Wycombe Wanderers vs Luton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 37
  • Referee: Hicks C. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.940.90
Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
33
Passes
71% (328/464)71% (231/326)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.940.90
xG on target (xGOT)
1.161.82
Total shots
810
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
16
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
67
Shots outside the box
23
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
02
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
2513
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
38
Free kicks
1019
Passes
71% (328/464)71% (231/326)
Long passes
29% (22/75)24% (17/72)
Passes in final third
61% (107/175)55% (65/118)
Crosses
27% (4/15)46% (6/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.100.88
Throw ins
3719
Fouls
1910
Tackles
61% (11/18)52% (11/21)
Duels won
5870
Clearances
1341
Interceptions
1122
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
14
xGOT faced
1.821.16
Goals prevented
-0.180.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 21', 0 - 1, Naismith K. , Walsh L. (A),
  • 39', 0 - 2, Palmer K. , Saville G. (A),
  • 45+1', Saville G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 53', Mullins J. , Quitirna A. ,
  • 61', Harris L. 🟨,
  • 70', Harvie D. 🟨,
  • 70', Harris L. , Henderson E. ,
  • 70', Lowe N. , Vidigal A. ,
  • 70', Boyd-Munce C. , Fink B. ,
  • 73', Wells N. , Cole D. ,
  • 78', Kodua G. , Johnson J. ,
  • 78', Grimmer J. , Huggins N. ,
  • 84', Vidigal A. 🟨,
  • 89', Palmer K. , Adebayo E. ,
  • 90+7', 1 - 2, Quitirna A. , Morley A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Wycombe Wanderers
45%
Draw
27.2%
Luton Town
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.4% 26.9% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 25.7% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wycombe Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Luton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luton Town than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (2.02)
    3.42
    (3.41)
    3.37
    (3.31)
    6.7%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Wycombe Wanderers will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Wycombe Wanderers will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 9 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 0.
    • Wycombe is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Luton has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Wycombe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Wycombe is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Wycombe: Hagelskjaer A. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Luton: Adebayo E. (Knee Injury) Baptiste S. (Knee Injury) Mengi T. (Injury) Sandal S. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Wycombe: Lowry A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Luton: Al Hamadi A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Wycombe won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Wycombe won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wycombe Wanderers - Luton Town were as follows:
    26.12.2025 Luton Town - Wycombe Wanderers 4:0
    Latest results of Wycombe Wanderers
    Latest results of Luton Town
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln39259574:344084
    2Cardiff39238873:413277
    3Bolton391715755:391666
    4Bradford City391981249:44565
    5Stockport County371791151:48360
    6Stevenage381791241:38360
    7Plymouth391851660:54659
    8Reading3915131157:51658
    9Huddersfield391691459:51857
    10Wycombe3915111355:431256
    11Luton3915101452:49355
    12Peterborough381551857:52550
    13Barnsley3713111359:60-150
    14AFC Wimbledon381481649:55-650
    15Mansfield3712131247:41649
    16Leyton Orient381461855:62-748
    17Doncaster381381741:59-1847
    18Burton3912101744:54-1046
    19Wigan3811121541:51-1045
    20Exeter391191942:52-1042
    21Blackpool391191946:63-1742
    22Rotherham38992035:58-2336
    23Northampton39982233:56-2335
    24Port Vale367101929:49-2031

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two