Machida Zelvia vs Al-Ittihad Jeddah – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
afghanistanAfghanistanAriana
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Sports MENA 2, Q Football Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaiQIYI, Migu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 9
germanyGermanySportdigital1+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN 4
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
romaniaRomaniaAntenaPLAY
russiaRussiaTV Start
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
turkeyTurkeyD Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.940.74
Ball possession
37%63%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
53
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
65
Passes
77% (237/309)88% (460/525)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
0.940.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.000.75
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
53
Shots off target
46
Blocked shots
14
Shots inside the box
87
Shots outside the box
26
Hit the woodwork
02
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2221
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free kicks
510
Passes
77% (237/309)88% (460/525)
Long passes
51% (25/49)52% (26/50)
Passes in final third
66% (77/117)74% (125/168)
Crosses
14% (2/14)38% (12/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.481.32
Throw ins
1012
Fouls
77
Tackles
70% (7/10)83% (5/6)
Duels won
3235
Clearances
3323
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.751.00
Goals prevented
0.750.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 22', Mitaj M. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 0, Yengi T. , Erik (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Mitaj M. , Bergwijn S. ,
  • 57', Roger , Al Oboud A. ,
  • 61', Hayashi K. 🟨,
  • 66', Erik , Tokumura F. ,
  • 66', Na Sang-Ho , Sento K. ,
  • 76', Al Oboud A. 🟨,
  • 76', Nakamura H. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 76', Lavi N. 🟨,
  • 76', Lavi N. , Shimoda H. ,
  • 82', Diaby M. , Ilenikhena G. ,
  • 85', Yengi T. 🟨,
  • 85', Yengi T. , Fujio S. ,
  • 90', Pereira D. 🟨,
  • 90', Kuroda G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
22%
Draw
28.3%
Al-Ittihad Jeddah
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.6% 24.4% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 23.2% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Al-Ittihad Jeddah Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.28
    (3.51)
    3.33
    (3.82)
    1.89
    (1.9)
    6.3%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Al-Ittihad Jeddah?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Al-Ittihad's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Al-Ittihad may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Al-Ittihad is the team to beat.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Al Hilal (1)Al-Sadd (8)3 : 4
    2Vissel Kobe (2)Seoul (7)2 : 1, 1 : 0
    3Al Ahli SC (2)Al-Duhail (7)1 : 0
    4Sanfrecce Hiroshima (3)Johor DT (6)1 : 0, 1 : 3
    5Machida (1)Gangwon (8)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    6Al Ittihad (4)Al Wahda (5)1 : 0
    7Buriram (4)Melbourne City (5)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    8Tractor (3)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)0 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Al-Sadd (8)Vissel Kobe (2)3 : 4
    2Al Ahli SC (2)Johor DT (6)2 : 1
    3Machida (1)Al Ittihad (4)1 : 0
    4Buriram (4)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Vissel Kobe (2)Al Ahli SC (2)1 : 2
    2Machida (1)Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai (6)1 : 0

    Final
    1Al Ahli SC (2)Machida (1)1 : 0