Avispa Fukuoka vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

29/03/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Best Denki Stadium (Fukuoka).

J1 League - Round 7
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.16
Ball Possession
39%	61%
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
6	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
71% (205/289)	76% (336/445)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.73	1.16
xG on target (xGOT)
1.32	2.31
Total shots
13	12
Shots on target
6	5
Shots off target
4	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
5	9
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
11	30
Through passes
100% (1/1)	0% (0/1)
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
14	15
Passes
71% (205/289)	76% (336/445)
Long passes
32% (18/57)	28% (20/71)
Passes in final third
67% (72/107)	55% (72/132)
Crosses
29% (5/17)	28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.43	1.00
Fouls
15	14
Tackles
75% (12/16)	55% (11/20)
Duels won
57	69
Clearances Total
54	32
Interceptions
9	3
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	4
xGOT faced
2.31	1.32
Goals prevented
0.31	0.32

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Okamura D. ⚽, Soma Y. (A),
22', 1 - 1, Ando T. ⚽, Kitajima Y. (A),
25', Okamura D. 🟨,
42', Miki T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Oh Se-Hun ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
60', Kitajima Y. ↓, Nago S. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Tani K. (Own goal),
66', Soma Y. ↓, Fujio S. ↑,
73', Shirasaki R. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
73', Fujimoto K. ↓, Iwasaki Y. ↑,
73', Zahedi S. ↓, Wellington ↑,
73', Hayashi K. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
74', Kikuchi R. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
84', 2 - 2, Sento K. ⚽, Fujio S. (A),
88', Maejima Y. ↓, Hashimoto Y. ↑,
89', Konno K. ↓, Kanamori T. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Avispa Fukuoka
30.3%

Draw
33.1%

Machida Zelvia
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

32.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

31.5%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avispa Fukuoka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+4%)

Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.36)	2.83 ↓ (2.93)	2.56 ↑ (2.36)	6.4% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.

Preview Facts

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 2.
Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.
Machida Zelvia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Machida Zelvia will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J. (Knee Injury) Ikeda J. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Knee Injury)
Last 11 head-to-head matches Avispa Fukuoka won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9:15 (average 0.8:1.4).
Including matches at home between the teams Avispa Fukuoka won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:11 (average 1:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Machida Zelvia?

Avispa Fukuoka has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Avispa Fukuoka?

Machida Zelvia has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

14.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia 0:3

22.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0

Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka

20.03.2025 Ryūkyū - Avispa Fukuoka 0:2 ✺

15.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

09.03.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Vissel Kobe - Avispa Fukuoka 0:1 ✺

26.02.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Kawasaki Frontale 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

15.03.2025 Machida Zelvia - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

08.03.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 0:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo Verdy 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Tokyo - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	32	20	4	8	52:28	24	64
2	Vissel Kobe	32	18	6	8	43:27	16	60
3	Kyoto	31	16	8	7	54:33	21	56
4	Kashiwa Reysol	31	15	11	5	43:29	14	56
5	Machida	32	16	7	9	48:33	15	55
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	32	16	7	9	37:22	15	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	31	14	9	8	55:40	15	51
8	Urawa Reds	32	13	10	9	39:32	7	49
9	Gamba Osaka	32	15	4	13	46:47	-1	49
10	Cerezo Osaka	31	11	10	10	48:45	3	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	32	10	10	12	34:38	-4	40
12	Okayama	32	11	7	14	28:34	-6	40
13	FC Tokyo	31	11	7	13	33:42	-9	40
14	Avispa Fukuoka	32	9	10	13	31:37	-6	37
15	Nagoya Grampus	32	9	9	14	38:47	-9	36
16	Verdy	32	9	9	14	20:35	-15	36
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	31	7	7	17	29:41	-12	28
18	Yokohama FC	31	7	7	17	20:36	-16	28
19	Shonan Bellmare	31	6	7	18	28:55	-27	25
20	Albirex Niigata	32	4	9	19	29:54	-25	21

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League