽,
- 62', Tiago Dias ↓, Platiny ↑,
- 65', Werton ↓, Evrard Zag ↑,
- 67', Arsenio 🟨,
- 74', Arsenio ↓, Tokinho Doria ↑,
- 75', Silverio 🟨,
- 81', 2 - 1, Joao Vasco ⚽,
- 84', Simaozinho 🟨,
- 86', Simaozinho ↓, Valente R. ↑,
- 86', Rochez B. ↓, Serif N. ↑,
- 86', Rafael Santos ↓, Rajani M. ↑,
- 86', Balde A. ↓, Kanuric B. ↑,
- 90+1', Joao Vasco ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 90+1', Teixeira M. ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 90+7', Kanuric B. 🟨,
- 90+10', 2 - 2, Bica ⚽,
- 90+11', Bica 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
43.7% | Draw
29.5% | Leixões
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Leixões has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leixões than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Lusitânia - Leixões Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.92) |
3.1 ↓
(3.35) |
3.44 ↓
(3.68) |
9%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Leixões?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Leixões will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lusitânia: 47.5% – 89.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lusitânia (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3).
- Lusitânia is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Leixões is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leixões may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Lusitânia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Lusitânia will win today's game, with odds of 2.09.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Leixões?
Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leixões won against Lusitânia?
Leixões has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Leixões were as follows:
10.07.2024
Lusitânia
-
Leixões
2:2
19.07.2023
Lusitânia
-
Leixões
1:2
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Leixões
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
