Doncaster Rovers vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Eco-Power Stadium (Doncaster).

League One - Round 25
Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.61	0.39
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
7	2
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
65% (224/344)	67% (191/287)
Yellow cards
1	3
Expected goals (xG)
2.61	0.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.71	0.34
Total shots
16	8
Shots on target
7	2
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked shots
2	4
Shots inside the box
12	5
Shots outside the box
4	3
Hit the woodwork
0	1
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
35	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free kicks
11	16
Passes
65% (224/344)	67% (191/287)
Long passes
28% (21/74)	36% (27/76)
Passes in final third
52% (78/150)	62% (60/97)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.59	1.18
Throw ins
26	24
Fouls
16	11
Tackles
45% (5/11)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
50	65
Clearances
17	55
Interceptions
10	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.34	1.71
Goals prevented
-0.66	0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Palmer K. ⚽, Clark J. (A),
41', Clark J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 1, Hanlan B. ⚽, Bailey O. (A),
66', Sterry J. ↓, Close B. ↑,
66', Lee E. ↓, Clifton H. ↑,
66', van den Berg D. ↓, Richards J. ↑,
68', Palmer K. 🟨,
72', Walsh L. 🟨,
73', Palmer K. ↓, Saville G. ↑,
73', Lawrence E. ↓, Bramall C. ↑,
73', Wells N. ↓, Cole D. ↑,
90+4', Gotts R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Doncaster Rovers
36.2%

Draw
27.6%

Luton Town
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

29.7%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

29%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Doncaster Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Luton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Doncaster Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.8)	3.38 ↑ (3.08)	2.59 ↑ (2.42)	6.6% (9.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Doncaster will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Luton will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Luton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 8).
Doncaster has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Luton has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Al Hamadi A. (Inactive) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Jones I. (Injury) Richards J. (Injury)
There are questionable in Doncaster: Close B. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Luton: Makosso C. (Inactive) Naismith K. (Inactive) Nordas L. (Inactive)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Doncaster won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Doncaster Rovers won against Luton Town?

Doncaster Rovers has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luton Town won against Doncaster Rovers?

Luton Town has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Doncaster Rovers - Luton Town were as follows:

27.09.2025 Luton Town - Doncaster Rovers 1:0

Latest results of Doncaster Rovers

07.03.2026 Plymouth Argyle - Doncaster Rovers 2:1 ✺

03.03.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Stockport County 0:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Cardiff City 0:4 ✺

21.02.2026 Rotherham United - Doncaster Rovers 1:2 ✺

17.02.2026 Doncaster Rovers - Huddersfield Town 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Luton Town

07.03.2026 Luton Town - Reading 2:3 ✺

04.03.2026 Luton Town - Northampton Town 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Port Vale - Luton Town 1:1 ✺

24.02.2026 Luton Town - Plymouth Argyle 2:1 ✺

21.02.2026 Luton Town - Burton Albion 1:1 ✺

English League One Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lincoln	39	25	9	5	74:34	40	84
2	Cardiff	39	23	8	8	73:41	32	77
3	Bolton	39	17	15	7	55:39	16	66
4	Bradford City	39	19	8	12	49:44	5	65
5	Stockport County	37	17	9	11	51:48	3	60
6	Stevenage	38	17	9	12	41:38	3	60
7	Plymouth	39	18	5	16	60:54	6	59
8	Reading	39	15	13	11	57:51	6	58
9	Huddersfield	39	16	9	14	59:51	8	57
10	Wycombe	39	15	11	13	55:43	12	56
11	Luton	39	15	10	14	52:49	3	55
12	Peterborough	38	15	5	18	57:52	5	50
13	Barnsley	37	13	11	13	59:60	-1	50
14	AFC Wimbledon	38	14	8	16	49:55	-6	50
15	Mansfield	37	12	13	12	47:41	6	49
16	Leyton Orient	38	14	6	18	55:62	-7	48
17	Doncaster	38	13	8	17	41:59	-18	47
18	Burton	39	12	10	17	44:54	-10	46
19	Wigan	38	11	12	15	41:51	-10	45
20	Exeter	39	11	9	19	42:52	-10	42
21	Blackpool	39	11	9	19	46:63	-17	42
22	Rotherham	38	9	9	20	35:58	-23	36
23	Northampton	39	9	8	22	33:56	-23	35
24	Port Vale	36	7	10	19	29:49	-20	31

      Promotion ~ Championship
      Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ League Two