Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.65
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
69% (211/307)69% (213/310)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.13
Total shots
810
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
813
Passes
69% (211/307)69% (213/310)
Long passes
27% (20/74)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
59% (87/148)54% (55/102)
Crosses
19% (4/21)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.63
Throw-ins
4132
Fouls
138
Tackles
65% (11/17)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5360
Clearances
3136
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.131.81
Goals prevented
0.130.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', O'Riordan C. , Grehan S. ,
  • 38', Middleton G. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Naismith K. , Saville G. (A),
  • 43', Wells N. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Keeley J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gotts R. , Close B. ,
  • 55', Morris S. , Kodua G. ,
  • 59', Middleton G. , Gibson J. ,
  • 59', Sharp B. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 68', Sterry J. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 74', Wells N. , Gbode J. ,
  • 74', Dabo L. , Nakamba M. ,
  • 75', Alli M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 77', Kodua G. 🟨,
  • 90', Nelson Z. , Richards J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
53%
Draw
25.1%
Doncaster Rovers
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 28.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.78)
    3.72
    (3.51)
    4.3
    (4.55)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Calf Injury) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walsh L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Nakamba M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    20.09.2025 Lincoln City - Luton Town 3:1
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Burton Albion - Luton Town 0:3
    23.08.2025 Luton Town - Cardiff City 0:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bradford City1173120:13724
    2Stevenage971115:8722
    3Lincoln1063117:9821
    4Cardiff1062215:6920
    5Huddersfield1061316:11519
    6AFC Wimbledon1060414:12218
    7Luton1051414:11316
    8Stockport County1044215:13216
    9Barnsley951314:12216
    10Doncaster1051410:11-116
    11Bolton1035214:10414
    12Mansfield1042415:13214
    13Northampton94147:8-113
    14Wigan1033414:15-112
    15Plymouth1040615:18-312
    16Port Vale1032510:10011
    17Leyton Orient1032513:18-511
    18Exeter1030710:12-29
    19Reading923410:14-49
    20Wycombe1022611:13-28
    21Rotherham102269:15-68
    22Blackpool1022610:17-78
    23Burton92256:14-88
    24Peterborough102177:18-117

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two