Result
0:1
30/12/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 16
- Referee: Torres M. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Rocha L. 🟨,
- 32', Mohamed D. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 1, Joao Vasco ⚽,
- 45+3', Costinha 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Costinha ↓, Pozo M. ↑,
- 60', Seydi I. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 69', Tiago Dias ↓, Platiny ↑,
- 71', Danilo ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
- 81', Pereira M. ↓, Martins R. ↑,
- 87', Mohamed D. ↓, Arielson ↑,
- 88', Pite 🟨,
- 90', Teixeira M. ↓, Faria B. ↑,
- 90', Joao Vasco ↓, Do Marcolino F. ↑,
- 90+3', Martins R. 🟨,
- 90+6', Faria B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Torreense
40.9% | Draw
30.6% | Lusitânia
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Torreense - Lusitânia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.26 ↑
(2.21) |
3 ↓
(3.39) |
3.26 ↑
(3.09) |
8.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Torreense - Lusitânia?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 16.1% – 74.9%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 10).
- Torreense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Lusitânia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Torreense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Torreense won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Torreense won against Lusitânia?
Torreense has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Torreense?
Lusitânia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Torreense - Lusitânia were as follows:
23.11.2025
Lusitânia
-
Torreense
0:1
Latest results of Torreense
Latest results of Lusitânia
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 38:19 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 44:26 | 18 | 44 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 24 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 37:23 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | FC Porto B | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 5 | Torreense | 24 | 11 | 3 | 10 | 28:27 | 1 | 36 |
| 6 | Leiria | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 34:31 | 3 | 35 |
| 7 | Vizela | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 30:28 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Lusitania FC | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
| 9 | Feirense | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 32 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 33:31 | 2 | 31 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 27:40 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Chaves | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 21:23 | -2 | 28 |
| 15 | SC Farense | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22:31 | -9 | 27 |
| 16 | Oliveirense | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 24 |
| 18 | Portimonense | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 25:35 | -10 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
