Result
2:2
29/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.16 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
71% (205/289) | 76% (336/445) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.73 | 1.16 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.32 | 2.31 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 30 |
Through passes |
---|
100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
71% (205/289) | 76% (336/445) |
Long passes |
---|
32% (18/57) | 28% (20/71) |
Passes in final third |
---|
67% (72/107) | 55% (72/132) |
Crosses |
---|
29% (5/17) | 28% (5/18) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.43 | 1.00 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (12/16) | 55% (11/20) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 69 |
Clearances Total |
---|
54 | 32 |
Interceptions |
---|
9 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.31 | 1.32 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.31 | 0.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
- 22', 1 - 1, Ando T. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
- 25', Okamura D. 🟨,
- 42', Miki T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
- 60', Kitajima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 1, Tani K. (Own goal),
- 66', Soma Y. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
- 73', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
- 73', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
- 73', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
- 73', Hayashi K. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
- 74', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 2, Sento K. ⚽, Fujio S. (A),
- 88', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
- 89', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Avispa Fukuoka 30.3% | Draw 33.1% | Machida Zelvia 36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+4%)
Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.12 ↓ (3.36) |
2.83 ↓ (2.93) |
2.56 ↑ (2.36) |
6.4% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
- Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
- Machida Zelvia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Machida Zelvia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.8:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Machida Zelvia?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:
14.09.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Machida Zelvia
0:3
22.06.2024
Machida Zelvia
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:0
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Latest results of Machida Zelvia
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 37 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 31 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League