Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Cuba ⚽, Cascavel (A),
- 35', Camara M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 47', Cuba 🟨,
- 50', 2 - 0, Montez A. ⚽,
- 55', Ninte M. ↓, Fati E. ↑,
- 61', Cuba ↓, Triana C. ↑,
- 66', Rossi R. 🟨,
- 69', Cascavel 🟨,
- 69', Andrey ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
- 71', Cascavel ↓, Jesus P. ↑,
- 71', Silva L. ↓, Candeias D. ↑,
- 71', Souza B. ↓, Xavier ↑,
- 73', Farias E. 🟨,
- 81', Matos R. ↓, So S. ↑,
- 83', Marcos Paulo 🟨,
- 86', Marcos Paulo ↓, Baixinho M. ↑,
- 90', Moreira R. 🟨,
- 90+4', Alves K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Académica Coimbra
45.7% | Draw
28.6% | Mafra
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Académica Coimbra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Académica Coimbra than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Académica Coimbra - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.88) |
3.2 ↑
(3.18) |
3.58 ↓
(3.98) |
9%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Académica Coimbra - Mafra?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Académica (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Académica (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 4 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Académica won 0.
- Académica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mafra is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mafra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Académica is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Académica won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Académica won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Académica Coimbra won against Mafra?
Académica Coimbra has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Académica Coimbra?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Académica Coimbra - Mafra were as follows:
06.12.2025
Académica Coimbra
-
Mafra
3:3
24.08.2025
Mafra
-
Académica Coimbra
1:0
Latest results of Académica Coimbra
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Academica | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Amarante | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15:9 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 9 |
| 6 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 7 | Trofense | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 5 |
| 8 | Mafra | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )
