Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:0
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.42
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
97
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
21
Passes
83% (381/459)78% (266/343)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.390.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.220.00
Total shots
97
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
34
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
33
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
21
Touches in opposition box
1119
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
11
Free Kicks
116
Passes
83% (381/459)78% (266/343)
Long passes
47% (27/57)40% (23/58)
Passes in final third
71% (82/116)68% (79/116)
Crosses
12% (2/17)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.49
Throw-ins
1627
Fouls
611
Tackles
70% (7/10)57% (4/7)
Duels won
5334
Clearances
3928
Interceptions
104
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.000.22
Goals prevented
0.000.22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 18', Nishimura T. , Soma Y. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Nakamura H. , Mochizuki H. ,
  • 55', Wellington , Usui S. ,
  • 55', Hashimoto Y. , Maejima Y. ,
  • 67', Nago S. , Konno K. ,
  • 67', Sato S. , Fujimoto K. ,
  • 79', Oh Se-Hun , Fujio S. ,
  • 79', Na Sang-Ho , Kuwayama K. ,
  • 84', Yuzawa M. , Iwasaki Y. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Machida Zelvia
54.6%
Draw
27.3%
Avispa Fukuoka
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.2% 26.7% 19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9% 26.4% 18.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.74)
    3.47
    (3.53)
    5.21
    (4.93)
    5.4%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Avispa Fukuoka will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.75 - Avispa Fukuoka (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Avispa Fukuoka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 1.
    • Recent performances by Machida Zelvia have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Avispa Fukuoka's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Machida Zelvia is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia 2:2
    14.09.2024 Avispa Fukuoka - Machida Zelvia 0:3
    22.06.2024 Machida Zelvia - Avispa Fukuoka 0:0
    Latest results of Machida Zelvia
    Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Verdy321008:48
    2FC Tokyo312006:37
    3Urawa Reds320105:27
    4Kashima Antlers320104:27
    5Machida311108:76
    6Kawasaki Frontale311017:55
    7Mito301115:73
    8Chiba300211:52
    9Yokohama F. Marinos300032:60
    10Kashiwa Reysol300034:90


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Sanfrecce Hiroshima321007:38
    2Kyoto311105:36
    3Gamba Osaka311103:26
    4Vissel Kobe311014:25
    5Nagoya Grampus311013:35
    6Cerezo Osaka310113:34
    7Shimizu S-Pulse310112:34
    8V-Varen Nagasaki310024:63
    9Okayama300213:62
    10Avispa Fukuoka301022:52

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)