Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 10
- Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | LTFC+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (211/307) | 69% (213/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 69% (211/307) | 69% (213/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (20/74) | 33% (22/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (87/148) | 54% (55/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (4/21) | 28% (7/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 41 | 32 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 60 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.81 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', O'Riordan C. ↓, Grehan S. ↑,
- 38', Middleton G. 🟨,
- 40', 1 - 0, Naismith K. ⚽, Saville G. (A),
- 43', Wells N. (Pen),
- 45+5', Keeley J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gotts R. ↓, Close B. ↑,
- 55', Morris S. ↓, Kodua G. ↑,
- 59', Middleton G. ↓, Gibson J. ↑,
- 59', Sharp B. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
- 68', Sterry J. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
- 74', Wells N. ↓, Gbode J. ↑,
- 74', Dabo L. ↓, Nakamba M. ↑,
- 75', Alli M. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
- 77', Kodua G. 🟨,
- 90', Nelson Z. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Luton Town
53% | Draw
25.1% | Doncaster Rovers
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.78) |
3.72 ↑
(3.51) |
4.3 ↓
(4.55) |
6.2%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Luton Town will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E.
(Knee Injury)
Al Hamadi A.
(Calf Injury)
Baptiste S.
(Knee Injury)
Brown J.
(Ankle Injury)
Jones I.
(Back Injury)
Lockyer T.
(Ankle Injury)
Odoffin H.
(Muscle Injury)
Walsh L.
(Shoulder Injury)
- There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Luton: Nakamba M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Walters R.
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Doncaster Rovers?
Luton Town has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Luton Town?
Doncaster Rovers has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers were as follows:
Latest results of Luton Town
Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cardiff | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:11 | 10 | 26 |
| 2 | Stevenage | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23:16 | 7 | 26 |
| 4 | Stockport County | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 19:14 | 5 | 25 |
| 5 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 19:15 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Lincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Bolton | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 19:15 | 4 | 23 |
| 8 | Mansfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 19 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 18:18 | 0 | 19 |
| 10 | Luton | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 19 |
| 11 | Barnsley | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 18 |
| 12 | Doncaster | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:19 | -6 | 18 |
| 13 | Wigan | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Rotherham | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 | Northampton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10:13 | -3 | 17 |
| 17 | Wycombe | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18:16 | 2 | 16 |
| 18 | Exeter | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 14:14 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Reading | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Burton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 15 |
| 21 | Port Vale | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11:12 | -1 | 13 |
| 22 | Plymouth | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13:22 | -9 | 12 |
| 24 | Peterborough | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 10:22 | -12 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
