Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 37
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.940.90
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
33
Passes
71% (328/464)71% (231/326)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.940.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.161.82
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
16
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
02
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
38
Free kicks
1019
Passes
71% (328/464)71% (231/326)
Long passes
29% (22/75)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
61% (107/175)55% (65/118)
Crosses
27% (4/15)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.88
Throw ins
3719
Fouls
1910
Tackles
61% (11/18)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5870
Clearances
1341
Interceptions
1122
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.821.16
Goals prevented
-0.180.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Naismith K. , Walsh L. (A),
  • 39', 0 - 2, Palmer K. , Saville G. (A),
  • 45+1', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Mullins J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 61', Harris L. 🟨,
  • 70', Harvie D. 🟨,
  • 70', Harris L. , Henderson E. ,
  • 70', Lowe N. , Vidigal A. ,
  • 70', Boyd-Munce C. , Fink B. ,
  • 73', Wells N. , Cole D. ,
  • 78', Kodua G. , Johnson J. ,
  • 78', Grimmer J. , Huggins N. ,
  • 84', Vidigal A. 🟨,
  • 89', Palmer K. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Quitirna A. , Morley A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wycombe Wanderers
45%
Draw
27.2%
Luton Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 26.9% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 25.7% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.02)
    3.42
    (3.41)
    3.37
    (3.31)
    6.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wycombe Wanderers will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Wycombe Wanderers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 0.
    • Wycombe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wycombe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Mengi T. (Injury) Sandal S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wycombe: Lowry A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Al Hamadi A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers 4:0
    Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 42289579:364393
    2Cardiff41249876:423481
    3Bradford City422181352:46671
    4Bolton421816859:441570
    5Stockport County4019101159:50967
    6Stevenage4119101243:38567
    7Plymouth421961766:58863
    8Huddersfield4217111465:56962
    9Reading4316141362:55762
    10Luton4117101457:50761
    11Wycombe4316121563:511260
    12Barnsley4014121463:65-254
    13Mansfield4013141350:43753
    14Doncaster421581943:64-2153
    15Wigan4213131646:56-1052
    16Peterborough411562060:58251
    17Burton4313121846:56-1051
    18Blackpool431492051:65-1451
    19Leyton Orient421482057:66-950
    20AFC Wimbledon421482049:63-1450
    21Exeter4312112047:55-847
    22Rotherham419102236:62-2637
    23Northampton41982434:60-2635
    24Port Vale398102130:54-2434

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Qualified for Championship