Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (205/289) | 76% (336/445) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.73 | 1.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 2.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 30 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (205/289) | 76% (336/445) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/57) | 28% (20/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (72/107) | 55% (72/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.00 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 69 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 54 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.31 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Ando T. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
- 25', Okamura D. 🟨,
- 42', Miki T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 60', Kitajima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Tani K. (Own goal),
- 66', Soma Y. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 73', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 73', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 73', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 73', Hayashi K. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
- 74', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Sento K. ⚽, Fujio S. (A),
- 88', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 89', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka
30.3% | Draw
33.1% | Machida Zelvia
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+4%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↓
(3.36) |
2.83 ↓
(2.93) |
2.56 ↑
(2.36) |
6.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Machida Zelvia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Machida Zelvia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Machida Zelvia?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
14.09.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Machida Zelvia
0:3
22.06.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37:24 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 | Machida | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 43 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 20:39 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 15:32 | -17 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 25:44 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
