Result
0:1
22/12/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 15
- Referee: Lima F. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Tokinho Doria 🟥,
- 45+2', Silva J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Fabinho ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
- 59', Tiago Dias ↓, Joao Vasco ↑,
- 65', Lopes A. ↓, Bastos L. ↑,
- 65', Douglas Borel ↓, Joanderson ↑,
- 75', 0 - 1, Ondoa F. ⚽,
- 80', Arsenio ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 83', Silva J. ↓, Santos V. ↑,
- 83', Pereira D. ↓, Dioh I. ↑,
- 87', Silverio ↓, Palacios A. ↑,
- 88', Cerveira T. ↓, Platiny ↑,
- 89', Martelo P. ↓, Sabino ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
48.5% | Draw
27.3% | Oliveirense
24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)Oliveirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Lusitânia - Oliveirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.9 ↑
(1.87) |
3.41 ↓
(3.74) |
3.84 ↑
(3.72) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Oliveirense?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Oliveirense will win (votes: 1 - 4.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lusitânia: 57.7% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lusitânia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Neutral location - Estadio Luis Filipe Menezes.
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)).
- Lusitânia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Oliveirense is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Lusitânia is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Oliveirense?
Lusitânia has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oliveirense won against Lusitânia?
Oliveirense has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Oliveirense were as follows:
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Oliveirense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
