Machida Zelvia vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/06/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Machida GION Stadium (Machida).

J1 League - Round 21
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
China	K-Ball, ZhiBo8
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	PSJ TV
Japan	DAZN Japan
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	1.36
Ball Possession
34%	66%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Passes
69% (184/266)	82% (432/525)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23	1.36
xG on target (xGOT)
1.72	1.25
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
6	3
Shots off target
3	4
Blocked Shots
4	4
Shots inside the Box
8	7
Shots outside the Box
5	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
3	4
Touches in opposition box
23	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
3	1
Free Kicks
13	21
Passes
69% (184/266)	82% (432/525)
Long passes
42% (28/67)	38% (15/40)
Passes in final third
63% (72/114)	65% (84/130)
Crosses
12% (2/17)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.43	0.40
Throw-ins
21	33
Fouls
21	13
Tackles
75% (15/20)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
56	69
Clearances
38	40
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
1.25	1.72
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Soma Y. ⚽, Hayashi K. (A),
34', 2 - 0, Okamura D. ⚽, Shimoda H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Higuchi Y. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,
46', Talles Brener ↓, Nono K. ↑,
46', Mizoguchi S. ↓, Ogawa R. ↑,
61', Fujio S. 🟨,
61', Cavric A. ↓, Chinen K. ↑,
65', Fujio S. ↓, Duke M. ↑,
74', Shimoda H. ↓, Sento K. ↑,
74', Soma Y. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
76', Leo Ceara ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Suzuki Y. (Pen),
87', Okamura D. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
87', Hayashi K. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Machida Zelvia
41.8%

Draw
28.6%

Kashima Antlers
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

28%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.19)	3.27 ↓ (3.59)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	5.9% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Kashima will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In recent matches, Machida Zelvia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Kashima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Narasaka T. (Inactive)
There will not play in Kashima: Anzai K. (Inactive) Morooka S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Sekigawa I. (Knee Injury) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Concussion)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Kashima Antlers?

Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Machida Zelvia?

Kashima Antlers has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers were as follows:

03.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia 1:0

08.12.2024 Kashima Antlers - Machida Zelvia 3:1

22.05.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 2:0

09.03.2024 Machida Zelvia - Kashima Antlers 1:0

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

14.06.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Machida Zelvia 1:2 ✺

11.06.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sangyo University 2:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3 ✺

25.05.2025 Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia 2:2 ✺

21.05.2025 Yokohama FC - Machida Zelvia 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Kashima Antlers

14.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1:1 ✺

11.06.2025 Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma 4:0 ✺

31.05.2025 Gamba Osaka - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

25.05.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 3:1 ✺

17.05.2025 Kashima Antlers - Shimizu S-Pulse 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	24	14	4	6	34:22	12	46
2	Kashima Antlers	24	14	2	8	36:24	12	44
3	Kashiwa Reysol	24	12	8	4	33:23	10	44
4	Kyoto	24	12	6	6	40:29	11	42
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	24	13	3	8	29:18	11	42
6	Machida	24	12	4	8	34:25	9	40
7	Kawasaki Frontale	24	10	8	6	38:26	12	38
8	Urawa Reds	24	10	8	6	32:24	8	38
9	Cerezo Osaka	24	9	7	8	37:33	4	34
10	Gamba Osaka	24	10	4	10	29:31	-2	34
11	Avispa Fukuoka	24	8	8	8	21:23	-2	32
12	Okayama	24	8	6	10	20:22	-2	30
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	24	8	6	10	29:32	-3	30
14	FC Tokyo	24	8	5	11	27:34	-7	29
15	Nagoya Grampus	24	7	7	10	28:33	-5	28
16	Verdy	24	7	7	10	15:24	-9	28
17	Shonan Bellmare	24	6	6	12	20:37	-17	24
18	Yokohama F. Marinos	24	5	6	13	23:32	-9	21
19	Yokohama FC	24	5	4	15	14:30	-16	19
20	Albirex Niigata	24	4	7	13	24:41	-17	19

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League