Luton Town vs Doncaster Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 10
  • Referee: Robinson T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLTFC+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.65
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
31
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
69% (211/307)69% (213/310)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.65
xG on target (xGOT)
1.810.13
Total shots
810
Shots on target
31
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
813
Passes
69% (211/307)69% (213/310)
Long passes
27% (20/74)33% (22/67)
Passes in final third
59% (87/148)54% (55/102)
Crosses
19% (4/21)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.630.63
Throw-ins
4132
Fouls
138
Tackles
65% (11/17)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5360
Clearances
3136
Interceptions
108
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.131.81
Goals prevented
0.130.81

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 20', O'Riordan C. , Grehan S. ,
  • 38', Middleton G. 🟨,
  • 40', 1 - 0, Naismith K. , Saville G. (A),
  • 43', Wells N. (Pen),
  • 45+5', Keeley J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Gotts R. , Close B. ,
  • 55', Morris S. , Kodua G. ,
  • 59', Middleton G. , Gibson J. ,
  • 59', Sharp B. , Olusanya T. ,
  • 68', Sterry J. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 74', Wells N. , Gbode J. ,
  • 74', Dabo L. , Nakamba M. ,
  • 75', Alli M. , Bramall C. ,
  • 77', Kodua G. 🟨,
  • 90', Nelson Z. , Richards J. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Luton Town
53%
Draw
25.1%
Doncaster Rovers
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.7% 26.7% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1% 28.9% 19%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.78)
    3.72
    (3.51)
    4.3
    (4.55)
    6.2%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Luton Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 7).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Doncaster may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Luton is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Calf Injury) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Brown J. (Ankle Injury) Jones I. (Back Injury) Lockyer T. (Ankle Injury) Odoffin H. (Muscle Injury) Walsh L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Doncaster: Clifton H. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Nakamba M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Walters R. (Groin Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Luton won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Luton won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
    Latest results of Luton Town
    20.09.2025 Lincoln City - Luton Town 3:1
    02.09.2025 Luton Town - Barnet 4:1
    30.08.2025 Burton Albion - Luton Town 0:3
    23.08.2025 Luton Town - Cardiff City 0:1
    Latest results of Doncaster Rovers
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff1382321:111026
    2Stevenage1282218:10826
    3Bradford City1375123:16726
    4Stockport County1374219:14525
    5AFC Wimbledon1481519:15425
    6Lincoln1373318:11724
    7Bolton1465319:15423
    8Mansfield1354419:15419
    9Huddersfield1361618:18019
    10Luton1361615:15019
    11Barnsley1253418:17118
    12Doncaster1453613:19-618
    13Wigan1445517:18-117
    14Leyton Orient1452721:23-217
    15Rotherham1352613:16-317
    16Northampton1452710:13-317
    17Wycombe1444618:16216
    18Exeter1451814:14016
    19Reading1436515:19-415
    20Burton1343611:16-515
    21Port Vale1334611:12-113
    22Plymouth1341817:23-613
    23Blackpool1433813:22-912
    24Peterborough1331910:22-1210

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two