Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster).

League One - Round 25
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.61	0.39
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
65% (224/344)	67% (191/287)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
2.61	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.71	0.34
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
35	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
11	16
Passes
65% (224/344)	67% (191/287)
Long passes
28% (21/74)	36% (27/76)
Passes in final third
52% (78/150)	62% (60/97)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	1.18
Throw ins
26	24
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
45% (5/11)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
50	65
Clearances
17	55
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.34	1.71
Goals prevented
-0.66	0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
41', Clark J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
66', Sterry J. ↓, Close B. ↑,
66', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
66', van den Berg D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
68', Palmer K. 🟨,
72', Walsh L. 🟨,
73', Palmer K. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
73', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
73', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
90+4', Gotts R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Doncaster Rovers
36.2%

Draw
27.6%

Luton Town
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)	6.6% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Jones I. (Injury) Richards J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C. (Inactive) Naismith K. (Inactive) Nordas L. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Luton Town?

Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Doncaster Rovers?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town were as follows:

27.09.2025 Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers 1:0

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

07.03.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Cardiff City 0:4 ✺

21.02.2026 Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

07.03.2026 Luton Town - Reading 2:3 ✺

04.03.2026 Luton Town - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Port Vale - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Luton Town - Burton Albion 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln ✔	42	28	9	5	79:36	43	93
2	Cardiff	41	24	9	8	76:42	34	81
3	Bradford City	42	21	8	13	52:46	6	71
4	Bolton	42	18	16	8	59:44	15	70
5	Stockport County	40	19	10	11	59:50	9	67
6	Stevenage	41	19	10	12	43:38	5	67
7	Plymouth	42	19	6	17	66:58	8	63
8	Huddersfield	42	17	11	14	65:56	9	62
9	Reading	43	16	14	13	62:55	7	62
10	Luton	41	17	10	14	57:50	7	61
11	Wycombe	43	16	12	15	63:51	12	60
12	Barnsley	40	14	12	14	63:65	-2	54
13	Mansfield	40	13	14	13	50:43	7	53
14	Doncaster	42	15	8	19	43:64	-21	53
15	Wigan	42	13	13	16	46:56	-10	52
16	Peterborough	41	15	6	20	60:58	2	51
17	Burton	43	13	12	18	46:56	-10	51
18	Blackpool	43	14	9	20	51:65	-14	51
19	Leyton Orient	42	14	8	20	57:66	-9	50
20	AFC Wimbledon	42	14	8	20	49:63	-14	50
21	Exeter	43	12	11	20	47:55	-8	47
22	Rotherham	41	9	10	22	36:62	-26	37
23	Northampton	41	9	8	24	34:60	-26	35
24	Port Vale	39	8	10	21	30:54	-24	34

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two

Clinched Spots for Teams

Lincoln is Qualified for Championship